Wtree India Earnings

Indian Government Issues Directive to Strengthen Natural Gas Infrastructure

USD to INR Exchange Rate Reaches Historic Low

Indian Refineries Operating at Full Capacity to Meet Energy Demand

India's fuel sales in February grew by 5.8%, reaching 20.24 million tons

India expects nominal GDP growth of 10% and total revenue of 35.33 trillion rupees

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India's 10-year bond yield reached 7.13%, the highest since May 2024, while the 5-year yield hit 6.934%, indicating rising borrowing costs. The rupee fell to an all-time low of 96.35 per U.S. dollar, making it one of the worst-performing currencies globally. Contributing factors include high oil prices, elevated U.S. Treasury yields, and tensions in the Middle East, which are increasing inflation risks and straining India's fiscal outlook.

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Indian bond yields hit multi-year highs as rupee sinks

The Indian rupee has fallen to a record low of 96.44 per U.S. dollar due to rising oil prices and increasing U.S. Treasury yields, exacerbated by the ongoing Iran conflict. Economists predict a significant widening of India's current account deficit, estimated between $65 to $70 billion this year. High crude prices are impacting India's external balances and inflation, with April's merchandise trade deficit reaching $28.38 billion. The situation is further complicated by rising U.S. yields, making it harder for India to attract necessary capital inflows.

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Rupee hits all-time low on mounting external finance pressures, rising US yields

India Ratings projects that the Reserve Bank of India will maintain the repo rate at 5.25% through FY27, citing stable inflation within the central bank's tolerance band. GDP growth is estimated at 6.7% with retail inflation at 4.4%. The report highlights potential pressures on domestic growth from global inflation trends and crude prices, alongside subdued private investment due to economic uncertainties. The trade deficit is expected to reach 10.4% of GDP, the highest in a decade, influenced by elevated crude prices and currency depreciation.

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RBI likely to hold repo rate at 5.25% through FY27, says India Ratings

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Indian firms are increasingly opting for floating-rate bonds to manage borrowing costs amid looming interest rate hikes. Four non-banking finance companies plan to raise approximately 85.50 billion rupees ($887.74 million) through these bonds, which offer lower initial costs and rising returns for investors. The Reserve Bank of India is expected to raise rates, driven by high inflation and oil prices, making floating-rate debt more attractive compared to fixed-rate options.

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Indian firms turn to floating-rate debt as interest rate hikes loom

The Indian rupee fell to a new low of 96.40 per dollar, influenced by rising crude oil prices and US Treasury yields. The benchmark 10-year government bond yield increased to 7.13%. Analysts expect continued pressure on the rupee, with potential rate hikes by the RBI anticipated. India's balance of payments deficit could widen significantly, necessitating additional foreign exchange reserves. Brent crude prices are fluctuating above $110 per barrel.

Rupee hits fresh low, bond yields jump as crude oil prices surge

The rupee has fallen over 6% in 2026, reaching a record low above 96 per dollar, making it Asia's worst-performing major currency. The US-Iran conflict has driven Brent crude prices above $100, worsening India's trade deficit and increasing foreign investor outflows. Prolonged high oil prices may push the rupee towards ₹100 per dollar, raising inflation risks and complicating RBI's policy decisions.

Rupee hits record low as oil shock deepens crisis

India is facing a significant depreciation of its rupee, which has fallen over five percent since the Middle East conflict began in February, making it Asia's worst-performing major currency. The central bank is taking measures to stabilize the currency, including curbing speculative trading and offering credit lines to oil importers. The weakening rupee is exacerbating the current account deficit and impacting various sectors, including education and manufacturing. Analysts warn that more drastic measures may be necessary to address the underlying economic pressures.

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India scrambles to steady rupee as oil shock bites

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ADB Chief Economist Albert Park stated that Free Trade Agreements (FTAs) and reduced import tariffs could enhance India's Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) inflows, which have declined in recent years. He emphasized the need for a robust manufacturing ecosystem and better urban governance to attract foreign capital. Park also noted that the ongoing Middle East crisis may impact India's GDP growth and inflation, projecting a GDP growth of 6.3% and inflation at 4.5% for the current fiscal year.

- Free Trade Agreements (FTAs) and reduced import tariffs are expected to boost net foreign capital inflows into India, which have declined recently, according to ADB Chief Economist Albert Park.  
- India saw net Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) drop from $38.6 billion in 2021-22 to $10.2 billion in FY24, but it improved to $3 billion in the first half of FY26.  
- Park predicts higher crude oil prices due to Middle East disruptions will negatively impact India's GDP growth by 0.6%, with ADB projecting a growth rate of 6.3% for the current financial year.

Invesco India ETF

FTAs, lower import duties to boost India's FDI flows: ADB chief economist

Foreign Portfolio Investors (FPIs) withdrew ₹27,048 crore from Indian equities in May, bringing total outflows in 2026 to ₹2.2 trillion, surpassing 2025's ₹1.66 trillion. The trend reflects global economic uncertainty and geopolitical tensions. A stronger US dollar and high bond yields are driving investors towards safer assets. The rupee has weakened from ₹90 to ₹96.14 against the US dollar, with further declines possible if outflows continue. Investment in AI companies is diverting funds from Indian markets, which may change if the AI bubble cools.

Morningstar

FPIs pull out ₹27,000 cr in May, 2026 outflows hit ₹2.2 trillion mark

INDH

India's stock market is at risk of dropping out of the world's top five, largely due to its lack of involvement in the AI-driven investment boom. Foreign investors have been withdrawing, leading to a 14-year low in their ownership. The MSCI emerging markets index weight for India has decreased significantly, reflecting a shift towards markets like Korea and Taiwan, which are benefiting from AI. The rupee has also hit a record low, prompting government intervention. Analysts suggest that India's market needs to evolve to attract global capital focused on AI.

Wtree India Earnings(EPI.US)