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TLA

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Top Analyst Says There’s 80% Chance Could Put Tesla and SpaceX ‘Under One Hood’ by 2027 — ‘Golden Goose’ Could Create the ‘Biggest Company in the World’

benzinga_article
Sep 22, 2026 at 01:06 PM
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Tech analyst Dan Ives predicts an 80% chance that Tesla and SpaceX will merge by late 2027 to create a unified entity dominating physical AI. He views this combination as the 'golden goose' of tech innovation, potentially forming the world's largest company. The thesis emphasizes integrating autonomous technology and data systems rather than just sharing information.

Technology analyst Dan Ives predicts a high probability of around 80% that Tesla Inc. (NASDAQ:TSLA) and Space Exploration Technologies Corp. (NASDAQ:SPCX) will combine operations by late 2027 to dominate the autonomous technology sector.

The ‘Golden Goose’ of Tech

During a live recording of The Compound and Friends podcast from Sept. 18, Ives detailed his thesis on the next phase of artificial intelligence investments. Asked by host Josh Brown how investors can capitalize on the autonomous future, Ives highlighted Elon Musk’s companies.

Ives, a partner and senior managing director at Yorkville Ives and Co., noted that the real investment opportunity lies in systems interacting with the physical world.

“Physical AI to me is the golden goose,” Ives stated. “Like autonomous, true autonomous technology, I believe will be one of the biggest technology innovations that we ever see.”

Read Also: SpaceX-Tesla Merger: Ron Baron Told Elon Musk 'Whatever You Decide… Is What I'm Going to Support'

The Merger Vision

To capture this expanding market, Ives anticipates an imminent corporate consolidation. He expects the electric vehicle manufacturer and the space exploration firm to unite their artificial intelligence initiatives.

“It’s my view at some point by the end of next year those companies merge,” Ives said.

He emphasized that the integration would share more than just information.

“Obviously that’s going to be the big question, but for us that’s the golden vision that Tesla and SpaceX are under one hood,” Ives stated. “Not just from a data perspective but in terms of all the AI technology that they’re building, that ultimately becomes one company, the biggest company in the world.”

Ives concluded, “I view it, like we’ve said, it’s over an 80% chance by the end of next year that Tesla and SpaceX ultimately merge.”

Macroeconomic Impact

Fundstrat Capital co-founder Tom Lee echoed the significance of autonomous technologies during the panel. Lee stated that if robots act as a new productive unit rather than merely replacing human labor, they could act as “economic consumers and taxpaying units,” potentially allowing the broader economy to grow without triggering inflation.

How Has TSLA Performed in 2026?

Price Action: At the last check, the TSLA stock was trading 0.82% higher in Tuesday’s premarket. It was down 11.92% over the last year, 16.55% year-to-date, and 3.43% higher over the last month. The stock closed 3.03% higher at $375.30 on Monday.

Benzinga’s Edge Stock Rankings indicate that TSLA maintains a weak price trend in the medium and long terms but a strong trend in the short term, with a moderate growth score.

Read Also: Big Tech’s AI Debt Spree Hits a Wall as Bond Investors Demand Higher Yields From Alphabet, Meta and Nvidia

Disclaimer: This content was partially produced with the help of AI tools and was reviewed and published by Benzinga editors.

Image via Shutterstock

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