Pingu

This week could be an important one for markets, with several major earnings reports and key economic data ahead. NIO and Dell report today, followed by Broadcom on Wednesday and Lululemon on Thursday. Among these, Broadcom’s results could attract significant attention because of continued investor focus on AI infrastructure and semiconductor demand. Meanwhile, Friday’s US August non-farm payrolls report may provide fresh clues about the strength of the labor market and the Federal Reserve’s future policy direction. I expect volatility to increase around these events, so investors should watch earnings guidance, market expectations, and economic data closely rather than focusing only on headline numbers.

This week is packed with market-moving events, including China’s mixed August PMI, the G20 Finance and Digital Ministers meetings, Shein’s HKEX debut, major earnings from NIO, Dell, Palo Alto Networks, Credo and Broadcom, Tesla’s Cybercab event, Fed Governor Waller’s speech, and Friday’s US non-farm payrolls. With AI expectations, China’s economic outlook, Fed policy and US employment data all in focus, volatility could increase as investors reassess growth and interest-rate expectations.

The biggest risk today is not simply whether Powell—or Walsh—sounds hawkish or dovish, but how the market prices uncertainty around the Fed’s reaction function. With forward guidance and the dot plot no longer providing the usual compass, Treasury yields could become the key transmission mechanism. A sharp repricing in yields could quickly spill into AI hardware, semiconductors, software, pharma, gold, FX, crypto, and Asian equities. Jackson Hole has historically amplified volatility, so I’d watch the yield curve and cross-asset reaction more than the headline itself.

The biggest takeaway for me is how difficult it is to predict not just the direction of a move, but the magnitude of it. The community did a great job identifying the setup for a potential bounce after seven consecutive red days, and the options market clearly supported the idea of a relief rally. But the actual reaction was on a completely different level. 🤯📈

What’s especially interesting is that even with 525 comments and 314 votes, fewer than 20% managed to land in the correct range — and nobody predicted a move this large. It’s a great reminder that even when the setup looks relatively clear, the market can still deliver something far beyond expectations. NVIDIA’s reaction really shows how powerful earnings, positioning, and sentiment can become when they all shift at once. Definitely a fascinating lesson in managing expectations around major earnings prints.

The next few weeks could be interesting for markets, with several major catalysts lined up. Tonight’s Jackson Hole keynote is the first big event I’m watching, especially for any clues on the Fed’s direction and how markets may react. Then there’s Apple’s CEO transition on 1 September, followed by the Apple event on 10 September, where expectations around a foldable iPhone could create additional volatility in Apple and related names. The 16 September FOMC decision is probably the biggest macro event for me. With so many catalysts close together, I’d rather avoid chasing short-term moves and focus on how expectations change versus what actually happens. For me, patience and position sizing matter most in this environment.

Tonight’s market calendar looks packed, with Marvell’s Q2 results and Bilibili’s earnings call offering fresh signals on semiconductor demand and Chinese consumer sentiment, while U.S. jobless claims could influence rate expectations. Friday’s Jackson Hole keynote from Fed Chair Kevin Warsh is arguably the bigger macro catalyst, especially as markets assess the Fed’s policy direction ahead of the September FOMC decision. Apple’s September event could also add excitement if foldable iPhone expectations materialize. Overall, volatility may remain elevated as investors balance corporate earnings, labor-market data, monetary-policy signals, and major technology catalysts. It’s a busy stretch for market watchers, but plenty of uncertainty remains.

NVIDIA’s latest earnings were exceptionally strong: Q2 FY2027 revenue reached $96.2 billion, up 106% year over year, while adjusted EPS came in at $2.22, both comfortably above expectations. Data Center revenue surged to $89 billion, highlighting continued explosive AI demand, and NVIDIA guided for roughly $108 billion in Q3 revenue, again above Wall Street estimates. Despite the beat and raise, shares were relatively muted because expectations are extremely high and investors remain focused on whether AI spending can keep accelerating, margins can stay elevated, and NVIDIA can maintain its dominance amid custom AI chips and China-related restrictions.

Tonight and the rest of this week could be especially important for financial markets, with several major earnings reports and economic events packed into a short period. NVIDIA and Agilent’s earnings may set the tone for technology stocks, while July core PCE inflation could influence expectations for future Federal Reserve policy. Li Auto’s results will provide insight into China’s EV market. Later, Dollar Tree and Marvell Technology report earnings, adding more corporate signals. Most importantly, the Jackson Hole Symposium begins Thursday, with Fed Chair Warsh’s first keynote on Friday potentially shaping rate expectations. Overall, volatility could increase significantly as investors assess earnings, inflation, and monetary policy.

I would say the stock price might drop around -2%, since most of the Ai related share drops when they release their earning report. Most of the retail investors are driven by emotions, whenever the earnings aren't super over expectations, people gonna think its an Ai bubble. But for the long term I would say that Nvidia definitely is a good business that we need everyday

This week brings several important market catalysts worth watching closely. Today, Ingenic begins trading in Hong Kong, while Singapore’s July CPI has already been released at 2.2% year over year. On Wednesday, Nvidia and Agilent Technologies report earnings after the close, while U.S. July PCE inflation data arrives at 8:30 a.m. ET. Li Auto also reports earnings. Thursday brings Dollar Tree’s results and the opening of the Jackson Hole Symposium. On Friday, Fed Chair Warsh delivers his first Jackson Hole keynote as chair. With inflation, earnings, and monetary policy all in focus, volatility could remain elevated across global markets throughout the week.

This week looks set to be a very important one for global markets, with several major catalysts that could create significant volatility across equities, currencies, commodities, and interest rates. The immediate focus is on the US announcement of new economic measures related to Iran, which could affect oil prices, inflation expectations, and overall risk sentiment. Investors will also be watching Nvidia and other major companies as earnings season continues, with Nvidia’s results likely to have an especially strong impact on technology and AI-related stocks. Later in the week, the Jackson Hole Symposium becomes the main event, particularly with Fed Chair Kevin Warsh delivering his keynote speech. His comments could provide important clues about the future direction of US monetary policy and interest rates. Overall, I expect a volatile week where both geopolitical developments and central-bank signals could drive major market moves.

Thank you for the summary and Gold definitely worth a look on this week