ISHRS MSCI Indonesia

Indonesia Plans to Tighten Bulk Commodity Export Controls

Indonesian Stock Exchange Chairman Says MSCI Announcement Lowers Market Uncertainty

Indonesian Minister of Planning Sets 2027 GDP Growth Target at 5.9% to 7.5%

Indonesia's GDP Grew 5.61% in Q1, Future Growth May Slow

Indonesia's Coal Exports from January to March Reaches 85.87 Million Tonnes

Indonesia Maintains 7-Day Repo Rate at 4.75%

Indonesia Central Bank Expects Q1 GDP Growth to Exceed 5%

Indonesia's Central Bank Indicates Narrowing Space for Future Rate Cuts

Indonesian Rupiah Rises to 16970 per US Dollar

Indonesia Raises Public Shareholding Ratio to 15%

Indonesia's CPI rose by 0.41% MoM in March

Indonesia's Coal Exports Were 56.39 Million Tons in Jan-Feb

Indonesia's February Exports Grow Below Forecast

Indonesian Stock Exchange Releases 15% Free Float Rule

Indonesia's Energy Minister Says LPG and Fuel Supplies Are Safe

Indonesia Central Bank Raises NDF Sales Threshold to $10 Million

Bank Indonesia Adjusts Foreign Exchange Policy to Stabilize Rupiah

Indonesia's Central Bank Maintains Benchmark Rate at 4.75%

Fitch Downgrades Indonesia's Sovereign Credit Rating Outlook to Negative

Bank Indonesia Projects 2026 GDP Growth at 4.9% to 5.7%

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Indonesia plans to tighten control over commodity exports, including coal and palm oil, to combat tax evasion and support the declining rupiah. A new state entity, supervised by the sovereign wealth fund Danantara, may be announced soon. This move aims to address under-invoicing issues that have cost the government billions in tax revenue. The stock index fell 3.5% amid speculation about the new agency, which could impact global commodity markets.

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Indonesia plans to tighten state control over commodity exports

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ASEAN nations are reversing their commitments to net-zero emissions and returning to fossil fuels due to a recent energy crisis exacerbated by Middle East conflicts. Countries like Indonesia and Vietnam are increasing coal production and usage to ensure affordable and reliable electricity for their growing economies. This shift highlights the challenges of transitioning to renewable energy amidst rising gas prices and supply chain disruptions, as governments prioritize energy security over climate pledges.

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ASEAN nations return to fossil fuels, back away from net zero plans

Southeast Asia's power demand is expected to surge by over 100 TWh in four years, necessitating $200B in investments. Analysts warn of an $18B annual shortfall in grid investments by 2035, which could lead to delays and cancellations of renewable projects. In the past five years, up to 60% of renewable projects in Vietnam, Thailand, and Indonesia have been scrapped due to regulatory and system challenges.

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Southeast Asia faces $200B power demand surge amid grid risks

The Indonesian rupiah has hit a record low, dropping 1.1% to 17,658 per US dollar amid inflation fears and a global sell-off. The currency also fell against the Singapore dollar, and Jakarta's main stock index dropped over 4%. Fitch and Moody's have downgraded Indonesia's credit outlook to negative. Bank Indonesia is under pressure to defend the rupiah, which has weakened over 5% against the dollar this year. President Prabowo Subianto claimed the economy remains strong despite the currency's decline.

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Indonesia rupiah slumps to new low as high oil prices fuel inflation fears

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Thailand's Q1 GDP data is expected to show slowed growth, with private consumption moderating and tourism revenue contracting. In Malaysia, inflation may rise to 1.9% due to higher fuel prices, while exports remain strong. Indonesia's central bank is likely to raise its policy rate by 25 basis points amid forex pressures, although a larger hike is deemed unlikely. A pause may occur if significant foreign currency bonds are issued.

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European markets showed mixed results in early trading, with the pan-European STOXX 600 up 0.4%. In Asia, South Korea rebounded 2.6%, while Indonesia's IDX fell 2% after MSCI announced the removal of over 10 Indonesian stocks from global indices due to high ownership concentration. Eurozone GDP grew 0.1% QoQ, but industrial production fell 2.1% YoY, missing expectations. Futures for US indices were mixed, with DJIA futures down 0.5% and Nasdaq up 0.83%.

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Europe Markets Mixed Early; Asia Markets Mostly Higher with S Korea Rebounding 2.6%, Indonesia IDX Falls 2% as MSCI Removes Over 10 Indonesian Stocks from Global Indices

Indonesia ranks second in Southeast Asia for ultra-wealthy individuals, with 3,833 people holding US$30 million or more, a 37% increase since 2021. This number is projected to rise by 82% to 6,966 by 2031, marking the fastest growth globally. Singapore leads the region with 7,171 ultra-high net worth individuals, followed by Thailand, the Philippines, Malaysia, and Vietnam. The Asia-Pacific region comprises nearly 31% of the global ultra-high net worth population, trailing North America's 37%.

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Indonesia’s ultra-wealth population ranks 2nd in Southeast Asia

Indonesia's central bank has tightened rules on dollar purchases to support the weakening rupiah, limiting monthly purchases to $50,000 per person. Governor Perry Warjiyo emphasized the need for genuine demand rather than speculation. Analysts expect these measures to provide short-term relief amid geopolitical tensions and fiscal concerns. However, doubts remain about the effectiveness of these interventions, with some economists predicting limited impact unless external factors improve, such as U.S. rate cuts and geopolitical stability. The central bank may need to consider rate hikes to further support the rupiah.

- Indonesia's central bank has tightened rules on dollar purchases to stabilize the rupiah, which recently weakened to new lows amid domestic and international uncertainties.  
- New measures limit individual monthly dollar purchases to $50,000 unless a legitimate reason is provided, aimed at curbing speculative activity.  
- Analysts suggest these interventions might provide temporary relief for the rupiah, but significant recovery is uncertain due to external pressures and ongoing fiscal concerns.

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Indonesia Central Bank Tightens Rules on Dollar Purchases to Support Rupiah

Indonesia's economy grew 5.61% in Q1 2026, the fastest pace in over three years, driven by a 21.8% increase in government spending and strong household consumption during Ramadan. However, analysts caution that growth may slow due to high energy prices and external pressures from the Middle East conflict. Finance Minister Purbaya Yudhi Sadewa remains optimistic about continued growth, supported by incentives for key sectors. The government targets GDP growth of 5.4% for 2026, while Bank Indonesia forecasts a range of 4.9% to 5.7%.

- In the first quarter of 2026, Indonesia's economy grew at its fastest rate in over three years, with a year-on-year GDP increase of 5.61%, driven by a surge in government spending and festive activities.  
- However, analysts warn that conflicts in the Middle East could threaten this growth momentum, as rising energy prices and fiscal pressures may dampen future economic activity.  
- The Indonesian government anticipates continued growth supported by incentives for sectors like electric vehicles, despite facing challenges such as external economic shocks and budget constraints.

Indonesia's first-quarter economic growth is fastest in over three years

Indonesia's Finance Minister announced that the government is preparing industry incentives to stimulate GDP growth. According to Jin10, these measures will focus on sectors such as electric vehicles and textiles.

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Indonesia Prepares Industry Incentives to Boost GDP Growth

ISHRS MSCI Indonesia(EIDO.US)