NewUser_CkrdqW

I'm looking forward to post market Alphabet earnings & most importantly their forward guidance as well. Alphabet has pulled back and consolidated around the 340-360 mark since their last earnings, with even Bershire purchasing at higher prices of 360+. I do think 400 could be a plausible target by year end especially with their more efficient than ever TPUs.

$Microsoft(MSFT.US) Microsoft has had trouble convincing investors that it has a winning artificial-intelligence strategy, but they might be looking at the company's big AI initiatives all wrong, according to a Morgan Stanley analyst Adam Wood. Azure and Copilot are keys to the stock. Azure and Copilot show that Microsoft's AI investments are translating into durable value creation. With Azure, Microsoft is showing its ability to monetize infrastructure demand, and Wood believes the market is incorrectly valuing the cloud unit as a "bare-metal" or "commodity" AI infrastructure provider, whereby customers buy compute and inference capacity but not much else. On the other hand, Copilot-driven average revenue per user is becoming a great revenue driven tool. Microsoft has the opportunity to grow its revenue stream through Copilot seat adoption, push user migration towards Microsoft's M365 E7 subscriptions, and leverage a new consumption-based monetization strategy. @Captain's Treasure

While everyone else was focused on South Korea crash & buying the dips on memory stocks, I am paying attention to our local market. With the reduced board lot size introduced in October, many are pushing bank stocks higher before taking profit later on. I'm not 100% sure that a healthy pullback is on the cards anytime soon, but I'm certainly not rushing in as well. I'm buying these bank stocks for my dividend portfolio, not trading, hence the patience and not trying to fomo in to lock in more profits.

$NU Holdings(NU.US) Nubank, a leading digital financial institution in Latin America, has agreed to acquire Banco Porto Real, enhancing its service offerings for over 115 million customers in Brazil. This acquisition, pending Central Bank approval, aligns with regulatory requirements and will integrate Banco Porto Real's banking license into Nubank's existing operations without adding capital or liquidity pressures. Nubank aims to expand its market share while maintaining its commitment to innovative, customer-centric financial services, having already significantly increased access to banking solutions for millions of Brazilians. Nu has recovered nicely since the last earnings, currently hovering around the $13 range. Let's see if the upcoming earnings can propel the stock higher. @Captain's Treasure

I would be lying if I say I'm not worried about Netflix's stock performance over the past year. However, EPS is still growing strongly. People like to conveniently say that growth is slowing because they included the breakup fee from the WBD deal, but if we exclude that one time payment, Netflix's growth is still intact, with room to grow for the advertisement portion as well.

$Meta Platforms(META.US) Anthropic is holding very preliminary discussions on leasing computing capacity from Meta. After The New York Times reported that the two sides are discussing a potential transaction valued at around USD10 billion, shares of the social media giant rebounded. The discussions come weeks after Anthropic announced a similar agreement with Elon Musk-owned SpaceX to use computing capacity at its Colossus 1 data center to enhance service capacity for paid subscribers. This highlights that Anthropic, as one of the major AI laboratories, continues to engage in large-scale collaborations with other AI labs to access AI chips produced by Nvidia. In my opinion, this could help spur the recovery of Meta stock, but the main focus comes next week earnings. @Captain's Treasure

$Grab(GRAB.US) Grab runs a super app across Southeast Asia that brings together ride-hailing, food and grocery delivery, digital payments, and financial services in one platform, connecting millions of consumers, drivers, and merchants in daily transactions. Its services range from GrabFood and GrabMart to GrabPay, GrabFin, and GrabInsure, making it a central digital utility across eight countries. Grab generates most of its revenue from Deliveries at US$1.9b and Mobility at US$1.3b, with smaller contributions from Financial Services at US$379m and Others at US$4m. Grab Holdings stands out because it combines a super app footprint across eight Southeast Asian markets with fundamentals that fit well with a screener focused on financial resilience. @Captain's Treasure

🥇 Spain

🥈 Argentina

🥉 England

Market sell-off is not the only thing continuing into the weekend; the US-Iran war is too. South Korea's margin plays backfire for their traders and some are even forced to liquidate their accounts to stop the losses. This effect spirals into the US market as well, causing many big names and high beta stocks to drop massively. Heading into earnings season, we have also seen barely hitting analysts' expectations is not enough - investors are pricing in not just the fundamentals but also the future forward guidance.

$Netflix(NFLX.US) Netflix's Q3 revenue forecast of $12.86 billion and diluted earnings of 82 cents fell short of analyst expectations, leading to a huge drop in share price. The company is shifting focus from viewing-hours reports to prioritizing revenue and operating profit, aiming for new growth avenues including advertising and video games. Competition is intensifying, but Netflix remains confident in its performance, highlighting healthy engagement and plans to leverage technology and live events to support its growth strategy. The problem wasn't the headline numbers, but rather the forward guidance. In this era of the market, when forecast disappoints, the price reprices immediately, even if the results were just fine. I'm definitely going to load the dip, but it's not going to be a pretty ride. @Captain's Treasure

PayPal - the typical undervalued falling knife that one should avoid. As a long term investor myself, I haven't touched the stock since $60-$80 range and I'm glad to have exited my position long ago. Yes it is an undervalued stock with a reasonable p/e ratio. However, PayPal's earnings have been incredibly unstable, with declining revenue growth and margin pressures being the main reasons behind its drop off. Despite the reported takeover, I still think this could be a value trap until I finally start seeing solid fundamentals in its earnings report and a growth direction set by the company or whoever that eventually buys over.

$SoFi Tech(SOFI.US) Investors reacted positively to a lower CPI in June, indicating a month over month inflation decrease of 0.4%, primarily due to falling energy prices. This decline benefits rate-sensitive sectors like fintech, REITs, and homebuilders, as the likelihood of an imminent rate hike diminished significantly after the CPI release. Sofi earns most of its income from lending, especially personal and student loans, but demand for these loan refinancing had been dormant during the high-rate regime. A steady-rate environment may not trigger a stampede of refinancings, but it could help revitalize the company’s sleepy student loan refinance program. I am still targeting a long term recovery to the mid $20s before the next bullish cyclical cycle. @Captain's Treasure

1A, 2A, 3A

June CPI came in lower than expected and the markets cheered slightly. Software stocks turned positive by closing while massive capital was flowing back into chips and memory stocks. However, I still hold a neutral stance as the macro risk is still very real. With companies starting to report earnings from the end of the month, I will be paying close attention to what they have to say.

$Microsoft(MSFT.US) While a host of AI names have delivered massive gains, MSFT stock has shed 24% by being on the wrong side of the AI trade. Essentially, investors are worried that its massive AI infrastructure build-out won't generate the desired profits, while concerns that AI models could reduce the value of traditional software have also weighed on sentiment. Cloud computing and data centers are the keys. Msft remains a leader in cloud computing, a market expected to reach roughly $1.3 trillion in 2026 and potentially expand to $2.28 trillion by the end of the decade. The company is also positioned right at the heart of the data center boom, with that market forecast to grow from around $425 billion in 2026 to $902 billion by 2033, representing an 11% CAGR. Long term potential is still intact. @Captain's Treasure

1B, 2A, 3A