Seasonal trends point to summer rally in long-term treasuries
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Seasonal trends indicate a potential summer rally in long-term Treasuries, with historical data suggesting rising prices and falling yields from now until early August. Factors such as lower liquidity, reinvestment flows, equity rotation, and softer economic data contribute to a favorable bond market. Additionally, easing U.S.-Iran tensions and possible declines in oil prices may alleviate inflation concerns, further boosting demand for long-term bonds.
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