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Today’s Key News Recap
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Dolphin Research9 hours ago

META launches AI agent 'Muse', shares surge; AAPL foldable iPhone priced at $1,999 | Daily News Recap

0910 | Dolphin Research Focus: 🐬 Macro/Industry 1) The U.S. Treasury expanded long-dated buybacks to $6bn, well below Wall Street’s optimistic ~$10bn. After the department announced Thursday’s buyback size, Treasuries sold off and the 10Y UST yield hit a near three-year high.

The undersized program highlights waning effectiveness of fiscal/monetary tools at the long end. Markets are more concerned about U.S. medium- to long-term fiscal sustainability and a possible Fed re-tightening, so watch for risk-off and higher USD rates to weigh on high-valuation assets. 2) A spokesman for Iran’s Revolutionary Guard announced...

Meta Platforms

Meta Platforms

USMETA

Today’s Key News Recap
D
Dolphin Research1 day ago, 08:40 AM

DeepSeek hires CITIC Securities to prep IPO; Apple's first foldable debuts tonight | Daily News Recap

0909 | Dolphin Research Focus: 🐬 Macro/Industry. 1) NBS data: Aug. CPI +0.8% YoY, core CPI back to 1.0%. 2) Reports suggest...

Energy and consumer electronics were the main drivers. With pass-through from rising global commodity prices, PPI YoY expanded to 3.8%.

Prices indicate a structural recovery of 'modest consumer recovery and stronger-than-expected industrial rebound'. This supports upstream resources and industrial profits in the near term, but the divergence between imported inflation and soft domestic demand warrants caution, leaving limited room for policy easing.

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Pros

Pros

USPRO

Today’s Key News Recap
D
Dolphin ResearchSep 7 at 08:30 AM

Jensen Huang: 'AGI is here'; Xiaomi 'Pengcheng' launches tonight | Daily News Recap

0907 | Dolphin Focus: Daily News Recap | Dolphin Research🐬 Macro/Industry

1) Iran said it will set exclusion zones around the Strait of Hormuz in the coming days, with non-compliant vessels subject to sanctions, raising concerns over a key energy chokepoint and lifting intl oil prices.

Geopolitical risk is adding a trading bid to crude; watch for any actual disruption to shipping. If the conflict keeps oil elevated, it will weigh on global consumption and manufacturing profits.

2) U.S. Labor Day today: U.S. equities are closed for the day, overseas futures have a shortened session, and HK stocks trade as usual...

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LI AUTO-W

LI AUTO-W

HK02015

Today’s Key News Recap
D
Dolphin ResearchSep 3 at 08:28 AM

Tencent WorkBuddy opens Agent ecosystem challenge; META unveils its most powerful model to date | Daily News Recap

0903 | Dolphin Research Focus: 🐬 Macro/Industry 1) US Aug. ADP private payrolls rose just 37k, the lowest since Jan. Wage growth slowed in tandem, signaling an ongoing cooldown in the labor market.

On that read, markets lowered expectations for Friday's NFP. ADP, a leading indicator ahead of NFP, weakened sharply and flagged a softer jobs backdrop.

If NFP also prints soft, it would strengthen the trade that the Fed has less need to hike. That said, oil-price swings from Middle East tensions remain a key inflation variable, so investors still need the official NFP for confirmation...

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Alphabet - C

Alphabet - C

USGOOG

Today’s Key News Recap
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Dolphin ResearchSep 2 at 08:31 AM

Geopolitics weigh on global mkts; LLMs sprint|Daily News Recap

0902 | Dolphin Research Focus.

🐬 Macro/Industry: The U.S. and Iran exchanged fire twice within three days. Trump struck a hardline tone, saying a final strike is being prepared. Fed Vice Chair for Supervision Michael Barr said if inflation does not recede, the Fed must be ready to hike.

Hit by geopolitics and rising hike expectations, oil prices rallied sharply, lifting inflation risk and reinforcing rate-hike pricing. Global equities and bonds weakened in tandem.

🐬 Single names: 1) $XIAOMI-W(01810.HK). The company will hold its fall launch event at 19:00 on Sep 7...

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TENCENT

TENCENT

HK00700

Today’s Key News Recap
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Dolphin ResearchAug 31 at 08:21 AM

H3 Max Steals the Show; MiniMax Soars 16%; AAPL's new CEO takes office tomorrow | Daily News Recap

0831 | Dolphin Research Focus: 🐬 Macro/Industry. NBS reported Aug. manufacturing PMI at 49.8% (+60bps MoM). Production and demand improved in tandem but remained below the 50 line.

New orders picked up, an encouraging signal. That said, SME sentiment stayed weak and domestic demand has yet to stabilize. The market awaits further incremental policy delivery to test the recovery's durability.

2) MSCI's Aug. quarterly rebalancing becomes effective after the close on Aug 31. Implementation follows the market close that day...

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Z.AI

Z.AI

HK02513

Today’s Key News Recap
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Dolphin ResearchAug 27 at 08:28 AM

Zhipu 'Niulai' validates large-scale rollout of China-made compute; BIDU set to complete dual-primary listing, shares rally|Daily News Recap

Aug 27 | Dolphin Research watchlist: 🐬 Macro/Industry 1) U.S. Jul PCE +3.7% YoY; core PCE +3.3% YoY. Both were in line with expectations.

Real personal consumption expenditures were nearly flat MoM after inflation, signaling a clear cooldown from earlier strength. Inflation remains well above the Fed's 2% target.

With sticky inflation and signs of softer consumption, policy choices have become tougher for the Fed. After the print, UST yields ticked higher while U.S. equities traded choppy under pressure.

The market now looks to commentary out of Jackson Hole from Fed officials. Guidance there could shape the path of rates ahead...

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LI AUTO-W

LI AUTO-W

HK02015

Today’s Key News Recap
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Dolphin ResearchAug 26 at 08:32 AM

XPeng Robotics secures RMB 900 mn funding; US Jul PCE due tonight | Daily News Recap

0826 | Dolphin Research focus: 🐬 Macro/Industry

1) The U.S. and Iran signaled consensus on a ceasefire and free navigation through the Strait of Hormuz, pressuring crude in the near term, while the 10Y UST yield eased to 4.64%. U.S. equities rallied across the three major indices; NVDA snapped a seven-session run. Geopolitical risks de-escalating lifted global risk appetite, with energy under pressure but tech/semis rebounding.

Oil's pullback eases inflation and long-end rate pressure. It is a short-term tailwind for long-duration growth stocks.

2) Also, at 20:30 tonight, the U.S. Jul PCE report is due. The PCE print directly shapes rate-cut expectations...

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AMD

AMD

USAMD

Today’s Key News Recap
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Dolphin ResearchAug 25 at 08:20 AM

NVDA Groq 3 LPX now in full production; ByteDance 'Doubao Work' debuts|Daily News Recap

0825 | Dolphin Research Focus: Macro/Industry — 1) The U.S. Treasury Secretary said on Mon (local time) that a new round of long-bond buybacks will be executed on Sep 9, and the tool will remain active. The operations will cover 10–30Y USTs to address the recent spike in long-end yields.

This signals direct Treasury intervention at the long end, offering a short-term sentiment backstop for USTs. However, markets worry about the funding source for buybacks given a swollen fiscal deficit. If the effect is limited, long-end rates still face upside, which would keep a lid on global equity valuations...

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TENCENT

TENCENT

HK00700

Today’s Key News Recap
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Dolphin ResearchAug 20 at 08:32 AM

TSLA launches Doubao LLM; JD ramps up AI robotics | Daily News Recap

0820 | Dolphin Research Focus: 🐬 Macro/Industry — 1) U.S. Treasury data show that as of Tue close, U.S. public debt outstanding reached $40.05TN, breaching $40TN for the first time. The structural expansion of Gov. debt implies a persistently rising UST supply.

Combined with the earlier move higher in long-end yields, this further pressures valuations across global risk assets. Markets will keep fretting about fiscal sustainability, pushing up term premia and favoring gold and other havens.

Growth-stock multiples face headwinds. Watch the UST issuance calendar and shifts in demand from Intl long-only funds...

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SK Hynix

SK Hynix

USSKHY

Today’s Key News Recap

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