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The IMF has raised its UK growth forecast to 1.0% for this year, up from 0.8%, but cautioned that political instability could hinder spending and investment. Finance minister Rachel Reeves welcomed the upgrade, indicating progress under Prime Minister Keir Starmer. The IMF also noted that inflation may rise to just under 4% but believes the Bank of England can meet its 2% target without rate hikes, provided energy prices decline. Political turmoil has raised market concerns, impacting government borrowing costs.

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ISHRS MSCI Uk

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IMF raises UK growth forecast but warns of political uncertainty

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Businesses in the UK have cut jobs for 19 consecutive months due to higher payroll costs and productivity gains, particularly in the services sector. Despite this, business activity increased in April, with the S&P Global PMI indicating growth. However, input price inflation is at its highest since November 2022, leading to concerns about rising costs for consumers. Economists suggest that the Bank of England may consider raising interest rates in response to these inflation indicators, although the overall economic outlook remains cautious due to potential impacts from the ongoing geopolitical situation.

- The UK has experienced job cuts for 19 consecutive months, primarily in the services sector due to rising payroll costs and lower productivity gains.  
- Despite this trend, the PMI readings indicated increased business activity and the employment metric reached its strongest level since November 2025, suggesting modest growth.  
- Economists warn that rising inflation could lead the Bank of England to consider interest rate hikes, although potential economic deterioration may limit the duration of such increases.

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Businesses cut jobs for 19 consecutive months yet ‘growth holds up’

Trump's Iran war wreaks economic carnage on UK - halving GDP growth and deepening cost-of-living crisis, warns OECD - Inflation in Britain is forecast to jump to 4% this year, outstripping many wage increases

Trump's Iran war is wreaking economic carnage on the UK, report warns

The UK services sector is experiencing job cuts and price hikes due to rising costs from government policies, particularly following Chancellor Rachel Reeves' tax increases. Despite a rise in business activity, job losses have continued since October 2024, with firms focusing on productivity amid inflationary pressures. The latest S&P report indicates that while staffing declines have moderated, they remain significant. Companies are investing in AI to manage costs, leading to concerns over unemployment. However, optimism persists, with many firms expecting output growth in the coming year.

Services sector cuts jobs and hikes prices after Reeves’ tax raid

UK home prices have experienced another increase, indicating a positive trajectory for the property market. Bloomberg posted on X, highlighting the market's potential for robust performance leading up to 2026. The recent rise in home prices suggests continued confidence among buyers and investors, contributing to a favorable outlook for the sector. Analysts are optimistic about the market's prospects, anticipating sustained growth and stability in the coming years. This upward trend reflects broader economic factors and consumer sentiment, positioning the UK property market for a promising future.

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iShares Core FTSE 100 UCITS ETF GBP (Dist)

UK Property Market Shows Positive Growth with Strong Outlook for 2026

Franklin FTSE UK(FLGB.US)

IMF raises UK growth forecast but warns of political uncertainty

Businesses cut jobs for 19 consecutive months yet ‘growth holds up’

Trump's Iran war is wreaking economic carnage on the UK, report warns

Services sector cuts jobs and hikes prices after Reeves’ tax raid

UK Property Market Shows Positive Growth with Strong Outlook for 2026