VOLATILITY SHARES TRUST 1X SHORT VIX MID TERM FUTURES STRATEGY

CBOE Volatility Index Approaching Two-week Low

CBOE Volatility Index Rises by 2.01 Points

CBOE Volatility Index Hits Two-Week High

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Amesite

CN Energy

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NextNRG

Meiwu Tech

Generation Income Properties

MetaVia

OceanPal

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VIXM

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SVIX

UVIX

VIXY

UVXY

SVXY

The VIX Butterfly Playbook for Volatility Spikes

Barchart Option

Cboe Volatility Index

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The VIX Butterfly Playbook for Volatility Spikes

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The distribution of forecasts for the US CPI is crucial for market reactions, as deviations from expectations can create surprises. Most forecasts cluster at the upper range, meaning lower-than-expected data can still surprise the market. Current CPI estimates show a consensus of 3.7% Y/Y and 0.6% M/M. Elevated energy prices have pushed inflation above 3.0%. The Fed has struggled to meet its 2% target since 2021, now focusing on a 2-3% range, complicating efforts to sustainably lower inflation without economic slowdown.

- Market reactions are influenced by the range of estimates and the distribution of forecasts, creating surprise effects when actual data deviates from expectations.  
- Elevated energy prices have pushed headline inflation above 3.0%, and the annual Core PCE rate has remained near this level since 2024, raising concerns about entrenched inflationary mindsets.  
- The consensus indicates that the Fed has shifted focus from its 2% target to maintaining inflation within a 2-3% range, complicating efforts to achieve sustainable inflation reduction without economic slowdown.

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What is the distribution of forecasts for the US CPI?

There are fewer Sunday 'green dots' when the weather is warm and VIXtrades in the mid-teens...

ZeroHedge

Unrelenting Risk Bid Has Forced Underexposed Investors To Capitulate Into Higher Markets

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Stock market warning signal! Treasury rates, stock selloff protection & stocks to watch. Learn how to potentially double your money!

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Market warning! Treasury rates signal stock selloff

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The United States and Iran are nearing a temporary agreement to halt hostilities, with a draft memorandum outlining three phases, including addressing the Strait of Hormuz crisis and a 30-day negotiation period for a more comprehensive deal. However, the draft does not cover key U.S. demands related to Iran's nuclear activities, missile program, and support for regional proxies.

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U.S. and Iran Approach Temporary Agreement to Halt Hostilities

U.S. President Donald Trump's 'Project Freedom' may increase market uncertainty, according to Garrett Jin from '1011 Insider Whale.' He notes that factors like energy stock pressures, military deployments, and policy changes are converging, potentially raising market volatility risks. Investors should remain cautious and adopt a hedging strategy, as macro and geopolitical disruptions could affect market sentiment. While the market sees this as easing tensions, the strategy focuses on maintaining shipping security rather than direct intervention, which could escalate responses to specific events.

Trump's 'Project Freedom' May Increase Market Uncertainty, Says Garrett Jin

Markets are still pushing highs, but the price action is starting to shift. Today’s large shooting star comes right at the top of an extended move. Sellers are starting to show up.Nothing has broken yet, but this is exactly the type of setup where complacency creeps in and hedges get cheap. With breadth weak and vol near its floor, the asymmetry is starting to tilt.

Complacency Meets A Shooting Star

The VIX Index, a key measure of market volatility, has dropped to its lowest point in more than two months, reaching 16.72. According to ChainCatcher, this decline indicates a reduction in market fear and uncertainty, suggesting a period of relative stability in the financial markets.

VIX Index Hits Lowest Level in Over Two Months

CBOE

Authored by Simon White, Bloomberg macro strategist,There is very little equity vol risk premium priced into the market, which is at odds of where we are in the cycle and the effects of the war in Iran.

Cboe Global Markets

A Volatility Risk Premium Close To Zero Is Too Low

Yields on short-term Treasurys ticked higher after three Federal Reserve officials objected to the Fed’s latest policy statement on the grounds that it signaled too much openness to cutting interest rates in the future.

Treasury yields rise as Fed holds rates amid hawkish dissent

VOLATILITY SHARES TRUST 1X SHORT VIX MID TERM FUTURES STRATEGY(ZIVB.US)

The VIX Butterfly Playbook for Volatility Spikes

What is the distribution of forecasts for the US CPI?

Unrelenting Risk Bid Has Forced Underexposed Investors To Capitulate Into Higher Markets

Market warning! Treasury rates signal stock selloff

U.S. and Iran Approach Temporary Agreement to Halt Hostilities

Trump's 'Project Freedom' May Increase Market Uncertainty, Says Garrett Jin

Complacency Meets A Shooting Star

VIX Index Hits Lowest Level in Over Two Months

A Volatility Risk Premium Close To Zero Is Too Low

Treasury yields rise as Fed holds rates amid hawkish dissent