Us Brent Oil

Fitch Ratings Predicts Brent Crude Oil Price Trend During Closure of Strait of Hormuz

S&P Raises WTI and Brent Crude Oil Price Outlook

Stalled US-Iran Negotiations Drive Up Oil Prices and Rubber Futures

CFTC and Democratic Members Investigating Abnormal Trading Before Trump's Policy Announcements

IMF Warns of Global Recession Risk from Iran Conflict

White House Warns Staff Against Speculating in Oil Futures Using Position

US-Iran ceasefire for two weeks boosts US stock futures and Asian stocks

US Index Futures Fall Amidst Iran Crisis

Japanese Finance Minister Warns of Market Volatility

Baltic Dry Index Dips to Near-Low, Brent Crude Reaches Record Monthly High

US Committee Votes to Exempt Gulf of Mexico Oil and Gas Drilling from Endangered Species Act

South Korea Announces Supplementary Budget to Mitigate Economic Impact of Iranian Conflict

Market Repricing of Rate Hike Expectations, Inflation Fears and Geopolitics Reshape Fed's Path

Market reacts to Trump delaying potential strike on Iran

Trump says opening Strait of Hormuz needs a lot of help

Brent Oil Futures Settle at Highest Since July 2022

Brent crude speculators raise net long positions

FITCH Publishes Iran Conflict Macro Economic Risk Heat Map

U.S. Crude Oil Futures Settle at $96.14 per Barrel, Down 18 Cents, 0.19 Percent

US Crude Futures Hit $100/BBL in Post-Settlement Trade

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CITI SAYS THAT FOR A RERUN OF 1970S OIL SHOCK STRAIT OF HORMUZ MAY NEED TO REMAIN CLOSED EARLY 2027

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CITI SAYS THAT FOR A RERUN OF 1970S OIL SHOCK STRAIT OF HORMUZ MAY NEED TO REMAIN CLOSED EARLY 2027

Global inflation is surging due to an energy shock from the Iran war, which has disrupted 20% of global oil and LNG flows. U.S. wages increased by 3.6%, but prices rose by 3.8%, ending real income gains. This rising inflation has shifted central bank expectations from rate cuts to potential hikes, complicating global monetary policy.

- The Iran war has disrupted 20% of global oil and LNG flows, resulting in an unprecedented energy supply shock.  
- In the U.S., wages increased by 3.6%, but prices rose by 3.8%, eliminating a three-year period of real income growth.  
- This scenario has caused a shift in central bank expectations from potential rate cuts to possible hikes, complicating global monetary policy.

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Global inflation surges as energy shock reshapes outlook

UK regular pay grew 3.4% year-on-year in early 2026, meeting expectations amid rising inflation risks from higher energy prices. The Federal Reserve raised its 2026 inflation forecast to 2.7%, the largest increase in recent cycles, influenced by oil market disruptions. Additionally, U.S. crude releases have reduced the Strategic Petroleum Reserve below 300 million barrels as global inventories sharply declined.

- UK regular pay increased by 3.4% year-on-year in early 2026, meeting expectations as policymakers monitor inflation risks related to rising energy prices.  
- The Federal Reserve raised its 2026 inflation forecast to 2.7%, marking the largest upward revision in recent cycles due to disruptions in the oil market.  
- U.S. crude releases have reduced the Strategic Petroleum Reserve to below 300 million barrels amid a significant decline in global inventories during March and April.

UK wage growth steady as oil shocks fuel inflation risks

Cleveland Fed projects May inflation at 4.18%, with Q2 CPI annualizing at 6.89%, the highest in three years. The Iran war's impact has led to soaring oil prices, causing U.S. gas prices to rise rapidly. As a result, hopes for rate cuts in 2026 have diminished, with potential hikes anticipated under new Fed Chair Kevin Warsh.

- The Cleveland Fed projects May inflation at 4.18%, with the Q2 CPI annualizing at 6.89%, marking a three-year high.  
- The Iran war has closed the Strait of Hormuz, causing oil prices to rise significantly and leading to the fastest increase in U.S. gas prices in 30 years.  
- This inflation surge diminishes hopes for rate cuts in 2026, with potential interest rate hikes anticipated under the new Fed Chair Kevin Warsh.

Fed's May inflation forecast spikes, rate cuts unlikely in 2026

Cotton futures experienced losses ranging from 69 to 136 points on Tuesday. The US dollar index rose to $99.215, while crude oil fell to $103.81. As of May 17, 41% of the US cotton crop was planted, slightly ahead of the 5-year average. The Cotlook A Index decreased by 325 points to 90.65 cents. ICE certified cotton stocks increased by 10,053 bales, totaling 203,491 bales. The Adjusted World Price rose to 71.87 cents/lb.

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Cotton Fading Lower on Tuesday

Japan's GDP grew 2.1% annualized in Q1, exceeding the 1.7% forecast, driven by consumption, investment, and exports. However, the closure of the Strait of Hormuz has disrupted 20% of global oil supply, leading to rising fuel prices and inflation risks. The Bank of Japan may consider a rate hike in June due to increasing import costs affecting inflation and corporate profits.

- Japan's GDP grew 2.1% annualized in Q1, exceeding the 1.7% forecast, driven by increased consumption, investment, and exports.  
- The closure of the Strait of Hormuz has impacted 20% of global oil supply, causing fuel prices to rise and heightening inflation risks.  
- In response to escalating import costs affecting inflation and corporate profits, the Bank of Japan is considering a rate hike in June.

Japan’s Q1 growth beats forecasts but energy shock looms

.DJI

U.S. Futures Index indicates a lower opening for Wall Street on Monday, with Dow futures down 157 points. President Trump's threats against Iran continue to impact investor sentiment, contributing to a spike in oil prices above $110 per barrel. Asian markets closed broadly lower, while European shares are mostly higher. The Housing Market Index for May will be released at 10:00 am ET, with expectations set at 34.

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Futures Point To Lower Open For Wall Street

UBS has reactivated its Global Supply Chain Stress Index due to alarming signals in global logistics, with stress rising at the fastest pace since the early pandemic. The index jumped significantly in March and April, prompting concerns over disruptions from the Middle East conflict. Analysts warn that continued blockage of the Strait of Hormuz could lead to severe global trade impacts and a potential oil shortage, while rising yields may negatively affect equities.

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UBS Reactivates Supply-Chain Stress Watch After Detecting Alarmingly Rapid Deterioration

FANG

Yesterday's close, Diamondback Energy's stock price rose by 1.01%, showing a steady upward trend with a bullish close. The short-term moving average system maintains an upward trajectory, with the 5-day and 10-day moving averages in a bullish arrangement. The MACD daily line confirms a bullish signal above the zero axis, indicating that the medium-term upward trend remains intact, with buying pressure continuing to accumulate at the current price level. The trading volume was approximately $313 million, with moderate performance, showing a steady inflow of funds without signs of impatient chasing. On the news front, the oil and gas exploration and production sector is enjoying performance dividends from high oil prices. Brent crude has broken through $110, while WTI remains above $100. The tight supply situation in the oil market is unlikely to ease in the short term due to the dual effects of geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and OPEC+ production controls. Although Trump announced a delay in military action against Iran, he also clearly stated that a full-scale strike would be launched if negotiations fail, making uncertainty a significant supporting factor for oil prices. As a leading producer in the Permian Basin, Diamondback Energy's cash flow generation ability in a high oil price environment is highly recognized by the market. Its peer, Devon Energy (DVN), also saw a slight increase of 0.38% yesterday. From a technical perspective, the stock price is running steadily above the short-term moving averages, facing a pressure test at previous high points. Although the trading volume is moderate, the sustained bullish candles over several days indicate insufficient bearish strength, with bulls gradually digesting the pressure above. The Energy Sector ETF (XLE) rose by 1.92% yesterday, showing good sector linkage effects. The short-term trend is biased towards bullish, with high oil prices and technical bullish signals resonating together

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Pre-market trend | Diamondback Energy (FANG) 5/18 Oil prices support at high levels, bulls steadily advancing?

.SPX

US equity futures fell as investors reacted to President Trump's remarks on Iran, with the S&P 500 down 0.4%, Dow Jones down 0.2%, and Nasdaq down 0.7%. Trump postponed a military strike on Iran but warned of a potential large-scale assault if negotiations fail. Crude oil prices also dropped, and Treasury yields decreased. EU officials are set to finalize trade deal legislation with the US, while Home Depot shares rose after positive earnings.

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Stocks Down Pre-Bell as Investors Assess Trump's Latest Iran Remarks

Money markets now assuming a Fed funds rate HIKE of +25bp by March 2027, which seems absurd given that the U.S.-Iran war will likely be long over by then and if history repeats, brent crude falls back to the $70/bbl range as it did in 2022 within 9-12 months after Russia invaded Ukraine. Too many investors are blindly extrapolating out the current environment rather than thinking logically through what happens next with midterm elections in November.

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$BNO Call(BNO260417C75000.US)Took a huge hit on my BNO position today. It hurts to see a -95% red screen, but that&#39;s part of the game. I&#39;ll be taking a step back to review my strategy and come back stronger. Stay safe out there,everyone.@Bridge Buzz SG

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On May 10, Trump tweeted angrily declaring Iran's latest response "completely unacceptable." Iran, through Pakistan, proposed an immediate ceasefire and the lifting of the naval blockade, while the US insists that Iran suspend uranium enrichment and restore passage through the Strait of Hormuz. The two sides remain fundamentally opposed. Do you think there's any possibility of breaking this deadlock?

On May 10, Trump tweeted angrily declaring Iran's latest response "completely unacceptable." Iran, through Pakistan, proposed an immediate ceasefire and the lifting of the naval blockade, while the US insists that Iran suspend uranium enrichment and restore passage through the Strait of Hormuz. The two sides remain fundamentally opposed. Do you think there's any possibility of breaking this deadlock?

US-Iran deadlock returns — is a ceasefire still possible?

- Wall Street’s main indexes opened higher following a two-week ceasefire agreement between the U.S. and Iran.  
- The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose by 393.7 points, the S&P 500 increased by 137.5 points, and the Nasdaq Composite climbed by 803.4 points at the open.  
- These gains were driven by expectations that energy supplies through the Strait of Hormuz could resume, leading to lower crude prices.

Reuters

US STOCKS SNAPSHOT-Wall Street opens higher after US-Iran ceasefire

Us Brent Oil(BNO.US)

CITI SAYS THAT FOR A RERUN OF 1970S OIL SHOCK STRAIT OF HORMUZ MAY NEED TO REMAIN CLOSED EARLY 2027

Global inflation surges as energy shock reshapes outlook

UK wage growth steady as oil shocks fuel inflation risks

Fed's May inflation forecast spikes, rate cuts unlikely in 2026

Cotton Fading Lower on Tuesday