$SK Hynix(SKHY.US)$XL2CSOPHYNIX(07709.HK)
Two waves of profit, that's enough
$Strategy(MSTR.US) is now 80% below its peak; during the last bull-bear transition, it dropped by 90%.
Of course, no two situations are exactly the same.
You can analyze the declines of other crypto stocks compared to the last cycle, as well as digital currencies.
Another dimension is the duration of negative mining costs, miner bankruptcies, and production cuts, which can also be compared to the last bear market.
Path projection:
There will likely be many projects, institutions, and exchanges collapsing or going bankrupt—FTX from the last cycle is a familiar example.
Why does this happen? Because the crypto space operates in a legal gray area with minimal regulation, and these institutions often have poor risk management, coupled with extreme volatility.
The trigger for this bear market was the minor crash last October, but liquidity dried up, with $19-20 billion in leveraged liquidations, altcoins dropping 30%-70%, and market sentiment completely evaporating.
Only after several bankruptcies and collapses will the market gradually stabilize.
What’s different this time is that U.S. stocks remain strong, so MSTR probably won’t drop 90%. But if U.S. stocks start falling too, it’s a sure 90% drop.
$BitMine Immersion Tech(BMNR.US)
Will the bull market continue next year?
The year-to-date rise in the S&P 500 index has been almost entirely driven by earnings growth. However, if we conduct the same earnings analysis on the Nasdaq 100 index, the Mag 7 index, or even small-cap indices, we find that the valuations of these indices have actually contracted significantly.
$Trump Media & Tech(DJT.US) Go for it, get in
The main reason is that the current position is very low
Secondly, the combination of nuclear fusion and AI power is a good concept
Plus, Trump brings his own hot topics
There should be a one or two-week market trend... This event-driven factor fits the timing and conditions quite well
Wear new shoes, walk the old path
It seems to have developed, turned around, and modernized, but once encountering pressure or real constraints, it reverts to the old ways—the practices from the beginning.
【Securities Researcher: "Information involving tax assessments for related high-tech companies" only indicates stricter assessments, not a blanket ban】
This afternoon, the Hang Seng Tech Index suddenly widened its losses, with the index falling more than 2.5% at one point. Alibaba, Tencent Holdings, JD.com, and Meituan all saw increased declines, and the corresponding call warrants plummeted across the board. At noon, a piece of information about "tax assessments for related high-tech companies" circulated among securities researchers, triggering market volatility. Although this rumor has not yet received official endorsement, the market has already begun pricing it in. However, the market's pricing of such events is often one-time, and the corresponding factors are also variable. If the situation reverses, it will inevitably trigger a major counterattack. A securities researcher said it is only stricter assessments, not a blanket ban.
$BABA-W(09988.HK)$TENCENT(00700.HK)$XIAOMI-W(01810.HK)
$Amazon(AMZN.US) will likely announce between 12 AM and 2:30 AM tonight,
the new Nova AI model + in-house Trainium 3 chip
Given Alibaba and Google's stock rose after announcing new models, mindlessly go long is advised
https://www.aboutamazon.com/

Amazon News: Breaking news about Amazon and latest company updates
News announcements, original stories, and facts about Amazon.
NVIDIA's after-hours plunge was entirely due to this article, Google's TPU is set to erode NVIDIA's GPU market share
https://www.theinformation.com/articles/google-encroaches-nvidias-turf-new-ai-chip-push?rc=jn0pp4
In October, Oracle's bubble was first reported by them, with high quality, foresight, and exclusivity
Essential for investing in US stocks$NVIDIA(NVDA.US)
The author is also the editor-in-chief
https://www.theinformation.com/articles/google-encroaches-nvidias-turf-new-ai-chip-push?rc=jn0pp4In
It feels like the adjustment of AI stocks this round is not over yet.
SoftBank surprisingly announced on Tuesday that it had sold its stake in $NVIDIA(NVDA.US) in October, cashing out $5.83 billion. SoftBank previously made a series of investments to establish its influence in the field of artificial intelligence. These investments include: NVIDIA, OpenAI, and Oracle. Due to the tech stock bull market, SoftBank's Vision Fund division achieved an investment income of 3.5 trillion yen in the second fiscal quarter, with OpenAI contributing 2.16 trillion yen. SoftBank stated in its latest earnings report that it will invest an additional $22.5 billion in OpenAI through Vision Fund 2 in December.
Figure 1, the prototype of the big short, shorted $1.1 billion; second, major banks have long discussed the bubble; third, today's earnings disclosure by SoftBank
$NVIDIA(NVDA.US)
