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Generative AI Gains Traction in U.S. Workforce, Federal Reserve Report Reveals

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The Federal Reserve's report reveals that 25% of U.S. workers have used generative AI in their jobs recently, with higher rates among those with advanced education. Most users view AI as a tool for efficiency and career growth. The report also highlights stable financial conditions for U.S. residents, though younger individuals and low-income families face increased financial pressures, with inflation being a primary concern.

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CHINA FOREIGN MINISTRY: CHINA, US SHOULD JOINTLY PROMOTE AI DEVELOPMENT, GOVERNANCE

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NASDAQ Golden Dragon China Index

CHINA FOREIGN MINISTRY: CHINA, US SHOULD JOINTLY PROMOTE AI DEVELOPMENT, GOVERNANCE

Wall Street's major indices closed lower on Friday, with the Dow down 1%, S&P 500 down 1.2%, and Nasdaq down 1.5%, following a decline in tech stocks and rising U.S. Treasury yields after the U.S.-China summit.

- Wall Street’s major market averages declined on Friday due to a drop in tech stocks and rising U.S. Treasury yields after the U.S.-China summit.  
- The blue chip Dow (DJI) closed down 1%, the S&P 500 (SP500) fell by 1.2%, and the Nasdaq Composite (COMP:IND) decreased by 1.5%.  
- Investors are advised to monitor three key factors in the market moving forward.

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3 things to look out for on Tuesday

Kevin Warsh is set to be sworn in as the new chair of the US Federal Reserve, amid speculation about potential interest rate cuts. Prediction markets show a 38.2% chance of rate cuts before 2027, down from 96% in February, while CME FedWatch indicates a 98.8% probability that rates will remain unchanged until at least June. Lawmakers are also urging President Trump to nominate a full panel for the Commodity Futures Trading Commission amid ongoing regulatory concerns.

Cointelegraph

Odds against rate cuts high as new US Fed chair set for swearing in

U.S. stock index futures experienced a broader decline, with Nasdaq futures falling by 1%. According to Jin10, this movement reflects growing concerns among investors about market volatility and potential economic challenges. The decline in futures suggests a cautious sentiment as traders assess the impact of recent economic data and geopolitical developments on the stock market.

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STOCKS | U.S. Stock Index Futures Decline as Nasdaq Futures Drop 1%

The US will host the G20 Foreign Ministers' meeting in Atlanta on October 30-31, focusing on global economic challenges, resilient supply chains, and international cooperation. Chaired by Secretary of State Marco Rubio, the meeting aims to promote global stability and prosperity. President Trump will host the G20 Leaders' Summit in Miami on December 14-15. The G20 includes major economies representing about 85% of global GDP.

- The US will host the G20 Foreign Ministers' meeting in Atlanta on October 30-31, focusing on global economic challenges and strengthening international cooperation.  
- Chaired by US Secretary of State Marco Rubio, the meeting aims to advance the G20's mission of promoting global stability and prosperity.  
- The G20 consists of major economies that represent about 85 percent of global GDP and nearly two-thirds of the world's population.

Business Standard

US to host G20 foreign ministers' meeting in Atlanta on October 30-31

The Cleveland Fed forecasts a 4.2% rise in May CPI, the highest in over a year, with CEOs expecting high prices until 2027. Wages increased by 3.6% from April 2025 to April 2026, lagging behind inflation at 3.8%, reducing purchasing power for lower-income households. There is a 40% chance of stagflation by the end of 2026 due to energy shocks, persistent inflation, and slowing growth.

- The Cleveland Fed forecasts a May CPI increase of 4.2%, marking the highest annual rise in over a year, with CEOs anticipating high prices through 2027.  
- Wages increased by 3.6% from April 2025 to April 2026, while inflation hit 3.8%, reducing purchasing power, particularly for lower-income households facing rising energy costs.  
- There is now a 40% likelihood of stagflation by the end of 2026 due to energy shocks, persistent inflation, and decelerating growth, complicating the policy landscape.

Fed sees inflation hitting 4.2% as stagflation risks grow

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US manufacturing output rose 0.6% in April, marking the largest gain in 14 months, driven by motor vehicles and high-tech goods. However, geopolitical tensions in the Strait of Hormuz are straining supply chains and raising costs. Additionally, producer prices have increased at the fastest rate in four years, raising concerns about inflation and potential demand slowdown.

- Manufacturing output increased by 0.6% in April, marking the largest gain in 14 months, primarily driven by motor vehicles and high-tech goods.  
- Supply chains are under strain due to geopolitical disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz, which are raising costs and causing material shortages.  
- Producer prices have risen at the fastest rate in four years, raising concerns about ongoing inflation and a potential slowdown in demand.

Dow Jones U.S. Index

US manufacturing posts strongest gain since early 2025

Markets are now pricing in over a 50% chance of a Fed rate hike by December 2026, reversing previous expectations for cuts. Core import prices increased by 3.3% year-on-year in April, with energy costs rising due to supply disruptions from the Iran conflict. Lower-income households are quickly depleting tax refunds as inflation exceeds wage growth, raising concerns about a potential spending slowdown.

- The markets now anticipate more than a 50% probability of a Federal Reserve rate hike by December 2026, reversing previous expectations for rate cuts.  
- Core import prices increased by 3.3% year-on-year in April, alongside rising energy costs due to supply disruptions linked to the Iran conflict.  
- Lower-income households are rapidly depleting tax refunds as inflation surpasses wage growth, which heightens the risk of a consumer spending slowdown.

Markets see December Fed hike as inflation stays high

The New York Manufacturing Index rose unexpectedly to 19.6 in May from 11.0 in April, indicating strong growth in manufacturing activity, according to the Federal Reserve Bank of New York. Economists had anticipated a decline to 7.8, making this increase surprising.

- The New York Federal Reserve reported strong growth in manufacturing activity for May.  
- The general business conditions index rose sharply from 11.0 in April to 19.6 in May, indicating unexpected growth.  
- Economists had anticipated a decrease to 7.8, making the increase surprising.

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New York Manufacturing Index Unexpectedly Jumps To Four-Year High In May

Nasdaq futures face a bearish outlook after failing to maintain a push towards 29,300, indicating a potential bull trap. The current bias is bearish below this level, with key targets at 29,114, 28,966, and 28,942. Market sentiment is influenced by geopolitical developments and rising real yields, affecting tech and growth stocks. Traders should monitor the bond market closely and be prepared for volatility, particularly in the energy sector due to recent diplomatic progress with Iran.

- Nasdaq futures are currently biased bearish as they failed to maintain a push above 29,300, leading to potential selling opportunities.  
- Key levels include 29,250 as a resistance zone and targets of 29,114, 28,966, and 28,942 for bearish traders, while bulls require a sustained reclaim above 29,300 to repair the failed breakout.  
- The broader market is influenced by geopolitical developments and tightening macroeconomic conditions, prompting investors to remain cautious in their trading strategy.

NASDAQ-100(.NDX.US)

Generative AI Gains Traction in U.S. Workforce, Federal Reserve Report Reveals

CHINA FOREIGN MINISTRY: CHINA, US SHOULD JOINTLY PROMOTE AI DEVELOPMENT, GOVERNANCE

3 things to look out for on Tuesday

Odds against rate cuts high as new US Fed chair set for swearing in

STOCKS | U.S. Stock Index Futures Decline as Nasdaq Futures Drop 1%

US to host G20 foreign ministers' meeting in Atlanta on October 30-31

Fed sees inflation hitting 4.2% as stagflation risks grow

US manufacturing posts strongest gain since early 2025

Markets see December Fed hike as inflation stays high

New York Manufacturing Index Unexpectedly Jumps To Four-Year High In May

Nasdaq analysis today shows bull trap risk rises after failed push toward 29300