NewUser_zS0M8w

$Microsoft(MSFT.US)

Context: Bank of America analyst raised his price forecast on Microsoft to $600, saying that investors still underestimate how the company differentiates itself in artificial intelligence. He thinks that instead of competing with Claude, Gemini etc, Microsoft builds on those AI models by offering enterprises a secure, controlled platform for deploying them. He views Copilot as an orchestration layer that allows businesses to use Microsoft’s own AI applications or external models depending on the task. This can help customers avoid using the most expensive AI models for every application and better manage token costs. Microsoft Code 1 as an example, saying it can reduce costs by as much as 85% for certain tasks.

My Trade: I am betting on Microsoft in the long run. It survived the Global Financial Crisis, Covid, 2022 rate hikes, why wouldn't it survive a minor Saas-apocalypse setback?

Takeaway: Microsoft’s advantage lies in delivering the AI capabilities customers need across products such as Excel, PowerPoint and Dynamics 365 at substantially lower costs rather than simply offering the most advanced AI model. The ecosystem is also one that has been undisputedly at the top for decades. @Captain's Treasure

$Super Micro Computer(SMCI.US)

Context: In an effort to stand out from the crowd and get AI hardware in the hands of data centers, Cisco Systems is expanding its Secure AI Factory with Nvidia by including a partnership with Super Micro Computer. The Cisco AI Factory with Nvidia is a full-stack infrastructure system that helps companies build, deploy, and secure AI workloads. It combines AI infrastructure with full-stack security and is built to deliver faster agentic and physical AI applications. Cisco says with its partnership with Supermicro, customers will be able to deploy rack-to-fabric liquid cooling that features Cisco’s liquid-cooled AI networking systems alongside Supermicro’s liquid-cooled servers. Cisco expects to offer the solution in October.

My Trade: Still holding out in hopes for my rather ambitious profit target. Though it looks unlikely at least for now.

Takeaway: SMCI still has rooms for growth, and growing partnerships with companies outside of their main sector could diversify their revenue sources as well. @Captain's Treasure

$IREN(IREN.US)

Context: Iren recorded $137.2 million in revenue for the fourth fiscal quarter. Among this, AI cloud service revenue rose from $33.6 million in the previous quarter to $70.5 million, accounting for about 51.4% of total quarterly revenue and surpassing the Bitcoin mining business ($66.7 million) for the first time. While AI cloud revenue grew, asset impairments posed a significant drag on current-period earnings. On a GAAP basis, IREN's fourth-quarter net loss widened to $684 million from $247.8 million in the prior quarter, far exceeding the analyst estimate of $204.3 million. The loss was mainly driven by two non-cash items: an impairment on mining equipment assets of approximately $450.4 million and a decrease in the fair value of mining equipment held for sale of about $102.1 million, totaling $552.5 million and accounting for roughly 81% of the quarterly net loss.

My Trade: Patiently waiting for low $30s before considering to average down. The stock did drop to lowest $28 in the past month so there's the dip opportunity there.

Takeaway: Quite ironic that the decrease in fair value of mining equipment and impairment of mining equipment were the main drivers of the loss for the 4th quarter as Bitcoin is now back on the rise again. Despite this short term pressure and turnover, Iren has secured good deals with mega cap companies like Nvidia and Microsoft, so I still believe in the long term trajectory. @Captain's Treasure

$NVIDIA(NVDA.US)

Context: Nvidia released Q2 FY2027 results which were once again exceptionally great. Data Centre revenue was $89.0bn this quarter, a QoQ increase of $13.8bn, beating the Street ($86.0bn). Growth was driven by Blackwell shipments. Total revenues increased by 106% year-over-year to $96.2 billion, and management guided for a $108 billion revenue target in the current fiscal year’s third quarter. NVIDIA’s management said that they expect revenues for the next fiscal year ending January 2028 to grow by about 70%, which translates into a growth rate for the year that is substantially higher than the 44% growth rate that analysts forecasted.

My Trade: Tempted to take some profit because the trend usually shows that the buying will die down after a couple of days and the stock will be testing new support levels and consolidate for another period of time.

Takeaway: One additional thing to note is AWS and NVIDIA have announced that they will deploy an additional 2 million NVIDIA GPUs to AWS datacenters during 2027 and 2028. The agreement spans Blackwell Ultra, Rubin and Rubin Ultra GPUs, Vera CPUs, networking solutions, Nemotron open models and workloads that integrate physical and AI. One of the first examples to show that hyperscaler AI spending will remain high even with increased spending and energy costs. @Captain's Treasure

$Nebius(NBIS.US)

Context: Nebius Group announced the closing of its private offering of convertible senior notes with aggregate gross proceeds of approximately $5.75 billion. The company also entered into exchange agreements to swap certain existing convertible notes for approximately 15.8 million Class A ordinary shares. Nebius intends to use the net proceeds to finance business growth, including data center construction, AI cloud development, and general corporate purposes.

My Trade: Sometimes not doing anything might be the better thing. It was a risky bet when I bought it earlier on, but definitely one that paid off. Current price is still on the high side for my liking so I'm sitting on the fence for now.

Takeaway: Nebius indeed still has a long track way to grow l, provided they manage their finances well, which would most likely be the case with backings from Nvidia. Perhaps a price below $200 could be slightly more intriguing. @Captain's Treasure

$Nebius(NBIS.US)

Context: Nebius Group announced the closing of its private offering of convertible senior notes with aggregate gross proceeds of approximately $5.75 billion. The company also entered into exchange agreements to swap certain existing convertible notes for approximately 15.8 million Class A ordinary shares. Nebius intends to use the net proceeds to finance business growth, including data center construction, AI cloud development, and general corporate purposes.

My Trade: Sometimes not doing anything might be the better thing. It was a risky bet when I bought it earlier on, but definitely one that paid off. Current price is still on the high side for my liking so I'm sitting on the fence for now.

Takeaway: Nebius indeed still has a long track way to grow l, provided they manage their finances well, which would most likely be the case with backings from Nvidia. Perhaps a price below $200 could be slightly more intriguing. @Captain's Treasure

$Amazon(AMZN.US)Context: Amazon is turning its long-delayed drone-delivery dream into a much larger business. The company plans to expand Prime Air to nearly 500 U.S. cities and towns by the end of 2026, a sixfold increase from its current footprint. The Prime Air expansion is strategically important, even if it does not immediately move Amazon's earnings. Amazon currently operates Prime Air from 11 locations and plans to reach nearly 500 cities and towns by year-end. The drones can carry packages weighing up to five pounds, with eligible orders arriving in as little as 30 minutes. Amazon says it has already completed hundreds of thousands of drone deliveries this year and expects roughly 1 million deliveries in 2026.

My Trade: I am still holding on to my position bought earlier during the dips last year. I am currently targeting a $230-$240 range before I add more.

Takeaway: Prime Air could make Amazon more valuable. Faster delivery can encourage customers to order more frequently, particularly groceries, medicines, and everyday essentials. With Amazon competing with other rivals like Walmart, this innovation, if scaled appropriately and efficiently, can take them to the next level in the transportation.

@Captain's Treasure

$Super Micro Computer(SMCI.US) SMCI today announced the completion of the internal investigation led by the Company’s independent members of the Board of Directors regarding the March 2026 indictment of three individuals who were associated with the Company at that time. SMC was informed on March 19, 2026 that two employees and a contractor were indicted in connection with an alleged conspiracy to commit export-control violations. SMCI was not named as a defendant in the indictment and is not accused of any wrongdoing. The Company took swift action, and the three individuals no longer have any relationship with them. The investigation team reviewed the customer transactions that were the subject of the federal indictment, as well as transactions with a selection of other customers who bought restricted products, and did not find any evidence that any current member of senior management had knowledge of the alleged diversion scheme or of any actual diversion of restricted products by the Company. Nor did the investigation find that the Company directly sold export-controlled products to known restricted parties or locations. It also did not find any evidence that the Company’s previously issued financial statements could not be relied upon based on the potential diversion of restricted products. The Company developed and maintained its export compliance program as its sales of restricted products increased during the period under review. The Company’s compliance personnel have acted in good faith, with the support of management, to mitigate the risk of the Company’s products subject to export controls being diverted to restricted parties or locations. That is where buying the dip back when the news first broke out and holding on till the conclusion of investigation worked out perfectly for me. I am looking to sell once it hits my PT of $50. @Captain's Treasure

$ServiceNow(NOW.US) Fundamental demand for Software-as-a-Service has not seen the steep decline the market had warned about in the first six months of the year, mainly because SaaS companies have embraced artificial intelligence to undergo changes. "AI transformation is a matter of life and death for us," the head of a leading Chinese SaaS provider told Yicai recently. "But it feels like the era belonging to our industry has returned." As AI agents started demonstrating capabilities to directly invoke software, read data, and perform tasks at the beginning of the year, the capital market has voiced concerns that the traditional SaaS business model would be disrupted. But core software companies, including Germany's SAP and the US's ServiceNow, reported earnings growth in the second quarter, with AI having a real contribution to contracts and revenue. This was why I entered a position in ServiceNow when the software companies were all struggling, albeit not at the exact bottom. Yet, I'm still holding on as I believe that ServiceNow can continue to embrace the rapid changes and grow demand. @Captain's Treasure