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Google
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Dolphin ResearchJul 27 at 01:39 PM

GOOGL on Trial: market swings or an investment binge to blame?

$Alphabet(GOOGL.US) $Alphabet - C(GOOG.US) delivered a solid Q2 print. Cloud revenue growth and a still-healthy expansion in backlog are key proof that AI spend is being put to work.

Yet despite a near-replay of Q1, the market reaction flipped, with shares down 7% after the print. This came on top of an earlier pullback as repeated delays to Gemini 3.5 Pro weighed on bullish sentiment. Rising uncertainty over AI ROI...

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Alphabet - C

Alphabet - C

USGOOG

GoogleHot topic
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Dolphin ResearchJul 23 at 02:50 AM

GOOGL (Trans): Betting on Gemini 4, capex set to jump again next year

Below is Dolphin Research's transcript of Alphabet's 2Q26 earnings call; for our commentary, cf. 'Alphabet: Is AI about to crack? The savior arrives'.

Key financial highlights: 1) Shareholder returns: the BOD raised the quarterly dividend by 5%.

2) Guidance: full-year CapEx guidance was lifted to $195-205bn (vs. $180-190bn prior)...

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Alphabet - C

Alphabet - C

USGOOG

GoogleConference Minutes
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Dolphin ResearchJul 23 at 02:07 AM

GOOGL: AI Crash Imminent? The Savior Has Arrived

Amid recent shifts in the AI narrative and weakening conviction among industry investors, GOOGL—as the first major AI buyer to report earnings—has drawn intense scrutiny. Investors are particularly focused on Capex, Cloud backlog, and cash flow trends.

1. Capex for the period hit $13.2BN (approx. RMB 44.9BN), doubling YoY.

During the earnings call, management raised full-year guidance from $53BN-$56BN to $57BN-$60BN (approx. RMB 195BN-205BN), representing a net increase of nearly $3BN (RMB 10BN)...

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Alphabet - C

Alphabet - C

USGOOG

Google
D
Dolphin ResearchJul 13 at 02:09 PM

AI Compute: From Feast to Leftovers?

In Dolphin Research's earlier piece 'AMZN's AI Misfire: Can It Mount a Comeback?', we examined AWS's AI buildout from several angles.

From in-house chips and the Anthropic partnership to model performance, we saw a meaningful step-up in AMZN's end-to-end AI capabilities, with the gap vs. Alphabet clearly narrowing.

Two questions still stand out for us.

First, AI margins at cloud providers seem better than we had penciled in; second, they remain heavily dependent on their model partners...

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Alphabet - C

Alphabet - C

USGOOG

AmazonMicrosoftGoogle
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Dolphin ResearchJun 2 at 10:24 AM

GOOGL borrows another 80 bn: rally refill or bubble litmus test?

Full-stack AI bellwether $Alphabet(GOOGL.US) has seen some recent softness in its share price.

At this juncture, the company announced an additional 80bn of external capital to fund AI infrastructure.

Over the past year, Google raised over $85bn via bond offerings across six markets. This new raise is the largest single round to date.

As for use of proceeds, management outlined a broad plan. The 80bn will mainly go to scaling AI infrastructure, concurrently buying call options to partially hedge future dilution from convertible preferreds, and covering taxes due when employee options vest...

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Alphabet - C

Alphabet - C

USGOOG

GoogleHot topic
D
Dolphin ResearchApr 30 at 05:53 AM

GOOGL (Trans): ROIC-Disciplined AI Investment to Stay Ahead

Below is Dolphin Research's Trans of the FY26 Q1 earnings call for $Alphabet(GOOGL.US) $Alphabet - C(GOOG.US).

For our earnings analysis, please see 'AI Google: No ghost stories, only a bumper harvest'.

I. Core highlights recap.

1) Shareholder returns: the BOD announced a 5% increase to the quarterly dividend.

2) Outlook: at spot FX, Q2 consolidated revenue is expected to see an ~1 ppt FX tailwind (vs. 3 ppts in Q1); full-year CapEx guidance was raised to $180-190bn (prior $175-185bn)...

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Citigroup

Citigroup

USC

GoogleConference Minutes
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Dolphin ResearchApr 30 at 02:19 AM

'AI' GOOGL: No Scary Stories, Just a Windfall

$Alphabet(GOOGL.US) Q1 blew past expectations again. With 40% of incremental revenue already driven by AI‑related cloud, it may be time to shed the ad label and call it an AI company.

Key takeaways: 1) Cloud was explosive, underpinning the valuation. Revenue reached 20 bn (+63% YoY), a small upside even vs a more bullish +60% buy‑side view and well ahead of peers.

Crucially, backlog (RPO) stands at 462 bn, nearly doubling from 240 bn at end‑2023. The bulk is cloud contracts...

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Alphabet

Alphabet

USGOOGL

GoogleFinancial Analysis
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Dolphin ResearchFeb 9 at 10:34 AM

AI Endgame: Power Calls the Shots?---

Is North America's power shortage a near- to mid-term supply-demand mismatch? Or a long-term structural issue?

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Bio-Techne

Bio-Techne

USTECH

NVIDIAGoogleMicrosoftAmazonMeta/Facebook
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Dolphin ResearchFeb 5 at 02:31 AM

Google (Trans): Expects compute capacity supply to remain constrained for the full year (energy, land, supply chain).

Below is Dolphin Research's Trans of $Alphabet(GOOGL.US) FY25 Q4 earnings call.

For the earnings analysis, see 'Google: The giant goes all-in, doubling down on AI'.

Key results recap – Guidance.

CapEx: Alphabet expects 2026 CapEx to jump to $175–185 bn, roughly 2x 2025's $91.4 bn.

Spend will focus on AI compute, servers, and data center buildouts...

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Alphabet - C

Alphabet - C

USGOOG

GoogleConference Minutes
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Dolphin ResearchFeb 5 at 02:01 AM

GOOGL: The Giant Doubles Down on AI

After hours on Feb 5 ET, $Alphabet(GOOGL.US) reported Q4 2025 results. The quarter was mixed, but overall skewed positive. What spooked the market was the staggering capex outlook — spend is set to double in 2026, raising concern over whether demand can keep up.

Key detail: 1) Capex. 2026 guidance is $175–185bn, roughly 2x YoY, vs. prior Street est. of ~$130bn. And this comes when many already thought Meta’s capex was hefty.

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Destiny Tech100

Destiny Tech100

USDXYZ

GoogleFinancial Analysis

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