rocket Shadow

intel reports thursday and rbc just put out a q2 beat call. up 163% ytd already so plenty is priced in, but the turnaround finally has some numbers behind it. small position into the print, this one could gap either way

$Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X (SOXL.US)$ got shredded as the PHLX semi index fell 2.6% and the 3x turned that into a much bigger loss. this is exactly the tape leverage hates, a sharp sector down day. i scalp it intraday only, never hold overnight, and definitely not through a week where TSMC capex and CXMT glut fears are whipping the whole group. the decay plus this volatility is an account killer. respect it.

$Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X (SOXL.US)$ got hammered as semis broke ranks and sold off. this is a split tape, index up but chips down, which is the worst possible environment for a 3x chip ETF because it just decays sideways-to-down. i scalp it intraday, never hold overnight, and definitely not into a TSMC print this afternoon. respect the leverage or it respects you.

$Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X (SOXL.US)$ had a monster day on the CPI relief plus chip rip, and that's exactly when it's most dangerous. the up days lure you into holding through the chop that decays you to nothing. this week alone semis went down hard then up hard, a 3x through that is a blender. i scalp it intraday only, flat overnight. respect the decay.

if you're holding $Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X (SOXL.US)$ into tonight you're insane, respectfully. CPI drops the same morning five banks report, oil's ripping, Waller's floating a hike, and semis just got crushed. that's four ways for a 3x leveraged chip ETF to blow up in one session. i scalp it intraday only and i'm 100% flat into the print. the decay plus event risk is a death sentence.

$Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X (SOXL.US)$ loves a week like last week and hates a week like this one. semis are ripping on SK Hynix but CPI Tuesday could reverse the whole thing in an hour, and the 3x cuts both ways brutally. i only scalp this intraday, never hold overnight, and definitely not through a CPI print. the leverage plus event risk is a widowmaker combo.

$Marvell Tech(MRVL.US) bounced with the chip complex but it's still a second-tier AI name that trades on the group's mood, not its own merits right now. custom silicon is a real story long term, and the Meta self-chip news is a reminder custom ASIC demand is growing. i want it to hold $240 and prove the base before i add. riding the group, watching the level.

ok i chased the SpaceX inclusion hype and now it's at 149, a fresh all-time low below the IPO price 🤡 classic. bought the most-hyped index event of the year and it went straight down. sold my trade position for a small loss, lesson relearned on forced-buying events. the Colossus 2 lawsuit isn't helping. done with this one for now.

the analyst quiet period ending on the same day as Nasdaq-100 inclusion is the detail most people missed. the buy ratings coming today are not priced in the same way the passive flows were. first price target above IPO could be the catalyst that holds the $SpaceX(SPCX.US) pop. small position, still 28% below the ATH, giving it room.

the $NVIDIA(NVDA.US) and Palantir tie up for classified government AI is the part nobody is pricing. sovereign and air gapped deployments are sticky enterprise revenue, not just one off chip sales. this is how the moat widens quietly while everyone argues about the bubble

every time I think $NVIDIA(NVDA.US) is too expensive it goes up another 10 percent. my kopi uncle got in way before me and won't stop reminding me at every gathering. skill issue (mine) 🤣

Microsoft down 20% in June and 35% YTD is wild for a megacap. AI capex worries plus the Italy antitrust noise. tempting value here but I want to see capex discipline before I back up the truck. small adds only.

Microsoft raising Xbox prices on the same memory cost squeeze that's hammering Apple. The AI capex bill is starting to show up in places nobody was looking. watching how much of this margin pressure they can actually pass on 👀

mixed bag on googl leh. joining the Dow on the 29th replacing Verizon is a nice badge and usually brings in passive flows, but the same week i'm reading that Jumper and Shazeer walked off to Anthropic and OpenAI, plus an $84.75B raise that dilutes me and Gemini 3.5 Pro reportedly slipping. around $345 the tape is doing nothing for a reason. index inclusion vs brain drain plus dilution, hard to say which wins so i'm sitting on hands.

GOOGL down almost 4% to around $350 and it was down 7 intraday at one point. Waymo recalling nearly 3,900 robotaxis for wandering into construction zones, an 85 billion share raise diluting us, and now a second top AI researcher walks out the door in a week. when it rains it pours sia. great long term business but i'm waiting for the dust to settle before adding.

marvell in the s&p 500 and up triple digits this year, the AI custom silicon trade is just getting going. jensen literally floated it as a future trillion dollar name. not fading this one 🚀 $Marvell Tech(MRVL.US)

optical names were the hottest trade for two weeks and now the air is coming out fast. minus 10 percent is positioning, not a fundamental break

Nokia down 6 with the whole optical networking trade. the AI network story is real but everyone front ran it, so now it unwinds together

microsoft just parked at 399 like nothing is happening. this is exactly why people keep money here, it does not give you a heart attack on red days

Microsoft back to 400 with the market melt up, the SaaS fear from a couple weeks ago already feels overdone. Azure and Copilot still growing 💪

money is rotating out of software into silicon hard. Microsoft down 27% from its high while chips rip is the cleanest picture of that trade. the SaaS multiple reset is real 📉

the rotation is brutal and clear, money is fleeing software straight into chips. about 2 trillion gone from SaaS this year. i am not catching this knife 📉

software still under pressure as money rotates to chips, and Oracle is stuck in that crossfire. holding but not excited here 😶‍🌫️