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Investors await comments from Fed officials and economic data for further clues on US interest rate policy, the dollar remains strong, and gold stabilizes on Monday

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Gold prices extend the previous session’s losses on a firmer dollar as a lack of progress in U.S.-Iran talks fueled inflation fears and expectations of higher interest rates.

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Gold extends losses on rate fears

JPMorgan has reduced its 2026 gold forecast to $5,243 due to weak investor interest, low futures activity, and muted ETF inflows. Gold prices have fallen nearly 20% from January highs, impacted by rising yields, dollar strength, and US-Iran tensions. Analysts predict a potential rebound in demand from investors and central banks by late 2026 if inflation and energy volatility decrease.

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JPMORGAN CHASE & CO. 4.20% DEP SHS REPSTG 1/400TH PFD SER MM

JPMORGAN CHASE & CO. 6%NON CUM DEP SHS REP 1/400TH PFD SER EE

JPMORGAN CHASE & CO. DEP REP 1/400TH (5.75% NON CUM PFD DD)

JPMORGAN CHASE & CO. 4.625% DEP SH RE 1/400TH INT NO CU PF LL

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JPMorgan cuts 2026 gold forecast to $5,243 amid weak demand

Gold and crude oil prices experienced significant volatility on Monday, with gold initially falling before recovering, only to drop again. Crude oil prices rose above $110 per barrel after earlier losses, influenced by reports of potential US sanctions waivers on Iranian oil. Concerns over escalating tensions in the Middle East and rising bond yields impacted gold's appeal, leading to lowered price forecasts from banks like JPMorgan.

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Commodity wrap: Oil and gold swing wildly as Iran conflict fuels volatility

Analysts predict a decline in gold and silver futures due to rising interest rates and technical resistance, despite some recent price increases in India. Experts suggest shorting these metals, anticipating a drop towards key support levels. However, long-term demand driven by industrial use, clean energy growth, and central bank purchases remains strong.

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Analysts expect gold and silver futures to fall despite long-term demand

Wall Street banks have set ambitious gold price targets for 2026, with JPMorgan predicting $6,300 per ounce, Deutsche Bank at $6,000, Goldman Sachs at $5,400, and UBS at $5,900. Currently, gold trades at $4,548, down 16% from January. Additionally, Russian retail investors are increasing gold purchases, with March 2026 trading volume at 42.6 tonnes, up significantly from last year, and monetary volume reaching 534.4 billion rubles ($7.1 billion).

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Wall Street Banks Set Bold Gold Targets for 2026

Bitget's User Asset Allocation Report 2026 reveals that retail investors are diversifying beyond crypto into commodities, equities, and AI-assisted investing. While 86% of users still hold crypto, trading in traditional assets like gold has surged, now accounting for 20-40% of total activity. High-net-worth users reported an average annual return of 13% in 2025, with 74% planning to expand their portfolios. AI tools are increasingly utilized for investment decisions, and users prioritize platforms that offer global asset access and stablecoin settlement.

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Bitget UEX report: retail investors move beyond crypto

Gold prices are currently below $4,700 an ounce, but ETF inflows indicate strong investor demand, with global gold-backed ETFs seeing inflows of 45 tonnes in April, valued at $6.575 billion. European ETFs led the inflows, driven by geopolitical instability and inflation concerns. Despite this, analysts warn that gold may face short-term pressure due to interest rate expectations and energy market disruptions from the Iran conflict. Asian demand remains robust, with inflows of over 11 tonnes in April, primarily from China. Analysts maintain a constructive long-term outlook for gold amid ongoing geopolitical tensions.

Goldman Sachs Physical Gold ETF

Gold holds below $4,700 but ETF inflows signal strong investor appetite

Deutsche Bank Research argues that the era of US dominance and liberal order is over, marking a 'return of history'. The US is retreating from free trade and alliances, leading to a superpower struggle. This shift has significant implications for gold and the US dollar, as the dollar banking system has been weaponized, affecting global economic dynamics.

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The Return Of History: Deutsche On Gold, The Dollar, & The Monetary Future

Turkey's Central Bank has commenced a week-long gold-for-lira swap auction, utilizing traditional methods. According to Jin10, the auction involves a total of 10 tons of gold.

iShares MSCI Turkey

Turkey's Central Bank Initiates Gold-for-Lira Swap Auction

Gold prices remained steady at around US$4,700 an ounce as optimism for a deal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz diminished due to recent US-Iran clashes. The US military targeted Iranian positions after attacks on Navy vessels, escalating tensions in the region. Gold has dropped approximately 11% since the conflict began, driven by inflation concerns and the impact on interest rates. Spot gold rose 0.3% to US$4,697.39, while silver increased by 0.6%. Traders are awaiting US non-farm payroll data for insights on future interest rate movements.

Businesstimes News

Gold steady as US-Iran clashes dim truce prospects in Middle East

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