Donald Trump announced he will begin negotiations with Iran on August 3, 2026, following a period of heightened tensions . In response, Euro Stoxx 50 futures rose by 0.7%, and U.S. index futures also saw broad gains as supply chain and energy disruption fears eased Wallstreetcn.
So Trump is back to the ‘Art of the Deal’ playbook, pivoting sharply from last week’s ‘strong strike’ rhetoric to a negotiation stance starting today . The 0.7% jump in Euro Stoxx 50 futures is a pure relief rally; the market is exhaling now that the immediate threat of a Middle East conflict is receding Wallstreetcn. We’ve seen this cycle before—aggressive posturing followed by a sudden opening for talks to suppress oil prices and stabilize the tape .
The real signal here is the easing of supply chain anxiety. If shipping through the Strait of Hormuz remains stable, that massive risk premium in energy starts to evaporate, which is a direct win for European manufacturing and logistics . However, don’t get too comfortable. Trump’s insistence on a ‘fair deal’ suggests a high bar for actual diplomatic success . I’d tactically play the bounce in EU cyclicals and transports, but keep the stops tight. We are likely one tweet away from another 7% swing in WTI . The trade is fading the geopolitical fear, not betting on a permanent peace.
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