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TSMC Stock Moves Higher as AI Revival Meets Capacity Risk

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TSMC stock rose 0.9% to $457.175 as investors assess AI revival and capacity risks. JPMorgan views the pullback as attractive, citing TSMC's strong Q2 revenue of $40.2 billion and 60.3% operating margin. The company approved $29.44 billion for capacity expansion. However, shares trade at a premium to GF Value estimates, requiring visible new capacity with solid yields to justify current valuations.

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing , the world's largest contract chipmaker, rose about 0.9% to $457.175 at 10.55am EST Tuesday as investors weighed a possible return to AI stocks. JPMorgan argued that the recent pullback has made semiconductor valuations more attractive. The bank sees room for the trade to recover, though a cheaper entry point alone will not build another chip.

TSMC has the orders and the margins to make that case. Its second-quarter results showed $40.2 billion in revenue and a 60.3% operating margin. The board also approved roughly $29.44 billion for chipmaking capacity, advanced packaging and factory construction. That is a big commitment to meeting demand that still has to turn into usable output.

The valuation leaves little room for a stumble: the shares sit 25.61% above the $363.95 GF Value estimate. Strong AI demand can justify a premium, but investors now need to see new capacity come online with solid yields and enough customer orders to keep it busy.

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