On August 3, 2026, President Trump publicly criticized ExxonMobil and Chevron for reaping ‘excessive profits’ (some up to 12x year-over-year) driven by the Iran conflict . He demanded they lower retail gasoline prices and return profits to the public as high energy costs become a liability ahead of the November midterms .
So, Trump is basically throwing his usual allies under the bus because high gas prices are toxic for the upcoming midterms . It’s the classic political playbook: when inflation hurts voters, find a corporate villain. Even though he’s pushed for domestic production, seeing profits jump 12x makes Exxon and Chevron easy targets for populist ire .
Don’t buy the narrative that this is a fundamental shift in energy policy, but do expect a sentiment cap on XOM and CVX. The market is pricing in high crude, but it hasn’t fully baked in the regulatory ‘harassment’ risk or the potential for windfall tax talk if prices don’t budge 香港01. Chevron’s CEO is already pushing back, citing government policy as the real culprit .
Bottom line: the easy money in these names has been made. I’d trim exposure here and rotate into midstream or services—they benefit from the volume but aren’t the ones the public sees at the pump. The political heat is only going to get turned up as we head into November.
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