- Japan's economy grew at an annualized rate of 2.1% in the first quarter, exceeding the market's expected 1.7%.
- This growth is now threatened by the energy impacts of the Iranian conflict, with analysts predicting a slowdown in future quarters.
- Private consumption increased by 0.3%, while net external demand contributed 0.3 percentage points to growth, despite rising risks from oil price fluctuations and supply disruptions.
- The Bank of Japan maintained interest rates at 0.75%, but a 6-3 split among board members indicated growing internal pressure for a policy tightening.
- The rise in energy costs and inflation risks due to the Iran war has led to increased market expectations for a potential rate hike to 1.0%.
- Analysts suggest that the BOJ might implement this hike as early as June if inflationary pressures persist.