Elon Musk thinks Micron Technology, Inc. (NASDAQ:MU) is making a smart move by keeping future memory prices reasonable.

The bigger story is that Micron has already secured a structure that could make that strategy pay off: $150 billion in remaining performance obligations tied to long-term customer agreements, giving the chipmaker greater visibility into demand and pricing through 2030.

Micron’s $150 Billion Contract Book

In its fiscal fourth-quarter earnings call, Micron disclosed that it had signed 26 strategic customer agreements, with remaining performance obligations of approximately $150 billion. The company expects these agreements to cover more than 35% of its revenue through 2030.

These aren’t simply promises to buy memory when customers need it. Micron’s agreements include binding, multi-year purchase commitments structured on a take-or-pay basis, meaning customers remain obligated to pay for contracted volumes even if they ultimately don’t need all the chips.

Most agreements with defined pricing also include minimum and maximum price bands. That gives customers greater supply and cost visibility while helping Micron protect profitability if market prices weaken.

CFO Mark Murphy said the company expects margins at contractual floor prices to remain “meaningfully above any prior cycle peak margins.” He also described the disclosed obligations as conservative because they reflect committed volumes and minimum pricing, rather than the full revenue Micron expects to generate.

Why Musk’s Endorsement Matters

On Oct. 13, Musk praised Micron for being “reasonable regarding future memory prices,” contrasting its approach with suppliers he described as “extortionate.” He argued that customers would remember how suppliers treated them during the current shortage and called Micron’s approach “the smart move for long-term customer loyalty.”

The timing matters. Memory suppliers are benefiting from AI-driven demand, but China’s efforts to expand domestic memory production have raised questions about whether today’s tight supply conditions will last.

Micron’s contracts offer a potential answer to that uncertainty. Rather than relying entirely on spot-market pricing, the company is securing multi-year demand with contractual pricing frameworks that can support more predictable financial performance.

That doesn’t mean Micron is sacrificing profitability to win customers. Its management has explicitly said the pricing floors are designed to preserve strong margins. Nor does the $150 billion figure represent guaranteed revenue: it is based on minimum committed volumes and pricing, and actual revenue could differ.

The Risk Investors Should Watch

Micron’s strategy could help it retain customers when memory supply eventually loosens, but investors should watch how much future revenue remains protected by contractual price floors and whether customer commitments translate into sustained cash flow.

Musk’s endorsement is a useful signal of customer sentiment; Micron’s contract terms and financial results will determine whether that goodwill becomes a lasting competitive advantage.

Photo: Frederic Legrand – COMEO/Shutterstock