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SoFi
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Dolphin ResearchJul 29 at 01:32 PM

SOFI Trans: Raises FY rev. guide, EBITDA flat

Below is Dolphin Research's Trans of SoFi Technologies' Q2 FY26 earnings call.

Section I: Key financial highlights recap.

1) Guidance (revenue raised): management lifted FY26 Adj. net revenue to $4.75bn–$4.85bn.

This implies ~32%–35% YoY growth vs. prior ~30%...

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Dolphin ResearchJun 29 at 11:53 AM

SOFI Has Plenty of Red Flags — Is the Premium Justified?

In Part I, we unpacked SoFi's business framework and identified its growth engines: expansion of the Loan Platform Biz. (LPB) and the revival of student lending.

In Part II, guided by Muddy Waters' short case, we surfaced several 'hidden wounds' — shifting credit losses on/off balance sheet to manage the NPL ratio, profit inflation from fair value accounting, and equity dilution.

Put together, a somewhat contradictory picture emerges: despite inherent flaws under constant market scrutiny, SoFi still spiked to a $42bn market cap in H2 2025...

SoFi Fis
US Student Loans Balance Total Student loans ($tn) yoy 2.0 9% 7.83% esearch Rese
Balance of Student loans breakdown blphinResearch esearch refinance 2% Fed Priva
US Federal student loans vs Private loans S ($bn) Fed Private 100% 141 124 144 1+13
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SoFiAppraisal valueDeep Research
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Dolphin ResearchJun 17 at 01:35 PM

Enron redux! Muddy Waters for clicks, or is SOFI just bad?

In the prior piece, after reviewing $SoFi Tech(SOFI.US)'s core biz., we noted that current earnings are largely driven by expansion of the Lending Platform Business (LPB), with a smaller lift from the gradual comeback in student loans.

On Mar 23, Muddy Waters released a short report that squarely targeted these key segments.

In its view, SOFI's conduct is comparable to past cases like GE and Enron.

Market reaction was muted.

After the CEO swiftly stepped in with share purchases to back the stock, it fell just 2.6% the next day.

It even looked restrained vs. the typical impact of a short report...

SoFi Fis
Open 15.820 High 16.690 LOW 15.655 Prev Close 15.870 P/E(TTM) 36.85 K-Line only
SoFi Net charge-offs rate of Consumer loans 6% 5% 4% DolphinResearch DolphinRese
Loan Lending Class Originator and Operator Assets On/Off BS Recognition on IS Bu+15
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Dolphin ResearchJun 16 at 08:35 AM

SOFI in Muddy Waters' Crosshairs: Fintech Newcomer or High-Tech Hype?

$SoFi Tech(SOFI.US) has been public for five years. Early on, it was cast as the next LendingClub, a scaling digital bank, and a high-beta fintech meme stock.

Since its 2021 debut, the shares have crashed multiple times. At the 2022 trough, they fell to about 60% of the IPO price.

Even after clawing back, turbulence has persisted. In Mar, SoFi was targeted by famed short-seller Muddy Waters.

As the short case is not without merit, Dolphin Research will unpack it in the next note. That said, whatever Muddy Waters alleges, in management’s eyes...

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SoFi Members Trend in millions Number of Members yoy 16 80% 69.6%68.7% earc s 14
SOFI Member Trend 16,000 DolphinResearcl Member (in thousands) YoY Growth 350% 3
SoFi Products Per Member Avg. products per member 一financial services products m+28
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