One green day in chips doesn’t erase a distribution pattern. A good day but grass is not green yet. $SMH $SOXX still look vulnerable, and a low volume bounce doesn’t fix it.
Google tomorrow, then memory names like $Seagate Tech(STX.US) $Sandisk(SNDK.US) and SK Hynix soon. A lot is still at stake still. Take it slow, and don't FOMO.
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I didn't see $SpaceX(SPCX.US) pop in time, else would have added more. A nice confirmation of "Gap up and no one cares" pattern. 100 or lower in bound IMO. Just because a rich business(wo) man bought who made money elsewhere and not in stock market doesn't mean its worth buying.
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Some news on clarity act. Even $Coinbase(COIN.US) and $Circle(CRCL.US) are going up. COIN has a strong support at 170, ok ish resistance at 180. If it can clear 100ma, we may have a trade.
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The world is heading toward agents, and every agent acts like another teammate talking to tools, data, and other agents inside the data center all day. That creates a new kind of traffic and a new kind of risk. $Fortinet(FTNT.US) sits in the middle of it with high-speed data center security and AI runtime protection so those agents can move fast without opening the whole company up.
TB;DR Fortnite is my favorite cyber security 😃 200+ incoming.F
$Exagen(XGN.US) I don't get excited with penny names that easily but found this one pretty interesting because
1/ They are showing good numbers/growth. 2/ This sector hasn't seen this kind of rotation in years. PT: $7F
I built an agent to tell me major events in the next week and send it to my email. Below are some essentials.
Next 10 days that actually matter for markets:Jul 22 $Alphabet(GOOGL.US) + $Tesla(TSLA.US) (AI spend test)Jul 23 $Intel(INTC.US) + jobless claimsJul 27 Kimi K3 open weights dropJul 29 FOMC (hike risk in the air)Jul 30 Q2 GDPAug 7 jobs reportSave this if you’re not staring at a screen all week.
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• Dow futures fell while oil prices rose due to escalating attacks in Iran.
• Three U.S. servicemembers were killed in the attacks. • Key earnings reports from Google, Tesla, Intel, and GE Vernova are upcoming. • Gilead faces challenges with HIV treatments as patent expirations approach. • Eli Lilly is highlighted for strong earnings performance and is in a buy zone. • Intel prepares for its Q2 earnings report amid a chip market sell-off. • Biotech stocks remain attractive to investors despite AI stock declines.F
$Netflix(NFLX.US) has a lot of work to do. They have so much competition from Youtube, Disney, Paramount, Peacock, what not.
When you don't have a moat, you have to build one and fast. I think they will figure it out but it's a marathon.F
If you missed it: Kimi K3 is a new frontier AI model from China’s Moonshot AI (Kimi). Big MoE model, 1 million token context, multimodal, open weights coming July 27. Priced far below US frontier APIs.
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$Sandisk(SNDK.US) / $Western Digital(WDC.US) / $Seagate Tech(STX.US)
SanDisk and memory names got hit in the semi unwind. SK Hynix and Samsung are under pressure too. The market is pricing in slower HBM expansion and cheaper AI alternatives from China. Memory stocks are the purest expression of that fear. We have to wait until when they start basing.
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A decent sized $ServiceNow(NOW.US) position, still accumulating slowly.
- I think it's a generational opportunity.- An essential S&P 500 company that other 499 companies use. - Multiple analyst upgrades and a strong buy.- Heavy insider buying. Don't buy because someone else bought it, always do your own research and buy if you like it.
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• Gilead Sciences leads in HIV treatments, facing competition from other drug companies. $Gilead Sciences(GILD.US)
• The stock market is experiencing a sell-off, particularly in AI-related stocks. • CrowdStrike is expanding into AI Detection and Response, boosting its stock performance. • Upcoming earnings reports from Google, Tesla, and Intel are critical for the AI sector. • The semiconductor market is struggling, with chip stocks entering bear territory. • Biotech stocks remain strong despite the downturn in AI stocks.F
$Cava(CAVA.US) is one of my high conviction buy & hold stocks. At moment, its constructing an inverse H&S pattern here. My PT is 135+ in the current bull cycle.
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Outside of AI names, there is not much suffering out there. Dont put all the eggs in AI basket and complain gloom and doom here. I always diversify, when there is trend we put more ideas in semis and when there is no trend, we take a step back.
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This is V Sxy. I mean $Victorias Secret(VSXY.US). We are finishing up the cup on the right side. If you recall this is how $Crocs(CROX.US) looked.
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$Oracle(ORCL.US) I stand corrected on this entry. I didn't see Covid lows at 130-128, I got in at 141 instead. Either way a great R/R entry to me here.
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This is my conviction on $Microsoft(MSFT.US)
They don't need to win on building the best model on earth. They sell into every office on earth. Azure plus Copilot is AI deployed where enterprises already work. They win even if they don't win the best model competition. A great R/R trade at the current prices.
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• Earnings season reveals a significant divide in the tech sector, with winners and losers emerging.
• IBM's CEO noted a shift in client spending towards hardware, leading to a 25% drop in IBM's stock. • Companies like SK Hynix and Dell saw stock increases in recent weeks due to rising demand for memory and servers. • PayPal received a $53 billion takeover offer from Stripe and Advent International, boosting its stock price. • Major U.S. banks report strong growth and increased deal pipelines, driven by client confidence in mergers. • June inflation numbers were lower than expected, reducing the likelihood of a Federal Reserve rate hike. • New York imposed a one-year moratorium on new data centers due to community opposition and resource concerns.F
Roundhill did a fantastic job with $MAGS. This has turned into my favorite indicator of getting a sense of if Mag7 is getting rotation or money is heading into elsewhere like $SOXX or $XLV. At moment, Mag7 are strong like $Apple(AAPL.US), $Microsoft(MSFT.US), $NVIDIA(NVDA.US), etc.
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$Meta Platforms(META.US) on the verge of next leg up. Extremely good looking chart on the weekly.
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Biggest trading pitfall? Chasing losses. Stay disciplined, revenge trades are where accounts go to die.
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Sector rotation heat map. $XLC & $XLY tops, $XLE is weak as we're probably closer to a deal.
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$Hims & Hers Health(HIMS.US) Watch what happens when 39-40 level breaks. A textbook Short-squeeze about to have pattern.
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$Sezzle(SEZL.US) Why did it even bother pulling back to 21 when it really wanted to breakout? Oh I know why, "shakeout then breakout" thing.
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$SharonAI(SHAZ.US) at an important level. I think we have a good R/R.
$T1 Energy(TE.US) at IPO Avwap, Leopold level didn't give any support. This is the last hope for bag holders. For new traders, not worth touching it.