Nongfu Spring

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Dolphin Research

Nongfu Spring (Trans): Tea drinks lead; full-year double-digit growth target unchanged

H1 revenue was RMB 29.718 bn and net profit RMB 8.887 bn, both up Approx. 16% YoY. Tea beverages grew 30.1%, leading the portfolio.

Full-year targets for double-digit growth in sales and profit remain unchanged, but management provided no margin guidance. PET costs are still above pre-conflict levels and jasmine prices have risen after supply disruptions, while capex remains focused on building plants at water sources and new production lines.

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Dolphin Research

Nongfu Spring (Trans): GP at a record high, but driven by cheaper raw materials

H1 revenue was RMB 25.622bn (+15.6% YoY). GPM reached a record 60.3%, with all four categories posting double-digit growth.

Most of the 150bps GPM uplift stemmed from lower input costs such as PET. Raw material prices are only flat in H2.

Mgmt noted that once the biz scales to ~RMB 100bn revenue, sustaining high margins over the medium to long term will be difficult. Meanwhile, capex is being stepped up for plant construction at water-source sites and high-speed production lines.

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Dolphin Research

Nongfu Spring (Trans): No price hikes planned; still targeting double-digit growth---

Below is Dolphin Research's Trans of $NONGFU SPRING(09633.HK) FY2025 earnings call. For the earnings analysis, please see 'Nongfu Spring: From defense to offense, Water Moutai on a tear!': I. Core highlights recap:

1. Shareholder returns: The BOD proposes a final cash DPS of RMB 0.99 for FY2025, totaling approx. RMB 11.134 bn. Payout ratio stays around 70%, with the dividend up 30.9% YoY.

2. Guidance: For 2026, the company targets double-digit revenue growth. This is a revenue target. ...

山 农夫山泉 NONGFU SPRING
农夫山泉2H25财务数据概览 单位:亿元,人民币 1H21 2H21 1H22 2H22 1H23 2H23 1H24 2H24 1H25 2H25 2H25E
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Dolphin Research

Nongfu Spring: Green bottle exits, red bottle takes the stage, the 'Water Moutai' makes a comeback!

On the afternoon of August 26th, Beijing time, Nongfu Spring (9633.HK) released its H1 2025 performance report. As the public opinion impact gradually subsided in the first half of the year, Nongfu increased the promotion of its red bottle water and reduced subsidies for its green bottle water, driving the overall performance of the company to fully recover, exceeding market expectations. It is a good performance report.

农夫山泉 NONGFU SPRING
农夫山泉财务数据概览 单位:亿元,人民币 1H21 2H21 1H22 2H22 1H23 2H23 1H24 2H24 1H25 1H25E 预期差 整体 总
农夫山泉营收利润趋势图 总营收 净利润 一收入同比 净利润同比 单位:% 单位:亿元 300 ninResearch DolphinResearc 海豚投研 I
包装饮用水产品营收趋势图 单位:亿元 包装饮用水产品 包装水YoY 单位:% 120 25.6% 18.6% 30% 100 豚投研 DolphinResear+9
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Dolphin Research

Nongfu Spring (Minutes): Profits are high, margins are not essential

The following is the Minutes of the conference call for Nongfu Spring's 2024 second half financial report organized by Dolphin Research. For the financial report interpretation, please refer to "Nongfu Spring: Has the Nature Mover Stopped Moving?" 1. Core Financial Information Review 1. Sales and Distribution Expenses: The marketing expense ratio for 2024 decreased from 21.8% in the same period of 2023 to 21.4%. Among them, although advertising and promotional expenses increased, logistics costs decreased due to the impact of the product sales volume structure. 2. Administrative Expenses: In 2024, it amounted to RMB 1.962 billion, accounting for 4.6% of total revenue...

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Dolphin Research

Nongfu Spring: "The carrier of nature" can not carry?

On the afternoon of March 25th, Beijing time, Nongfu Spring (9633.HK) released its 2024 H2 performance, with all core businesses falling short of market expectations. The specific points are as follows: 1. The decline in bottled water has widened: The 24H2 bottled water business achieved revenue of 7.42 billion yuan, a year-on-year decline of 24%, continuing to slow down compared to the first half of the year (-18%), significantly below market expectations (10.09 billion yuan). The market originally expected that in the second half of the year, as the impact of public opinion weakened, the expansion of green bottle water supply, and the bottled water business could significantly recover...

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