一字断刀魂

#BTC 1. If the war continues to escalate, oil prices will surge, inflation will rise accordingly, the Fed's rate cuts will be delayed, and it's highly likely that the current interest rates will be maintained. Most importantly, the US dollar will strengthen in the short term, increasing pressure on BTC in the short to medium term. With Trump's pressure, the risks in the Middle East are rising, and BTC is highly likely to experience sharp upward spikes and sudden downward plunges, leading to two-way liquidations. Therefore, the short-term movement ahead is not the trend; be extremely cautious. In the short term, BTC is likely to drop to around 62K.

2. In the short term, considering the current war situation, the possibility of conflict escalation is very high. Just now, former Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad was attacked and killed. Ahmadinejad is known externally as a hardliner and an anti-American fighter. His death will directly lead to a significant increase in Iran's retaliatory efforts against the US and Israel, which will exacerbate volatility for BTC, causing it to swing back and forth and shake up contracts. At that time, more people will face liquidation, with prices fluctuating between 65K and 70K.

$GraniteShares 2x Long NVDA Daily ETF(NVDL.US) can use inverse ETFs, or short Nasdaq 100 funds to hedge against the decline of the main position. Alternatively, you can sell covered calls to earn premiums or buy out-of-the-money put options (PYT) as insurance. If you don't know how, we can discuss.

$NVIDIA(NVDA.US) is not recommended for blindly catching falling knives. The recent macro situation is highly volatile. Global capital is clearly switching styles, with a strong trend flowing into safe-haven assets (such as gold and government bonds). As a representative of high-beta assets, it is inevitable for tech giants to face pressure amid external uncertainties. It is advisable to wait until the risk-off sentiment subsides and capital reallocates back before considering deployment. For now, watch more and act less; cash is king.

$BTC/USD(BTCUSD.HAS)BTC price bottomed at 74500, and will fluctuate between 74500-90000 for a while. After the fluctuation, it will test 74500 again, and then rise above 126000 to end this bull market.

Long-term holding is beneficial

$Tesla(TSLA.US) lacks upward momentum, indicating strong profit-taking pressure above, but the inability to fall further suggests long-term funds are still absorbing at lower levels. Short-term fluctuations are likely, with the overall trend intact but requiring time to develop.

$Microsoft(MSFT.US)Microsoft has entered a valuation digestion phase after the last quarter's earnings report, with the pre-earnings pullback being more of a technical de-risking move. Historically, the probability of a post-earnings rally after fundamental validation is high. This time, the upgrade of its self-developed AI chip Maia serves as an additional marginal catalyst. If Q4 guidance confirms improvements in Azure AI demand and computing efficiency, there is room for stock price repricing.

$Tesla(TSLA.US)Insurance companies have halved the premiums for Tesla's FSD users, indicating safety. In the long run, it's rising. I bought at 420 and it's already up 6 points. I'm very bullish on my god.

Robot Spring Outlook: The moment of mass production is coming, Tesla has completed the factory inspection. What do you think of Tesla's stock?