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Applovin
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Dolphin ResearchAug 6 at 02:01 AM

APP: Top performer stumbles — is the 'e-comm dream' still alive?

Historically a strong performer, $AppLovin(APP.US) turned in a rare miss. Both the quarter and guidance point to slowing revenue growth, falling short of investor expectations.

This aligns with recent chatter that AppLovin's ad conversion has weakened. Investors are naturally raising more questions about how the competitive landscape may shift. Management now needs to address concerns, offer credible explanations, and shore up confidence.

Specifically: 1) Growth continues to slow. Q2 revenue rose 53%, but on the underlying software trend, growth is decelerating further on a higher base. Meanwhile...

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ApplovinFinancial Analysis
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Dolphin ResearchAug 5 at 11:05 PM

AppLovin (Trans): Model upgrade lagged; Q3 re-accelerated

Q2 revenue was $1.92bn (+53% YoY), below the midpoint of guidance, and Adj. EBITDA came in under the guided range. The shortfall reflected lighter-than-usual model upgrades during the quarter, with the next step-up landing just after quarter-end.

Q3 revenue guidance of $2.05–2.085bn incorporates model improvements already rolled out and higher compute costs. The focus shifts to driving traffic for mid-tier e-commerce clients and partners.

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AppLovin

AppLovin

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ApplovinConference Minutes
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Dolphin ResearchMay 7 at 03:28 AM

APP (Trans): Multiple growth engines firing; ample runway for investment

Dolphin Research presents the earnings call Trans for $AppLovin(APP.US) Q1'26. For the full earnings read-through, cf. 'Applovin: still a sweetheart, has capital moved on?'.

Core highlights recap. 1) Shareholder returns: repurchased 2.23 mn shares in Q1 for $1.0 bn; quarter-end shares outstanding were 336 mn, with approx. $2.3 bn remaining under the buyback authorization.

Capital allocation priorities unchanged: invest organically first, then return cash via buybacks. Focus remains on internal growth, with repurchases used to return excess capital.

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AppLovin

AppLovin

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ApplovinConference Minutes
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Dolphin ResearchMay 7 at 01:51 AM

APP: Still a market darling, or has capital moved on?

In a rumor-laden Q1, $AppLovin(APP.US) delivered a modest beat.

Growth did slow in places, but versus short-term sentiment that overstates competitive pressures, the print should ease some worries.

Details: 1) Revenue guide remains strong.

For APP, amid a pivotal expansion phase, guidance is still the key metric to watch.

Mgmt guided Q2 revenue up 55% YoY, sustaining high growth with a slight QoQ decel.

However, given mgmt's conservative bias on guidance, ...

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ApplovinFinancial Analysis
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Dolphin ResearchFeb 12 at 05:28 AM

APP (Trans): Highly confident vs. Meta ---

Below is Dolphin Research’s FY25 Q4 earnings call Trans for $AppLovin(APP.US). For the earnings review, see 'AppLovin: Spooky headlines weighing on strong results?'.

1) Shareholder returns: repurchased 6.4 mn shares for $2.58bn. 2) Guidance: a) Revenue of $1.745bn–$1.775bn (+5%–7% QoQ)...

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MediaAlpha

MediaAlpha

USMAX

ApplovinConference Minutes
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Dolphin ResearchFeb 12 at 01:36 AM

APP: Haunted by 'ghost stories'—even strong results can't hold? ---

$AppLovin(APP.US) reported Q4 2025 results after-hours on Feb 11 (ET). The print was decent. While some on the sell side were notably more upbeat, the outcome broadly aligned with the buy side's more cautious stance.

Still, the market reacted negatively to the release. The shares traded lower on the print.

Specifically: 1) revenue guidance is trending well. As AppLovin is in a critical expansion phase, guidance remains the key metric to watch...

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ApplovinFinancial Analysis
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Dolphin ResearchFeb 2 at 10:31 AM

Gaming Stocks Rout: Did Google Do a 'Thanos' Snap?

Last Fri., three gaming-linked names covered by Dolphin Research — $Unity Software(U.US), $AppLovin(APP.US) and $Roblox(RBLX.US) — sold off sharply. The selloff was widely tied to Google's newly unveiled 'Genie', a generative world model seen as disruptive for gaming.

Dolphin Research does not deny that Genie could reshape gaming as it iterates through successive upgrades. But at this stage, on both gameplay and economics, it is still a long way from truly disruptive...

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Alphabet

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UnityApplovinRobloxHot topic
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Dolphin ResearchJan 20 at 08:02 AM

APP: Shorts kick off the year with another act — what are they saying now?

$AppLovin(APP.US) has been targeted by another short report.

This time it comes from CapitalWatch, a Chinese-run finance outlet with a smaller platform.

It lacks the clout of Muddy Waters. Western mainstream media have not followed up, and even the weekend teaser drew little chatter on X.

That said, the thesis takes a different tack. For details, see CapitalWatch's website or request the PDF from the assistant. In short...

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Axon Enterprise

Axon Enterprise

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Applovin
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Dolphin ResearchNov 6, 2025 at 04:01 AM

Applovin (Minutes): Currently, the week-over-week growth rate of new user spending on the self-service advertising platform has reached 50%

The following is a summary of the 3Q25 earnings call minutes for $AppLovin(APP.US) organized by Dolphin Research. For financial report interpretation, please refer to "Without High Growth and Violent Aesthetics, Is Applovin Still Attractive?" 1. Review of Core Financial Information This Quarter: The upgrade of the core gaming business model drove revenue to increase by 68% year-on-year to approximately $1.405 billion; adjusted EBITDA reached $1.158 billion, up 79% year-on-year, with a profit margin of 82%, an increase of 1 percentage point from the previous quarter, mainly due to the leverage effect and the moderate alleviation of foreign exchange fluctuations...

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MediaAlpha

MediaAlpha

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ApplovinConference Minutes
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Dolphin ResearchNov 6, 2025 at 01:05 AM

Without the high-growth violent aesthetics, is Applovin still appealing?

$AppLovin(APP.US) released its Q3 2025 financial report after the U.S. stock market closed on November 6th, Eastern Time. The performance slightly exceeded consensus expectations, including current revenue growth and margin optimization, as well as guidance for Q4. The Q4 guidance implies a slowdown in AppLovin's advertising growth, seemingly partially confirming the speculation that the initial response to the self-service advertising platform has been mediocre. Dolphin Research believes that considering the current self-service advertising is still in the testing phase in specific regions, the Q4 guidance alone cannot fully demonstrate the driving effect of self-service advertising...

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ApplovinFinancial Analysis

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