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Gold soars; legacy shops’ big bet on stockpiling pays off

Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group Limited, an investment holding company, manufactures and sells jewelry products in Mainland China, Hong Kong, Macau, and internati...
Chow Tai Fook closed up 1.46% at HK$12.51, underpinned by strong recent sales momentum and earnings. Q1 retail sales value climbed 15.1% year-over-year, while Q4 results showed net profit surging 91.15% and EPS jumping 87.23%, with operating revenue up 10.28% to HK$27.71 billion and net margin at 11.68%, signaling improved profitability. The stock peaked at HK$12.64 in the morning session before afternoon profit-taking, closing at HK$12.51. In terms of valuation, the stock has gained just 0.32% year-to-date but trades 26.19% below the 52-week high of HK$16.95, while trading above its 20-day and 60-day moving averages. Recent corporate moves include Eric Tang's appointment as audit committee chair and a strategic partnership with TME-SW. Valuation metrics are reasonable at a PE of 13.71x and dividend yield of 4.32%. However, softer gold prices could present near-term headwinds to jewelry sales.
Chow Tai Fook closed near flat at HKD 12.33 today, having touched an intraday high of HKD 12.45 before retreating. Latest quarterly results demonstrate strong performance with Q4 2026 net profit of HKD 3.235 billion, up 91.15% year-over-year, and earnings per share of HKD 0.3173, up 87.23%, while operating profit grew 54.65% to HKD 5.832 billion. Recent corporate developments include management restructuring with Eric Tang assuming the audit committee chair role, the company's annual shareholder meeting, and an adjustment to convertible bond conversion prices. From a valuation perspective, the share price has declined 27.26% from its 52-week high of HKD 16.95, but has recovered 19.25% from the 52-week low of HKD 10.34, currently trading modestly above the 60-day moving average of HKD 11.48. At a P/E ratio of 13.51x and P/B ratio of 3.93x, the valuation appears reasonable, with ROE of 41.78% demonstrating robust profitability.
Chow Tai Fook surged 1.9% to HKD 12.32 today, powered by the company's strong latest earnings report. The stock opened at HKD 12.08 in the morning session and climbed steadily to HKD 12.31 by close, while the afternoon session saw accelerated gains, peaking at HKD 12.49 before settling at HKD 12.32. The latest Q4 earnings revealed EPS of HKD 0.3173, surging 87.23% year-over-year, net profit of HKD 3.235 billion jumping 91.15%, and operating income of HKD 5.832 billion up 54.65%, with net margin reaching 11.68%. From a price perspective, while the stock has declined 1.2% year-to-date, it has recovered 19.15% from its early-May 52-week low of HKD 10.34. The current price of HKD 12.32 sits well above both the 20-day moving average of HKD 11.57 and 60-day moving average of HKD 11.46. However, the stock remains 27.32% shy of its 52-week high of HKD 16.95, and sustained momentum may face headwinds.
Chow Tai Fook gained over 2% to HK$12.09 from HK$11.82, with particularly strong momentum during the afternoon session as it reached the intraday high. The upside rally was primarily driven by accelerating financial results—Q4 EPS surged 87.23% year-over-year while net profit jumped 91.15%, operating revenue expanded 10.28%, and net margin reached 11.68%, all supporting a relatively reasonable 13.25x forward PE valuation. Concurrently, major brokerages including GF Securities and CICC issued buy ratings in recent weeks, providing meaningful support for the stock. From a technical perspective, the current price trades notably above both its 20-day moving average (HK$11.567) and 60-day moving average (HK$11.439), signaling short-term upward momentum. However, the stock remains down 3.05% year-to-date and trades 28.67% below its 52-week high of HK$16.95 (reached in October 2025), leaving room for further consolidation, while recent management transitions merit monitoring.
Chow Tai Fook fell 1.7% today, declining from 12.03 HKD to 11.82 HKD as governance uncertainty pressured the stock to 11.73 HKD during morning trading, with a partial afternoon recovery to close at 11.82 HKD. Multiple headwinds drove the decline: the passing of independent director Gordon Kwong left the audit committee chairmanship vacant, raising corporate governance concerns, while gold prices recently dipped below USD 4,100/oz, pressuring jewelry retailers' pricing power. From a valuation lens, at 11.82 HKD the stock has retreated over 30% from its 52-week high of 16.95 HKD and is down 5.2% year-to-date, though its P/E of 12.95x remains relatively attractive. On the positive side, analysts from CICC and Guotai Haitong maintain Buy ratings, and the company recently inked a long-term strategic partnership with TME, signaling management's pursuit of new growth avenues amid near-term headwinds.
CHOW TAI FOOK 1QFY26 RSV Hikes 15.1% YoY
Chow Tai Fook Q1 retail sales value rises 15.1% y/y
Chow Tai Fook Jewellery adjusts conversion price on HK$8.8 billion convertible bonds due 2030 after dividend
Chow Tai Fook names Eric Tang audit committee chair after director’s death
Chow Tai Fook Jewellery files list of directors, board committee memberships and roles
Chow Tai Fook Jewellery hosted annual shareholder meeting

Gold soars; legacy shops’ big bet on stockpiling pays off
