longbridgelongbridge
  • Platform Features
    Features
    Investment ProductsPrivate Wealth ManagementTrading ToolsMarket Data ServicesAnalysis ToolsNews ServicesFor Developers
    Account Types
    For IndividualsFor Institutions
  • Café
longbridge
© 2026 Longbridge|Terms of ServicePrivacy Policy

S&P 500 Gains, Crude Falls Ahead Of Fed's Expected First Hike Since 2023: Stock Market Today

benzinga_article
Sep 16, 2026 at 04:52 PM
LongbridgeAII'm LongbridgeAI, I can summarize articles.

U.S. stocks rose ahead of the Fed's expected first rate hike since 2023, with the S&P 500 gaining 0.4% and Nasdaq 100 up 0.9%. Crude oil prices fell sharply due to a Saudi pipeline restart, easing Treasury yields. Strong retail sales data reinforced inflation concerns, keeping markets confident in a 25-basis-point hike. Technology and semiconductor stocks led gains, while energy and freight sectors declined.

A sharp reversal in crude oil handed U.S. equities a reprieve on Wednesday, with stocks grinding higher off six-week lows just hours before the Federal Reserve is expected to raise interest rates for the first time since 2023.

The S&P 500 added 0.4% to 7,615.70, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average was effectively flat at 52,113. The Nasdaq 100 outperformed, rising 0.9% to 29,198 as hardware and semiconductor names extended Tuesday’s rebound from AI-safety jitters.

U.S. Energy Secretary Chris Wright told CNBC that the outage on Saudi Arabia’s damaged East-West crude pipeline would be a “brief and temporary interruption” measured in days, and Riyadh moved to route additional barrels through Oman. 

West Texas Intermediate crude slid 3.6% to $102.02 a barrel, slipping back below $103 after a 20.6% surge so far this month. Brent fell 3.3% to $105.17.

The cheaper barrel rippled straight into the Treasury market.

The 10-year yield eased 5 basis points to 4.96%, taking a breather after five straight sessions of gains that carried it to 5.04% on Tuesday, the highest since July 2007. 

The reprieve does not change the Fed’s arithmetic.

Markets price in roughly a 93% chance that the central bank will lift the target range by 25 basis points to 3.75%-4.00% this afternoon, its first hike in nearly three years, with another move expected by December. 

Wednesday’s data did nothing to soften the case: August retail sales jumped 1.2% month-over-month against forecasts of 0.8%, the control group used in GDP calculations surged 1.4% versus 0.4% expected, and import prices climbed 0.7%, well above the 0.4% consensus.

Wednesday’s Performance In Major US Indices

IndexLast% ChangeMTDYTD
S&P 5007,615.70+0.4%-0.8%+11.5%
Dow Jones52,113+0.04%-1.9%+8.5%
Nasdaq 10029,198+0.9%-0.9%+15.6%
Russell 20002,883.46+0.5%-2.6%+16.4%
Updated by 12:15 PM ET

According to the Benzinga Pro platform:

  • The Vanguard S&P 500 ETF (NYSE:VOO) gained 0.4%.
  • The SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF Trust (NYSE:DIA) edged up 0.1%.
  • The Invesco QQQ Trust (NASDAQ:QQQ) climbed 0.8%.
  • The iShares Russell 2000 ETF (NYSE:IWM) rose 0.5%.

Read Also: Fed Hike Odds Hit 93%: 3 Things That Could Really Surprise Markets Wednesday

Energy Stocks Pullback, Freight Stocks Hit by Lower Margins

The Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSE:XLE) was far and away the worst performer, sliding 2.1% as the crude reversal gutted producers.

The SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production ETF (NYSE:XOP) plunged 3.2% and the VanEck Oil Services ETF (NYSE:OIH) shed 1.3%. The Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSE:XLF) was the only other sector in the red, off 0.5%.

At the other end, the Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSE:XLK) led with a 1.0% gain, trailed by the Industrials Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSE:XLI) at 0.9% and the Health Care Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSE:XLV) at 0.6%.

Chips did the heavy lifting: the VanEck Semiconductor ETF (NASDAQ:SMH) jumped 1.7%, the best industry move on the board, while the iShares Biotechnology ETF (NASDAQ:IBB) added 0.9% and the SPDR S&P Metals & Mining ETF (NYSE:XME) rose 0.7%.

Forgent Power Solutions Inc. (NYSE:FPS) topped the large-cap board, rallying 11.6% after fourth-quarter revenue rose 94% year-over-year to $462 million and adjusted EBITDA jumped 163% to $113 million.

Record quarterly bookings of $1.5 billion left the company with a $3 billion backlog covering more than 90% of fiscal 2027 revenue guidance of $2.4 billion to $2.6 billion.

The rest of the leaderboard was an AI-connectivity pile-on with little hard news behind it. 

Semtech Corp. (NASDAQ:SMTC) surged 11.0%, extending Northland’s upgrade to Outperform with a $182 price target, which flagged connectivity as the AI bottleneck.

The optics complex moved together and, again, without a company-specific trigger. 

Lumentum Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ:LITE) rose 8.2%, Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd (NASDAQ:CRDO) gained 8.0% and Coherent Corp. (NYSE:COHR) climbed 6.4%.

The correlated bounce looks like short covering after a brutal month for the group. 

Astera Labs Inc. (NASDAQ:ALAB) rode the same wave, up 6.0%, alongside Dell Technologies Inc. (NYSE:DELL) at 5.2% and Intel Corp. (NASDAQ:INTC) at 5.0%.

J.B. Hunt Transport Services Inc. (NASDAQ:JBHT) collapsed 12.5% after a rare intra-quarter warning delivered at a Morgan Stanley conference.

The carrier guided third-quarter earnings to fall 5% to 10% from the second quarter, citing a $10 million fuel headwind and $25 million of added driver-related costs.

Chief Financial Officer Brad Delco said the company has seen “some of the most radical and abnormal swings” in fuel prices it has ever experienced. 

Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc. (NYSE:KNX) fell 3.9% in sympathy.

Permian operators took the brunt of the crude unwind, and all four of the next-worst names share the same catalyst. 

Diamondback Energy Inc. (NASDAQ:FANG) dropped 9.0% on more than 14 times normal volume; its mineral-rights affiliate Viper Energy Inc. (NASDAQ:VNOM) fell 7.2%, Matador Resources Co. (NYSE:MTDR) lost 6.5%, and Permian Resources Corp. (NYSE:PR) slid 6.1%.

The Saudi pipeline restart headline and the reversal in the barrel account for the whole move, compounded by a government report showing crude inventories fell just 0.64 million barrels last week against expectations for a 1.6 million-barrel draw.

The damage ran deep through the patch. EOG Resources Inc. (NYSE:EOG) fell 5.5%, Occidental Petroleum Corp. (NYSE:OXY) lost 5.3%, ConocoPhillips (NYSE:COP) shed 4.8% and Devon Energy Corp. (NYSE:DVN) dropped 4.7%. Elsewhere, First Solar Inc. (NASDAQ:FSLR) fell 5.4% and crypto-linked names sold off, with Circle Internet Group Inc. (NYSE:CRCL) down 5.8%.

Wednesday’s Russell 1000 Top Gainers

Name% change
Forgent Power Solutions, Inc.+11.57%
Semtech Corporation+11.03%
Lumentum Holdings Inc.+8.17%
Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd+8.02%
Coherent Corp.+6.43%

Wednesday’s Russell 1000 Top Losers

Name% change
J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc.-12.52%
Diamondback Energy, Inc.-9.03%
Viper Energy, Inc.-7.22%
Matador Resources Company-6.48%
Permian Resources Corporation-6.09%

Image created using artificial intelligence via Midjourney.

Login to unlock5,841characters for free

Due to copyright restrictions, please log in to your Longbridge account to view this content.
Thank you for your understanding and support of licensed content.

Recommended Readings

  • Sep 16, 2026 at 01:32 PMFed Meeting Interest Rate Decision Preview: How Will Stocks React?
  • Sep 16, 2026 at 08:38 AMSeptember Fed Rate Decision Preview: Is a Rate Hike a Foregone Conclusion? How Will US Stocks, the Dollar, and Gold Reac…
  • Sep 16, 2026 at 08:29 AMS&P 500 Has Delivered ‘Muted Returns’ During Fed Cycles With More Than 5 Rate Hikes, Says Ryan Detrick
  • Sep 16, 2026 at 12:05 AMSG Morning Brief|STI Falls 1.4% Before Fed's First Hike Since 2023

Related Stocks

Forgent Power Solutions

Forgent Power Solutions

USFPS

Semtech

Semtech

USSMTC

Lumentum

Lumentum

USLITE

LongbridgeAI