YOLO~Nvidia
YOLO~Nvidia
$Strategy(MSTR.US) is now 80% below its peak; during the last bull-bear transition, it dropped by 90%.
Of course, no two situations are exactly the same.
You can analyze the declines of other crypto stocks compared to the last cycle, as well as digital currencies.
Another dimension is the duration of negative mining costs, miner bankruptcies, and production cuts, which can also be compared to the last bear market.
Path projection:
There will likely be many projects, institutions, and exchanges collapsing or going bankrupt—FTX from the last cycle is a familiar example.
Why does this happen? Because the crypto space operates in a legal gray area with minimal regulation, and these institutions often have poor risk management, coupled with extreme volatility.
The trigger for this bear market was the minor crash last October, but liquidity dried up, with $19-20 billion in leveraged liquidations, altcoins dropping 30%-70%, and market sentiment completely evaporating.
Only after several bankruptcies and collapses will the market gradually stabilize.
What’s different this time is that U.S. stocks remain strong, so MSTR probably won’t drop 90%. But if U.S. stocks start falling too, it’s a sure 90% drop.
$BitMine Immersion Tech(BMNR.US)
$Rezolve AI(RZLV.US) Private placement price is $4, which is quite reasonable
$Rezolve AI(RZLV.US)This trade has something, the second fluctuation washed me out
$Rezolve AI(RZLV.US)🫣
Will the bull market continue next year?
The year-to-date rise in the S&P 500 index has been almost entirely driven by earnings growth. However, if we conduct the same earnings analysis on the Nasdaq 100 index, the Mag 7 index, or even small-cap indices, we find that the valuations of these indices have actually contracted significantly.
$Rezolve AI(RZLV.US) Damn con stock, should take profits when available, can only wait for it to come back
$Trump Media & Tech(DJT.US) Go for it, get in
The main reason is that the current position is very low
Secondly, the combination of nuclear fusion and AI power is a good concept
Plus, Trump brings his own hot topics
There should be a one or two-week market trend... This event-driven factor fits the timing and conditions quite well
$Rezolve AI(RZLV.US) play around
Wear new shoes, walk the old path
It seems to have developed, turned around, and modernized, but once encountering pressure or real constraints, it reverts to the old ways—the practices from the beginning.
【Securities Researcher: "Information involving tax assessments for related high-tech companies" only indicates stricter assessments, not a blanket ban】
This afternoon, the Hang Seng Tech Index suddenly widened its losses, with the index falling more than 2.5% at one point. Alibaba, Tencent Holdings, JD.com, and Meituan all saw increased declines, and the corresponding call warrants plummeted across the board. At noon, a piece of information about "tax assessments for related high-tech companies" circulated among securities researchers, triggering market volatility. Although this rumor has not yet received official endorsement, the market has already begun pricing it in. However, the market's pricing of such events is often one-time, and the corresponding factors are also variable. If the situation reverses, it will inevitably trigger a major counterattack. A securities researcher said it is only stricter assessments, not a blanket ban.
$BABA-W(09988.HK)$TENCENT(00700.HK)$XIAOMI-W(01810.HK)
$Amazon(AMZN.US) has no Chinese version, clearly a humiliation, suggest everyone take action!
$Amazon(AMZN.US) will likely announce between 12 AM and 2:30 AM tonight,
the new Nova AI model + in-house Trainium 3 chip
Given Alibaba and Google's stock rose after announcing new models, mindlessly go long is advised
https://www.aboutamazon.com/
NVIDIA's after-hours plunge was entirely due to this article, Google's TPU is set to erode NVIDIA's GPU market share
https://www.theinformation.com/articles/google-encroaches-nvidias-turf-new-ai-chip-push?rc=jn0pp4
In October, Oracle's bubble was first reported by them, with high quality, foresight, and exclusivity
Essential for investing in US stocks$NVIDIA(NVDA.US)
The author is also the editor-in-chief
The possibility of a Fed rate cut in December has plummeted to a coin-toss level
A month ago, the probability was 96%
It feels like the adjustment of AI stocks this round is not over yet.
SoftBank surprisingly announced on Tuesday that it had sold its stake in $NVIDIA(NVDA.US) in October, cashing out $5.83 billion. SoftBank previously made a series of investments to establish its influence in the field of artificial intelligence. These investments include: NVIDIA, OpenAI, and Oracle. Due to the tech stock bull market, SoftBank's Vision Fund division achieved an investment income of 3.5 trillion yen in the second fiscal quarter, with OpenAI contributing 2.16 trillion yen. SoftBank stated in its latest earnings report that it will invest an additional $22.5 billion in OpenAI through Vision Fund 2 in December.
Figure 1, the prototype of the big short, shorted $1.1 billion; second, major banks have long discussed the bubble; third, today's earnings disclosure by SoftBank
$NVIDIA(NVDA.US)
$Canaan(CAN.US) pre-market order was set at 0.75, later changed to 0.73, what a mess 😹
$Sharplink(SBET.US) sold, 81% profit
$Sharplink(SBET.US)Sold too early lol
$Regencell Bioscience(RGC.US)500x in 2 months, the market maker is laughing at SEC: What can you do to me!
$Sharplink(SBET.US) sold, 35 points, just a small bet for fun
$WeRide(WRD.US) previously had a 30-point increase, but I bought the dip too early, and it fell back by 12 points. Now it feels like a good time to buy the dip again, given the significant pullback. $Pony AI(PONY.US) should rebound more aggressively.
$Sharplink(SBET.US)
May 27: Sold stocks to raise funds for buying coins.
At the end of May, a $425 million private investment in public equity (PIPE) was planned to issue approximately 69.1 million shares of common stock (or equivalent securities) at $6.15 per share ($6.72 per share for company management team members).
June 13: Sold stocks again to raise funds for buying coins. The problem is, the price was very low, leading to a sharp drop.
The company filed a registration statement for selling shareholders to resell up to 91.9 million shares, including approximately 58.7 million common shares, approximately 10.4 million pre-funded warrants, approximately 3.5 million strategic advisor warrants, and approximately 2.8 million placement agent warrants. These shares were issued in the PIPE offering and registration statement in May 2025.
The registration covers securities issued to Consensys Software Inc. as a strategic advisor, which received warrants exercisable at $6.15 to $7.995 per share. The warrants received by A.G.P./Alliance Global Partners as a placement agent are exercisable at $7.688 per share. The company will not receive proceeds from the resale of the shares but may receive up to $45 million if all warrants are exercised.
My personal opinion:
This company is not here to exploit naive investors in such a short time. After all, the founder of ETH has joined, so there's no need to act so quickly.
The after-hours drop was nearly 70%, and the safety margin is already very high.
Just a small position for fun. (Not investment advice)
$Regencell Bioscience(RGC.US) Another $AMTD Digital(HKD.US), unfortunately can't short, 200x in 4 months, can't participate because it's unpredictable, the 4 market makers are very cunning.
$NASDAQ Composite Index(.IXIC.US) saw two pieces of news
The first:
The U.S. plans to impose broader sanctions on Chinese technology, supplemented by secondary crackdowns.
Original text: US PLANS WIDER CHINA TECH SANCTIONS WITH SUBSIDIARY CRACKDOWN
The second:
Miller: China has not fulfilled its commitments to the U.S.
$NVIDIA(NVDA.US)
Out of bullets, pay attention to risk control
Retail investors have been the most steadfast force in the market this year.
After Moody's downgraded the U.S. credit rating, last Monday saw the largest single-day retail buying volume in U.S. stock history.
$Navitas Semiconductor(NVTS.US) has dropped. Should we go for it?
