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Micron
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Dolphin Research11 hours ago

存力接棒算力,HBM 為什麼 “脱穎而出”?

站在今天回望 25 年下半年,可以説是 AI 硬件產業鏈一個非常關鍵的拐點,在此之前以英偉達 GPU 為代表的 “算力” 站在 AI 硬件的舞台中央。在此時點之後,包括內存(DRAM)、閃存(NAND)和硬盤(HDD)在內的 “存力” 則接棒成為了整個產業鏈中最大的卡點。由下圖可見,DDR5 內存的價格自 25 年 9 月後的半年內飆漲了接近 7~9x,NAND 閃存的價格同期內也有 4~5x 的漲幅。對應的...

High Bandwidth Memory HBM
20 USD/GB 18 16 14 12 10 8 Fig. 5: DDR5 spot vs contract price 6 Spot price 4 2
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Parameters of Qwen Flagship Models DRAM Needed to Store Model Param. 3,000 Dolph+16
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Dolphin ResearchJun 25 at 03:19 AM

MU: On a Tear. From Downcycle to Super Growth?

In 2026, the AI hardware hot spot has shifted from compute to memory. As AI trades in U.S. equities start to wobble, Micron’s prints have turned into the new bellwether. $Micron Tech(MU.US) reported after-market on Jun 24 (FQ3 FY26 for the quarter ended end-May), and it delivered, taking up the mantle as the AI infra standard-bearer.

Results speak for themselves: broad-based strength. Key takeaways: 1) Headline results: revenue of $41.5bn, up 74% QoQ, marking a second consecutive quarter with 70%+ QoQ growth...

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Micron Technology Total Revenue (in mns/usd) DRAM NAND Others Total Revenue qoq%
% Sales volume change FQ3-26 Q/Q Increased in the low-single DRAM digit percenta
Micron Technology Gross Profit (in mns/usd) Gross Profit Gross Profit Margin% 40+4
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Dolphin ResearchJun 25 at 02:39 AM

MU (Trans): Supply tightness to last through 2027

Below is Dolphin Research's compilation of Micron Technology's FY26 Q3 earnings call Trans.

I. Core takeaways from the print.

1) FQ4 guidance (record): revenue of $50 bn (±$1 bn), GPM about 86%, and OpEx around $1.65 bn.

EPS guided to a record $31 (±$1), based on approx. 1.15 bn shares. Tax rate ~15%.

The FQ4 GPM guide already factors in a clear slowdown in price increases.

For FY27, OpEx is expected to rise by about $1 bn to expand R&D.

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Dolphin ResearchMar 19 at 03:29 AM

MU (Trans): Customer demand commitments unchanged; signs first 5-yr partnership agreement---

Below is Dolphin Research's Trans of the $Micron Tech(MU.US) FY26 Q2 earnings call.

For our earnings take, see 'Micron (MU): AI-fueled memory surge — can it break the cycle?'

Key management highlights: 1) Industry outlook: industry DRAM bit shipments in 2026 are expected to grow in the low-20% range (approx. 22%)...

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Micron Technology(MU.O)2QFY26 Financial Performance (in US$ million) FY ends Sep
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Dolphin ResearchMar 19 at 02:32 AM

MU: AI-Driven Memory Boom—Can It Break the Cycle?---

Micron (MU) posted FQ2 (FY26) results (quarter ended Jan 2026) after the U.S. close in the early hours of Mar 19 Beijing time. Key takeaways: (1) overall results.

Revenue was $23.86bn (+75% QoQ), beating raised buy-side est. of $19.9bn. Growth was driven by both DRAM and NAND, each up 70%+ QoQ.

GPM reached 74.4%, above the raised buy-side est. of 69%. Supported by a sharp rise in memory pricing...

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Micron Technology(MU.O)2QFY26 Financial Performance (in US$ million) FY ends Sep
90.5 80.5 70.5 60.5 50.5 DDR price trends 40.5 30.5 20.5 DolphinResearch 10.5 0.
Rubin GPU Vera CPU CX9 BF4 NVLink Switch Spectrum CPO Grog 3LPU Vera Rubin Compu+14
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Dolphin ResearchJan 14 at 11:11 AM

99% compute idle? In the inference era, storage beats compute!

Jensen Huang's keynote at CES 2026 reignited market enthusiasm for memory. In the Rubin architecture, higher DDR and NAND content vs. Blackwell is fueling another rally in memory stocks.

Investor focus has broadened beyond HBM to more traditional categories such as DDR and NAND. Shifting supply-demand dynamics are driving a broad-based rise in memory pricing. Our previous article mapped the roles of each memory tier in AI servers and reviewed the HBM market...

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Supply&Demand yoy 1yoy%DRAM Demand-yoy%DRAM Supply yoy%NAND Demand-yoy%NANDSuppl
Supply&Demand Gap DRAMGap NAND Gap 10.0% arc 8.0% DolphinRese DolphinResearch Do
70.5 60.5 50.5 40.5 DDR price trends 30.5 20.5 DolphinResear 10.5 0.5 2024-01-02+20
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Dolphin ResearchJan 7 at 09:31 AM

Jensen Huang unveils Rubin, fueling AI storage.

With AI demand fueling the current memory 'super cycle', the sector rallied again last night. Gainers included $Sandisk(SNDK.US) +27% and $Micron Tech(MU.US) +10%.

The surge was largely catalyzed by Jensen Huang's CES 2026 keynote, which poured fuel on an already hot memory market. Source: Longport.app

First, a quick recap of Jensen Huang's key messages at CES 2026. More below.

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二Q SNDK Sandisk 349.630 高352.000 D 开288.745 额80.48亿 × 已收盘01.0616:00:00美东 +75.550
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NVIDIA Leads Open Model Community Language Models Released in 2025 NMDIA Google +3
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Dolphin ResearchJan 6 at 11:20 AM

Memory Rally: How Big Is the AI Storage Supercycle?

Fueled by AI demand, the memory upcycle that started in HBM has extended into mainstream DRAM/NAND. Using MU as an example, sustained ASP hikes have pushed GPM to elevated levels.

Management guided next-quarter GPM to 66–68%, a record high. That implies this memory cycle is stronger than prior ones.

Price gains reflect the underlying supply-demand balance. This bout of undersupply is mainly driven by AI servers and related workloads...

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DolphinResearch Gross Profit Margin% ahm ohinResearch h o 00 MU Gross ProfitMarg
HBM Supply&Demand Gap iHBM(GB,mn) Supply HBM(GB,mn) Demand 4,500 9.3% 4,000 Dolp
Al Server Storage Hierarchy: Read Latency & Application Areas s( (2024-2027) 1.H+12
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Dolphin ResearchDec 18, 2025 at 03:44 AM

MU (analyst huddle): Cash prioritized for capacity expansion; HBM4 yield ramping faster

Following $Micron Tech(MU.US)'s post-earnings main call and breakout sessions, Dolphin Research highlights the core takeaways. Details as follows:

1) Memory demand: the 2025 DRAM bit demand growth outlook is raised to around 20% (prev 15%+), and NAND to 15%+ (prev 10%–15%). For 2026, industry shipments for DRAM and NAND are expected to grow about 20% vs 2025.

2) HBM market: the total addressable market (TAM) is expected to keep expanding at roughly 40% CAGR. Continued rapid expansion is anticipated...

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Micron Technology(MU.O)1QFY26 Financial Performance (in US$ million) FY ends Sep
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Dolphin ResearchDec 18, 2025 at 02:25 AM

MU (Trans): GPM will continue to expand, but the pace will moderate.

Below is Dolphin Research's FY2026 Q earnings call Trans for Micron. For the earnings analysis, see 'Micron MU: AI is energizing memory; is a new cycle starting?'.

I. $Micron Tech(MU.US) key financials recap. Revenue: Q1 revenue reached $13.6bn (+21% QoQ, +57% YoY), a company record.

GPM: blended GPM was 56.8%, up 1,100bps QoQ. Gains were driven by higher pricing, cost control, and a better product mix...

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Micron Technology(MU.O)1QFY26 Financial Performance (in US$ million) FY ends Sep
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