Amazon

D
Dolphin Research

AWS opts for simplicity: can modular, plug-and-play networking deliver?

In our recent networking series, Dolphin Research reviewed 2D fat-tree switched fabrics. These are exemplified by Nvidia and AMD, while Google represents 3D torus direct-connect topologies.

$NVIDIA(NVDA.US) sets the industry benchmark. It develops the full stack in-house across hardware, protocols, and software, with tight HW/SW co-design delivering best-in-class performance. Its road map iterates quickly and in large leaps, prompting rapid shifts in supply-chain dynamics.

$AMD(AMD.US) follows Nvidia but competes a generation behind. Helios largely copies the GB300 NVL72 networking architecture...

aws 2.
Direct-connect 3D torus vs. switched topology Direct-connect 3D torus Switched S
Protocol positioning: NVIDIA vs. AMD vs. Google NVIDIA AMD Google UALink allianc
NeuronLink Evolution Gen Base Per-lane rate(uni-di) Activelane Bandwidth NeuronL+5
D
Dolphin Research

OpenAI's 20bn revenue gap sparks uproar; real impact looks limited — a sentiment false alarm.

The bearish headline that OpenAI's ARR went from 70bn to 50bn triggered a global pullback in AI plays.

Dolphin Research offers a quick take on where expectations diverge.

1) The 70bn vs 50bn gap mostly reflects definitional differences rather than a real shortfall. Many leading model vendors periodically disclose ARR, but methodology matters — gross vs net revenue, annualizing a 28-day avg x12 vs a single recent week x52, etc.

Disclosure timing matters too, e.g., whether it follows a blockbuster flagship launch or a promotion; without that context, cross-company comparisons are not apples-to-apples.

1 SOpenAI SearchGPT ● Q What are you looking for?
How Anthropic Sells Claude: Who Runs Inference, Who Bills, How Revenue Is Booked
Where Each $100 of Revenue Goes: OpenAI vs Anthropic,Q3-2026 Run-rate (est.) vs
Anthropic Overtook OpenAI on ARR in Spring 2026, but OpenAI Is Growing Faster Ag+2
D
Dolphin Research

AMZN: AWS on a Tear, Finally Back with the Pack!

Mega-caps are rolling out results, and $Amazon(AMZN.US) reported its Q2 2026 print after the U.S. close on Jul 31 Beijing time.

The results vindicate Dolphin Research’s call last quarter. It is Amazon’s turn to shine.

1) AWS is taking off? YoY growth accelerated from 28% to 37%, with revenue at $42.2bn. Anthropic’s ARR surge has delivered tangible tailwinds to AWS.

More importantly, unlike most cloud peers, AWS is seeing both faster top-line growth and faster margin expansion. Segment OPM expanded 170bps QoQ...

amazon
Amazon earnings wrap $'00 mn 2Q24 3024 4Q24 1Q25 2Q25 3Q25 4Q25 1Q26 2Q26 2Q26E
AWS revenue growth AWS operating profit $100 mn DolphinResearch DolphinResearch
3 Hyperscalers Cloud Revenue Growth AWS OPM Trend 100% DolphinResearch DolphinRe+4
D
Dolphin Research

AMZN (Trans): Capex raised to $220bn

Below is Dolphin Research's FY26Q2 earnings call Trans for $Amazon(AMZN.US). Key highlights from the release are as follows.

1) Q3 guidance: net sales of $197.0bn–$202.0bn. Operating income of $22.5bn–$26.5bn.

The sequential slowdown in revenue growth from Q2 to Q3 is mainly due to two factors. First, Prime Day timing: in 2026 the event lands in Q2 across most major countries, including the U.S., whereas in 2025 it fell entirely in Q3...

图片 1,共 1 张
D
Dolphin Research

AI Compute: From Feast to Leftovers?

In Dolphin Research's earlier piece 'AMZN's AI Misfire: Can It Mount a Comeback?', we examined AWS's AI buildout from several angles.

From in-house chips and the Anthropic partnership to model performance, we saw a meaningful step-up in AMZN's end-to-end AI capabilities, with the gap vs. Alphabet clearly narrowing.

Two questions still stand out for us.

First, AI margins at cloud providers seem better than we had penciled in; second, they remain heavily dependent on their model partners...

口 m
AI Industry Value Chain Profit Allocation (Waterfall Chart) Illustrative view ba
Anthropic Flagship Model Pricing Anthropic Smaller Model Pricing 80 Input ($mn/t
Index Comparison - US TPI vs CN TPI vs Coding TPI Absolute ($) Normalized(100) U+17
D
Dolphin Research

Retail steadies, AI breakout: Is AMZN back in the top tier?

$Amazon(AMZN.US) released its Q1 2026 results after the US market close on Apr 30 (Beijing time). It was an after-hours release.

Overall, AWS accelerated markedly, while the broader retail businesses posted steady gains. Both revenue and profit beat Bloomberg consensus.

However, with the shares up over 30% from recent lows in recent weeks, the bar had already moved higher. From an expectations-gap perspective, there was little surprise.

Specifically: 1) AWS accelerated as expected, with its competitive standing improving. On the key KPI, AWS revenue grew 28% YoY to $37.6bn...

Amazon earnings wrap $'00mn 1Q24 2Q24 3024 4Q24 1Q25 2025 3Q25 4Q25 1Q26 1Q26E V
AWS revenue  growth $100 mn DolphinResearch DolphinResearch AWS 一 Sales growth (
3 Hyperscalers Cloud Revenue ( Growth 70% DolphinResearch DolphinResearc Amazon
AWS operating profit $100 mn DolphinResearch AWS Op profit AWS opm 140 e 45% 39.+12