Rate Of Return18 hours ago
Iggy's Journal: DBS Just Raised Its STI Target by 350 Points. Here's the One Word That Actually Matters: Earnings-Driven.
2 September 2026, AM
Podcast Release:
DBS Group Research raised its STI year-end target from 5,500 to 5,850. That is 350 points, in under two months. The new target is described as 1.5 standard deviations above the historical average, up from 0.5 before.
Four reasons stated: stronger-than-expected GDP growth, attractive dividend yield on Singapore stocks generally, market safe-haven status during geopolitical instability, and ongoing MAS measures to support the local stock market. The house qualifier is that further upside from here should be earnings-driven, not further multiple expansion.
Monday's frame still sits underneath this: prices running up faster than dividends, so yield shrinks even if the business did not change. Income hurdle in that frame is 4.7 percent, benchmarked against CPF Special Account currently at 4 percent plus a buffer for equity risk.
My Personal Take:
A bigger target does not help you if the yield keeps shrinking underneath it. The same 5,850 is two different outcomes for an income investor. If we get there by multiple expansion, SGX yields squeeze further against the 4.7 percent hurdle. If we get there earnings-driven, the yield picture can hold or improve.
Watch FY2027 earnings estimate revisions, not the index level. The one word that actually matters is the one they already printed: earnings-driven.
Not financial advice. Iggy's Forensic Compliance Standards apply.
https://youtu.be/Rct04_AA4YA
https://investingiguana.com/p/dbs-just-raised-its-sti-target-by
Cheers, Iggy 🦖
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