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NQ JUN26 futures show a mildly bearish outlook with a Prediction Score of -3 / +10. Sellers have pushed prices down from the upper range near 29600-29610 to the lower value area around 29481.50. A bounce back to 29509.75 prevents a stronger bearish trend for now. Key levels include 29571.50 (upper acceptance line) and 29481.50 (key lower support). A failure below 29481.50 could lead to further declines towards 29450-29438, while reclaiming 29571.50 would indicate a stronger bullish repair. This analysis serves as educational support, not financial advice.

- NQ JUN26 futures display a mildly bearish short-term outlook with a Prediction Score of -3 / +10, as sellers have rejected the upper range near 29600-29610.  
- A key decision zone is at 29509.75, while failure to hold above 29481.50 could lead to a downside target of 29450-29438.  
- Conversely, reclaiming the area above 29553-29560 may weaken bearish sentiment, highlighting the importance of these key price levels for traders.

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Nasdaq analysis today after Trump and Xi met

QQEW

Trump downplays economic issues as inflation rises to 3.8% and gas prices exceed $4.50 per gallon, impacting wages and increasing debt for Americans. His comments on Iran negotiations, stating that U.S. finances are irrelevant, have drawn criticism from Republican allies. Additionally, financial experts caution that the tech-driven stock market surge he promotes may be unsustainable and could decline sharply.

- April inflation increased to 3.8%, with gas prices exceeding $4.50 per gallon, leading to wage erosion and increased debt for Americans.  
- Trump stated that American finances do not influence Iran negotiations, which led to criticism from some Republican supporters.  
- Experts express concerns that the ongoing tech-driven stock market boom may be overstated and could face a significant downturn.

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Trump dismisses economic woes as inflation and disapproval grow

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Stocks closed mixed with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq gaining, while the Dow fell, indicating differing investor sentiment amid rising rate hike expectations. The likelihood of a 2026 rate cut has decreased to about 5%, while the chance of a hike has increased to nearly 22% due to ongoing inflation. Additionally, rising volatility at record highs has historically signaled potential market pullbacks, prompting caution among investors.

- The S&P 500 and Nasdaq posted gains, while the Dow experienced a decline, indicating mixed investor sentiment amidst increasing rate hike expectations.  
- The likelihood of a 2026 rate cut has fallen to approximately 5%, while the probability of a rate hike has increased to nearly 22% due to ongoing inflation concerns.  
- Rising volatility at record highs typically signals potential market pullbacks, prompting caution among investors.

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Stocks end mixed as Fed hike odds rise sharply

U.S. stock futures rose on May 13, 2026, following a strong trading session, with tech stocks driving the S&P 500 and Nasdaq to record highs. Futures for the Dow, Nasdaq 100, and S&P 500 increased by 0.21%, 0.2%, and 0.07%, respectively. The Nasdaq and S&P 500 gained 1.2% and 0.6% in regular trading, while the Dow fell 0.1%. Key earnings reports are expected from Bitdeer, Klarna, Applied Materials, and Figma, alongside important economic data on retail sales, import/export prices, and business inventories.

- U.S. stock futures rose on Wednesday evening following a strong trading session, with tech stocks boosting the S&P 500 Index and Nasdaq to new record highs.  
- At 6:10 p.m. EDT on May 13, futures on the Dow Jones Industrial Average, Nasdaq 100, and S&P 500 were up 0.21%, 0.2%, and 0.07%, respectively.  
- Key earnings reports are expected from companies like Bitdeer and Klarna, alongside important economic data such as U.S. retail sales for April.

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Why Are Stock Market Futures Rising Today, 5/13/26?

The Nasdaq and S&P 500 reached new highs, driven by a surge in tech stocks ahead of US-China talks. The Nasdaq rose 1.2% to 26,402.3, while the S&P 500 climbed 0.6% to 7,444.3. Nvidia, Apple, and Amazon saw significant gains. Economic data showed rising producer prices, indicating inflation pressures. The US Senate confirmed Kevin Warsh as Fed chair, with expectations of steady rates. Oil demand forecasts were downgraded due to Middle East conflicts, impacting prices. Wix.com reported a larger-than-expected earnings decline, leading to a 27% drop in shares.

- The Nasdaq Composite and S&P 500 reached new highs, aided by a tech stock rally before US-China talks.  
- Meanwhile, US producer prices surged, indicating rising inflation amid geopolitical tensions affecting oil supply.  
- Kevin Warsh was confirmed as Fed chair, with expectations for current monetary policy to persist despite inflationary pressures.

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Nasdaq, S&P 500 Hit Fresh Highs as Tech Stocks Rise

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Lumentum's stock has surged over 1,200% in the past year, reaching a 52-week high of $1,085.68, driven by strong AI demand. The company is set to join the Nasdaq-100 index on May 18, replacing CoStar Group, which could attract significant passive investment. Analysts have raised price targets, with some exceeding $1,200, due to robust earnings growth and substantial optical component backlogs.

- Lumentum stock has surged over 1,200% in the past year, reaching a 52-week high of $1,085.68 due to increased AI-driven demand.  
- The company will be included in the Nasdaq-100 index on May 18, replacing CoStar Group, which may draw significant passive investment.  
- Analysts have raised price targets above $1,200, highlighting strong earnings growth and substantial backlogs in optical components.

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Lumentum rallies ahead of Nasdaq-100 debut after record year

ARKK

Cathie Wood's ARK Innovation ETF has underperformed in 2026, gaining only 1.7% compared to significant gains in tech stocks and ETFs, such as the Nasdaq-100, which rose over 16%. The fund has seen $251 million in net outflows this year, reflecting declining popularity due to its inability to match past performance. Despite a strong AI market, the ETF's assets are far below their 2021 peak, and it has struggled to replicate its 2020 success, where it surged nearly 149%.

- The ARK Innovation ETF, managed by Cathie Wood, has only gained 1.7% in 2026, underperforming compared to other tech-focused ETFs driven by AI.  
- Despite a strong tech market, the fund has faced approximately $251 million in net outflows this year, reflecting declining investor confidence.  
- ARK's assets under management are significantly below their 2021 peak, as the ETF struggles to match the explosive growth of the Nasdaq and other thematic ETFs.

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Cathie Wood's flagship fund is largely missing out on a booming tech-fueled bull run

U.S. producer prices surged 6% in April, the highest since December 2022, driven by energy costs and service price increases, raising concerns over Federal Reserve rate hikes. The Producer Price Index (PPI) rose from 4.3% in March, exceeding expectations of 4.9%. Monthly wholesale prices jumped 1.4%, with energy prices soaring 7.8%. The Fed's interest-rate futures now indicate a nearly 50% chance of a rate hike by December 2026. Market reactions included a drop in equity futures and a rise in Treasury yields, reflecting heightened inflation fears.

- U.S. producer prices rose significantly in April, with the Producer Price Index increasing from 4.3% in March to 6%, marking the highest annual rate since December 2022.  
- Energy prices heavily influenced this jump, particularly gasoline, which surged by 15.6%, and final demand services, contributing notably to the overall rise.  
- Market reactions included a sell-off in equity futures and a slight increase in the two-year Treasury yield, reflecting growing concerns over potential Federal Reserve rate hikes.

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Producer Inflation Shock: PPI Spikes To 6%, Fanning Fed Hike Fears (UPDATED)

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How Trump’s trade push against Canada went wrong

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How Trump’s trade push against Canada went wrong

U.S. stocks are expected to show mixed performance in early trading on Wednesday, following a weak previous session. Major index futures indicate a mixed open, with Nasdaq futures up 0.3%, while S&P 500 futures are down 0.1% and Dow futures down 0.5%. The Nasdaq may see gains due to strength in tech stocks, particularly Nvidia (NVDA).

- Stocks are projected to open mixed on Wednesday, following weakness in the previous session.  
- Nasdaq futures are up by 0.3 percent, while S&P 500 and Dow futures are down by 0.1 percent and 0.5 percent, respectively.  
- The Nasdaq's potential strength is attributed to positive movements among technology stocks, such as Nvidia (NVDA).

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U.S. Stocks May Turn In Mixed Performance In Early Trading

How is he doing for money this March?

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- U.S. stock index futures rose significantly after President Donald Trump announced a postponement of military strikes against Iranian energy infrastructure.  
- As of 07:10 a.m., Dow E-minis increased by 1,246 points, or 2.72%, S&P 500 E-minis rose by 156.75 points, or 2.39%, and Nasdaq 100 E-minis gained 489 points, or 2.03%.  
- The announcement positively impacted investor sentiment, contributing to the increases in futures.

Reuters

US STOCKS SNAPSHOT-Futures jump after Trump postpones military strikes on Iranian power plants

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