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Today’s Key News Recap

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0411 | Dolphin Research focuses on: 🐬 Macro/Industry 1. The China-U.S. trade dispute continues to escalate. The U.S. government announced yesterday that the tariff rate on Chinese goods exported to the U.S. will be further increased to 125% as a &#34;reciprocal tariff.&#34; Although Trump expressed that he &#34;very much hopes to reach an agreement with China to end the escalating trade war,&#34; there has been no substantial progress so far. Today, the Chinese Ministry of Finance firmly retaliated, announcing an adjustment to the tariff rate specified in the &#34;Announcement of the State Council Tariff Commission on Adjusting Tariff Measures for Imported Goods Originating from the United States,&#34; raising it from 84% to 125%...

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Firm counterattack! The tariff on the U.S. has been raised to 125% | Today's important news review

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Dolphin focuses on: 🐬 Macro/Industry 1. Today, both Hong Kong and A-shares were collectively booming, with the Shanghai Composite Index recovering above 3300 points and the Hang Seng Index rising over 2.3%. The market is buzzing with &#34;short essays,&#34; mainly focusing on: 1) Two major meetings in December, with rumors suggesting one may be held earlier, as the market speculates on expectations for economic stimulus; 2) It is rumored that the December economic meeting will expand the deficit ratio to 4.5. However, currently, there is no clear evidence supporting these messages, and the direction of sentiment remains difficult to determine...

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Hong Kong, A accelerates explosion! What happened? | Today's important news review

PBOC Cuts Rates on Various Structural Monetary Policy Tools

PBoC Meeting Emphasizes Moderately Easy Monetary Policy

PBOC emphasizes steady progress in addressing major financial risks in 2026

FTSE China A50 Index Futures Rise 0.24% at the Opening

FTSE China A50 Index Futures Open Higher

Futures on the FTSE China A50 Index Turn Up

PBOC Deputy Governor Lu Lei Announces Continued Implementation of Prudent Monetary Policy at Summit

FTSE China A50 Index Futures Open Higher by 0.28%

FTSE China A50 Index Futures Open Up 1.14%

FTSE China A50 Index Futures Break Above 15200.00

FTSE China A50 Index Futures Open 1.84% Lower

FTSE China A50 Index Futures Break Above 15200.00 Level

PBOC Announces Unchanged LPR Rates on September 22

FTSE China A50 Futures Break Above 14700.00

FTSE China A50 Index Futures up more than 1%

PBoC Maintains 1-Year and 5-Year LPR Rates Unchanged

PBOC Releases H1 2025 Financial Statistics Report

PBoC Adjusts Monetary Policy to Support Economic Recovery

Major Chinese Stock Indices Rising Collectively

Six Departments Issue Guidelines for Financial Support to Consumption

InMed Pharmaceuticals

AMPLITECH GROUP INC. USD0.001 S/R 20/11/26 SER B

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AMPLITECH GROUP INC. COM USD0.001 (S/R 18/07/2026)

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TENCENT has launched the public beta of its AI design agent platform, Ardot, which generates editable design drafts from natural language interface requirements. The platform supports real-time collaboration, comments, and version comparison, and includes an intelligent permission center. A WeChat Mini Program for Ardot will be available soon.

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TENCENT Launches Public Beta of In-house AI Design Agent Platform Ardot, Generates Editable Design Drafts with One Sentence

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CMBI has raised its price target for Alibaba Group Holding Limitedto USD220.1 from USD206.1, maintaining a Buy rating. The report highlights a strong outlook for Alibaba's cloud business, with revenue growth accelerating to 38% YoY in 4QFY. Despite a decline in adjusted EBITA due to investments, the broker remains optimistic about Alibaba's potential in AI and expects margin expansion. The instant retail business is projected to halve its operating losses by fiscal 2027 and achieve break-even by fiscal 2029, allowing for further AI investments.

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CMBI Raises Alibaba Group Holding Limited  TP to USD220.1, Strong Cloud Biz Outlook

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China's consumer spending and factory output grew at their slowest pace in years, with retail sales increasing by just 0.2% in April, missing forecasts. Industrial production rose 4.1% year-on-year, the slowest since July 2023. Analysts warn of a bifurcated growth model, with weak domestic demand and strong exports. Despite challenges, some experts believe China's economy will remain resilient this year, supported by external demand and a recovering electronics sector.

- In April, China's retail sales grew by only 0.2%, the weakest increase since December 2022, highlighting challenges in boosting domestic activity.  
- Industrial production also fell short of expectations, rising just 4.1% year-over-year, with economists stressing the ongoing imbalance of strong supply and weak demand.  
- Despite domestic consumption struggles, exports surged, contributing significantly to the economy, as China aims for a growth target of 4.5% to 5% this year.

Yahoo Finance

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China's April consumption, factory output growth slowest in years

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On May 15, Hong Kong stocks closed lower across the board, with all three major indices declining amid soaring global bond yields and rising inflation concerns. The Hang Seng Tech Index plunged 2.66%. In terms of market performance, risk appetite for high-valuation tech sectors dropped significantly. The semiconductor, optical module, and computing power supply chains suffered heavy losses, with Hua Hong Semiconductor and Yangtze Optical Fibre and Cable among the top decliners. Most Majority Stake internet and technology stocks fell, with Alibaba dropping nearly 4% due to a sharp decline in profits reported in its earnings. Additionally, some small-cap stocks showed unusual movements, with Radiance Holdings surging over 216% on heavy volume in a single day

Market Pulse

VanEck Semiconductor ETF

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Alibaba HK SDR 5to1

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Samsung Electronics Co., Ltd. Sponsored GDR

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HK Stocks Close | Hang Seng Index Falls Over 1.5%; Semiconductor Sector Plunges as Global Inflation Fears Drag Down Tech Stocks

Most stock indexes fell this week amid cautious investor sentiment due to inflation concerns and geopolitical tensions. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq were flat, while the Dow dropped 0.3%. European equities declined 0.8%, and Asian markets also faced losses, with China's inflation rising unexpectedly. Major corporate news included Tencent's weaker Q1 results and Alibaba's profit miss, while Takeda announced significant job cuts as part of a restructuring plan.

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BABA

Bailard Inc. reduced its stake in Alibaba Group (NYSE:BABA) by 45.8% in Q4, now holding 5,023 shares valued at $736,000. Other institutional investors also adjusted their positions, with Capital World Investors increasing its stake by 1,074.9%. Analysts have mixed views on Alibaba, with ratings ranging from 'Strong Buy' to 'Sell', and a consensus price target of $189.00. Despite positive sentiment around AI and cloud growth, Alibaba's quarterly results showed profitability pressures.

- Bailard Inc. reduced its stake in Alibaba Group by 45.8%, holding 5,023 shares valued at $736,000 at the end of the last quarter.  
- Multiple institutional investors also adjusted their positions, with Capital World Investors increasing its stake by over 1,074%, now owning about 6 million shares valued at over $1 billion.  
- Despite bullish analyst ratings, Alibaba's recent earnings missed estimates, showing profitability pressures while its cloud business grew 38% year over year.

Market Beat

Invesco Golden Dragon China

Amazon

Artisan Partners Asset Management 

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NVIDIA Corporation

Bailard Inc. Trims Stake in Alibaba Group Holding Limited $BABA

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Nvidia's stock price target has been raised to $350 by Cantor Fitzgerald analyst C.J. Muse, citing strong demand for its H200 chips, especially from Chinese companies like Alibaba and Tencent. Muse believes Nvidia may be sold out through 2027 due to high demand and supply chain bottlenecks. Despite recent stock performance lagging behind competitors, potential catalysts include upcoming earnings reports and a significant share buyback. Analysts maintain a Strong Buy consensus on Nvidia, with an average price target of $279.28, indicating an 18.8% upside potential.

- Nvidia's price target has been raised to $350 by Cantor Fitzgerald analyst C.J. Muse, highlighting CEO Jensen Huang's strong performance relative to competitors.  
- The increase in demand for Nvidia's chips, particularly from Chinese companies approved to buy its H200 chips, points to a potential sell-out for 2026 and 2027 due to supply chain constraints.  
- Wall Street maintains a Strong Buy consensus for Nvidia with an average price target of $279.28, suggesting an 18.8% upside potential.

Tip Ranks

GTJA Allianz CSI All Share Semiconductors & Semiconductor Equipment ETF

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GTJA Allianz SSE STAR Chip Design Thematic ETF

Guotai CES Semiconductor Chip Industry ETF

Guotai CSI Computer Theme ETF

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Direxion Daily NVDA Bear 1X ETF

GraniteShares 2x Long NVDA Daily ETF

Nvidia (NVDA) Stock Price Target Raised to $350 amid China H200 News

Direxion FTSE China Bull 3X(YINN.US)

TENCENT Launches Public Beta of In-house AI Design Agent Platform Ardot, Generates Editable Design Drafts with One Sentence

CMBI Raises Alibaba Group Holding Limited TP to USD220.1, Strong Cloud Biz Outlook

China's April consumption, factory output growth slowest in years

HK Stocks Close | Hang Seng Index Falls Over 1.5%; Semiconductor Sector Plunges as Global Inflation Fears Drag Down Tech Stocks

Top global stories this week: Alibaba, Tencent among major names