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Captain's Watch

Aug 18 at 02:54 AM

☕️ [Task Coins Giveaway] Daily Market Talk — Chips Rally as Iran Fears Rattle Wall Street

LongbridgeAII'm LongbridgeAI, I can summarize articles.
SK Hynix Crashes 8% As AI Fears Spread

Chips rallied hard against a falling US market Monday: SanDisk, Western Digital, and Micron all jumped after Elon Musk called memory the binding constraint on AI, even as the S&P 500, Nasdaq, and Dow all fell on escalating US-Iran tensions. In an ironic twist, Stanley Druckenmiller's Duquesne Family Office had just exited Micron entirely, days before the rally. Singapore's STI reversed a weak open to close higher, while Hong Kong's own chip rally sent its market up. Let's dig in 👇

💬 Druckenmiller dumped Micron days before it ripped: bad timing, or an overdone rally?

📊 Quick Recap — What Moved & Why

🇺🇸 US — Chips Rally as Iran Fears Rattle Wall Street

🔑 Key Event: Memory and optical-chip names rallied hard even as the broader market fell: $Sandisk(SNDK.US) jumped about 8-10% to a fresh high, $Western Digital(WDC.US) rose 6%, and $Micron Tech(MU.US) gained 5% to reclaim $1,000, after Elon Musk flagged memory as AI's binding constraint and Commerce Secretary Lutnick opposed Apple sourcing memory from China. $S&P 500(.SPX.US) fell 0.52% to 7,745.06, $NASDAQ Composite Index(.IXIC.US) lost 0.32% to 26,644.91, and $Dow Jones Industrial Average(.DJI.US) dropped 0.51% to 53,459.78, as a US-Iran shipping deal expired and oil topped $90.

@Heroic Lifesaver : Both SanDisk and Micron look headed for new highs. Memory demand is outstripping supply, and I'd rather be on the right side of that than fight the tape.

👀 Other to Watch

  • Druckenmiller's Duquesne Family Office → fully exited Broadcom, Intel, and Micron just days before Monday's memory-sector surge, per a Friday 13F filing, loading up instead on Amazon, AMD, and a new Alphabet stake.
  • $Coherent Corp.(COHR.US) & $AXT(AXTI.US) → also rode the memory/optical theme, up 10.4% and 14% respectively, the latter on a blowout earnings beat.
  • Airlines → fell hard on the oil spike ($American Airlines(AAL.US) down over 4%, $Delta Air Lines(DAL.US) and $United Airlines(UAL.US) both down more than 2%), while energy producers rallied as a mirror trade, with $ExxonMobil(XOM.US) up about 3%.
  • $Snap(SNAP.US) → fell about 8-12% premarket after a court ruling revived thousands of social-media-addiction lawsuits and its CTO sold roughly $21.5M of stock.
  • Anthropic → said its annualized revenue run rate topped $65B in July, up from just $9B a year ago. Investors reportedly expect an October IPO near a $2 trillion valuation, which would make it the largest IPO ever, topping SpaceX's $1.77T listing.

🇸🇬 Singapore — STI Reverses a Weak Open to Close Higher

🔑 Key Event: $FTSE Straits Times Index(STI.SG) opened down about 0.9% at 5,679, carrying over Friday's Iran-driven jitters, before reversing to close up 0.4% at 5,768.46 as Singapore's July trade surplus held firm at S$12.6B, reassuring investors even as global oil risk lingered.

@只想暴富 : UOB's Q2 profit rose 10% on record wealth-management fee income, but I'd watch whether that can keep offsetting the margin pressure from lower rates, since trading income already fell 8%.

👀 Other to Watch

  • $OCBC Bank(O39.SG) & $UOB(U11.SG) → both traded ex-dividend Monday, paying S$0.47 and S$0.88 per share respectively; $DBS(D05.SG) had already gone ex-dividend Friday.
  • $MediLifestyle(Z4D.SG) → surged 44% on a deal to acquire 60% of EM2AI for S$6.76M.
  • $Ever Glory(ZKX.SG) → filed for a proposed dual-primary listing on the Hong Kong exchange.

🇭🇰 HK/China — Chip Rally Lifts Hong Kong Even as Wall Street Falls

🔑 Key Event: Hong Kong moved the opposite way from Wall Street: $Hang Seng Index(00HSI.HK) rose 1.34% to 25,453.23 and $Hang Seng TECH Index(STECH.HK) gained 1.58% to 4,782.03, led by $SENSETIME-W(00020.HK), up 8.9%, and a continued rally in chipmakers $SMIC(00981.HK) and $HUA HONG GRACE(01347.HK) on the same AI-chip enthusiasm lifting US memory names.

👀 Other to Watch

  • $Moutai(600519.SH) → H1 profit fell 1.95% year-on-year to RMB44.5B, its first half-year decline since listing, as China's "national team" funds exited its top-10 shareholder list.
  • China's July industrial output rose 4.5% year-on-year, though property investment fell 19.2% and retail sales grew just 0.6%, a soft print keeping the case for more stimulus alive.

🌍 Other

  • 🇺🇸 Meta faces opening statements Tuesday in a landmark Oakland trial, with state attorneys general seeking $1.4 trillion in damages over claims it engineered addictive features for kids.
  • 🌍 Oil topped $90 a barrel (Brent) after a US-Iran shipping memorandum expired with no successor deal; Citi turned bullish on silver, targeting $75-90/oz.

📅 Key Events Tonight / This Week

When (SGT)What
Today, Tue 18 Aug🇺🇸 $Home Depot(HD.US) earnings
🇺🇸 Meta's $1.4T addiction trial opens in Oakland
Wed 19 Aug🇺🇸 FOMC meeting minutes
🇺🇸 $Target(TGT.US), $Lowes(LOW.US) earnings
Thu 20 Aug🇺🇸 $Walmart(WMT.US) earnings
🇨🇳 $BABA-W(09988.HK) earnings
Watching🇺🇸 Tesla's driverless Cybercab could begin public rides in Austin before month-end
🌍 Jackson Hole Symposium, Aug 27-29 (new Fed Chair Warsh's first keynote)

👇 Drop your take (20+ words) & click "Repost" to earn 288 Task Coins ✨
🚫 No duplicates · ⏰ Deadline: Aug 18, 2026, 11:59 PM SGT

Not investment advice, just market talk 🙏

Micron Tech

Micron Tech

USMU

OCBC Bank

OCBC Bank

SGO39

FTSE Straits Times Index

FTSE Straits Times Index

SGSTI

Target

Target

USTGT

Western Digital

Western Digital

USWDC

Sandisk

Sandisk

USSNDK

NASDAQ Composite Index

NASDAQ Composite Index

US.IXIC

ExxonMobil

ExxonMobil

USXOM

Walmart

Walmart

USWMT

Snap

Snap

USSNAP

ZKX

ZKX

SGZKX

HSTECH

HSTECH

HKHSTECH

.DJI

.DJI

US.DJI

HSI

HSI

HKHSI

UAL

UAL

USUAL

U11

U11

SGU11

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