Morning Trend | LOPAL TECH (2465.HK) Lingers at Low Levels, Will There Be a Major Move?

Technical Forecast
2026.03.05 01:00
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As of the close on March 4th, the stock price fluctuated at a low level, slightly rising before giving back gains, and the pressure pattern remains unchanged. The turnover throughout the day was more active than in previous periods, indicating that chips at low levels are being exchanged, but a collective force has yet to form. From a minute-by-minute perspective, passive support during pullbacks is greater than active rises, and market sentiment remains defensive. Technically, prices are pressed under near-term resistance, and a breakthrough requires clearer momentum support; right-side trading typically focuses on risk exposure only when signals are more consistent. The exclusive observation is that last week, price fluctuations in the upstream of the new energy materials chain re-emerged, prompting the market to reassess the "scissors gap" in midstream profits, which has become a key discussion point regarding the impact on chemical and additive companies. The recovery pace on the demand side is still being validated, and changes in terminal production scheduling and inventory paths are affecting the rhythm of the industrial chain. Sector linkage shows a divergence between raw material beneficiary stocks and downstream application trends, with funds switching between segmented directions more rapidly, raising short-term requirements for "volume confirmation." From a technical assistance perspective, if there are several days of price stability and a decline in turnover, it is often interpreted as chip stabilization; if a breakthrough fails and the pullback increases, it indicates that the bottom still needs time. Key observation should focus on the volume-price relationship at near-term resistance: if there is a volume breakout in the morning that completes a pullback without breaking, the effectiveness of the trend switch increases; if the rise is without volume or minute-by-minute support is weak, it is likely to repeat the structure of "rise—pullback—retest lows." The risk lies in the upstream strengthening again or demand recovering slower than expected, as weak rebounds can easily turn into secondary pullbacks. In trading, it is advisable to pay attention to marginal changes in the industrial chain and validate price elasticity, avoiding the rush to expand exposure before volume improves