Boss's Boss
Boss's Boss
$Netflix(NFLX.US)Only you are left, little Netflix
$Coinbase(COIN.US) is considering whether to sell Coinbase and switch to $Lemonade(LMND.US). Although Coin is indeed at the bottom currently, the main consideration is concentration risk.
$Netflix(NFLX.US)buy 2000 at market filled
$Netflix(NFLX.US) is not bad. It embodies the spirit of entertainment stocks.
$Netflix(NFLX.US) From the pre-market view, it shows that Netflix's stock price has support at the bottom. Very good. Considering continuing to add to the position.
$Rocket Lab(RKLB.US) My take: The direction of this tweet is basically correct, but the wording is too absolute. RKLB is not experiencing a typical rebound now, but rather a combination of "post-earnings revaluation + momentum funds + short covering/trend trading"; however, it cannot be simplistically equated to "institutions are still frantically grabbing your shares."
I would judge it this way: It remains strong, but the risk has shifted from "misjudging the company" to "chasing highs/volatility management."
The strength shown in the chart is valid. Longbridge data shows:
RKLB closed at 132.55 on May 14, daily gain +6.77%,
Closed at 78.58 on May 7 → 132.55 on May 14, approx. +68.7%,
Post-earnings lows for 5 consecutive trading days have been rising:
85.87 → 104.00 → 112.41 → 116.89 → 121.31,
Post-earnings volume dropped from 79.92 million shares / ~3.68x the previous 20-day average on 5/8, gradually to 25.32 million shares / ~1.17x on 5/14,
This indicates: The first volume surge was genuine; subsequent volume decreased while prices continued to hit new highs, meaning the shares haven't loosened up immediately.
So his observation that "this time is different from the previous two new highs" is one I agree with.
But "institutions haven't taken profits and are still adding positions" cannot be directly inferred from the chart. High volume could simultaneously include: long-term institutional turnover, momentum funds chasing, short covering, options dealer hedging, retail FOMO, thematic fund allocation. A more accurate statement is:
Not "institutions are definitely scrambling for shares," but rather "selling pressure is currently being continuously absorbed by strong buying, and trend funds still hold the upper hand."
If you already have a low-cost position, I lean towards not being easily shaken out. The biggest mistake in this kind of revaluation rally is selling the core position too early, making it hard to buy back later. Use "trend break" rather than "it's gone up too much" as the basis for reducing position.
I would watch for three failure signals:
Breaking below the previous day's low and failing to recover, especially around 121;,
A long red candle on high volume, with volume expanding again but price closing low;,
Failing to make a new high for two consecutive days, with rallies on low volume and declines on high volume.,
If these don't appear, the trend isn't broken yet.
If preparing to buy new/add, I would be very restrained. Around 132 is already above the institutional target price range shown by Longbridge: average target ~100.84, highest target 127, current price 132.55. This doesn't mean it will definitely fall, but it shows: short-term price has run ahead of analyst models, and further gains will rely more on narrative, capital, and squeeze, rather than traditional valuation anchors.
My core judgment:
This round for RKLB is more like the market re-pricing it from a "high-risk space concept stock" to:
A scarce US commercial space infrastructure platform + integrated asset in defense/launch/satellite manufacturing.
This is a qualitative change narrative, not a typical earnings beat.
But in the short term, it has entered the zone where "even good companies experience violent volatility."
Now we should respect the trend, but don't get carried away by the language on Twitter.
Action suggestions:
Core position: Let profits run;,
Don't chase emotional peaks;,
Use the 121 / 117 / 105 levels as observation points to manage volatility;,
What truly needs vigilance is: high-volume failure at highs, not a single-day pullback.,
In a word: I will remain bullish, but from here on, use discipline instead of excitement.
— Jason 🍎
$TENCENT(00700.HK) sell 10000 shares, filled. Say goodbye slowly.
$Rocket Lab(RKLB.US)Hahaha Right now, all my US stock holdings are rising today. Hahaha
$Netflix(NFLX.US) buy 3000 shares at 88.2 filled
$Netflix(NFLX.US) buy a call
$Netflix(NFLX.US) Should we add more today? Feel like we can wait. Wait until 11 o'clock and see.
The data is based on Longbridge Cli and yFinance, the LLM uses Claude, the Agent service supports Memory, and there is preliminary simple portfolio management; fully personalized, serving me alone; $Tesla(TSLA.US) $XTALPI(02228.HK) $Rocket Lab(RKLB.US) $Netflix(NFLX.US)
$Hang Seng TECH Index(STECH.HK) is really something! The power of this short selling. The "sell in May and go away" period for Hong Kong stocks has begun.
$Netflix(NFLX.US) With Netflix's current PE ratio, it can already be considered a stock that might be able to weather economic cycles.
$Netflix(NFLX.US)Buy 2000 at market filled
$XTALPI(02228.HK) is just waiting for when the capital will come to AI applications, the issue of AI for Science. It will come, I believe it will definitely come.
Recommend buying a little Sony, the price should have built a relatively good medium-term reversal structure. I currently hold a little RCN, considering if it can return to around 3400, I'll open a position in some shares; $Sony Group Corporation(6758.JP)
$XTALPI(02228.HK) Garbage time, keep waiting.
$TENCENT(00700.HK)Oh, there's a dividend, ex-date is 5.15. Start selling after 5.15 then.
$AST SpaceMobile(ASTS.US) SpaceX mobile also seems to be taking action. So is this good news or bad news for ASTS? What is ASTS's competitive advantage? Patents? Spectrum? Or constraints from carrier partnerships? These were the questions I asked when I was reluctant to buy ASTS last year. My concern is that its operating costs are far too high compared to SpaceX's.
$Tesla(TSLA.US)$Rocket Lab(RKLB.US)$XTALPI(02228.HK)
At the 2013 shareholders' meeting, Buffett said:
In his lifetime, he has held about 400 to 500 stocks, but the vast majority of his wealth actually came from about 10 of them.
Munger's addition
• "If you take away Berkshire's top few (or top five) investments, the company's long-term performance is actually just average."
• "If you take away our best 15 ideas, most of you wouldn't be sitting here."
He has repeatedly emphasized on different occasions (including shareholder meetings): Berkshire's excess returns mainly rely on a few super successful heavy investments, while the performance of the remaining investments was actually quite ordinary.
Catch a few key stocks, have the courage to go heavy, have the courage to hold, have the courage to be friends with time, and finally add a little bit of luck 🍀
You can be your own Buffett!
$Netflix(NFLX.US) Just do it, added 2000 shares, 88.8
$Netflix(NFLX.US) suddenly had an idea: sell all Tencent and switch to Netflix, would that be a good idea?
$Netflix(NFLX.US) feels like it's time for a phase reversal.
$Netflix(NFLX.US) Opened a position of 5 contracts for NFLX 261016 100CALL. Observing;
