Fattycat

$Gold.com(GOLD.US)

🏆[Weekly] Gold Review: NFP Surge & Central Bank Squeeze! 🚨

Spot Gold ($XAUUSD) settled at $4,429.825 (-0.96% daily) as strong economic data and central bank policy expectations created a tight range for bullion.

Here is your quick market breakdown:

🔷 Technical Snapshot

* Daily (1D): Consolidating above lower support ($4,257.45) and holding near the 20-period SMA ($4,466.11).

Daily RSI at 52.30, a neutral momentum reset.

* 4-Hour (4H): Oscillating near middle band ($4,406.16) with resistance at $4,533.56.

4H RSI rests balanced at 48.17.

🔷 Fundamental Snapshots:

Macro & Central Bank Drivers

1️⃣ U.S. NFP Shock (+162K vs. +53K Exp):

Strong job data backed Fed Chair Kevin Warsh’s hawkish tone from Jackson Hole, supporting the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) and keeping real yields elevated.

2️⃣ Global Rate Hikes:

Incoming rate decisions from the ECB (expected +25 bps to 2.50%) and BOJ (expected +25 bps to 1.25%) raise global risk-free bond yields, increasing the holding cost of non-yielding bullion.

📅 High-Impact Calendar Ahead

* ECB Interest Rate Decision (+25 bps expected)- 9 September 2026

* U.S. CPI Inflation Release (11 September 2026)

* U.S. FOMC Rate Decision & Economic Projections- 16 September 2026

* BOJ Rate Decision (+25 bps expected) - 18 September 2026

Will gold break out or stay compressed under yield pressures? Share your thoughts below! 👇

Not financial advice. Do your own DD.

$TENCENT(00700.HK)$BILIBILI-W(09626.HK)

🔄 Tencent’s Bilibili Exit: Capital Recycling in Action

Tencent’s near-total divestment from Bilibili is not about a sudden profit windfall, it is a smart capital discipline.

📉 Actually Not a big gain but small losses 😔

The stake is marked to market, so quarterly profit impact is negligible.

Sale price HK$115.38 was below the June valuation (~HK$131.70), leading to an estimated US$84M–US$98M loss ( just ~1% of one quarter’s net profit, immaterial for Tencent ).

🎯 The real strategy: capital recycling

• Converts minority stake into US$393M net cash to fund AI growth, buybacks and dividends.

• Takes US$200M in convertible notes: downside protection, plus upside if Bilibili tops HK$155.79.

• It is a repositioning and not a split. Tencents is still partner with Bilibili but capital goes where it matters most now.

A masterclass in financial agility: prioritizing liquidity and focus over short-term optics. ✅️

Refer to the infographic for more information ☺️☺️

Not financial advice. Do your own DD ☺️.

$Lululemon(LULU.US)

🚨 Lululemon at $100: Will the New CEO Be Able to Save It?

Lululemon has crashed hard trading around $100, its lowest point in 8 years as of Friday close.

🔷 What triggered it? A terrible Q2 2026:

1️⃣ Same-store sales plunged 9%

2️⃣ Full-year revenue forecast cut. This is their 2nd time this year

3️⃣ North America (its key market) even worse: −12% comps

🔷 The big question: Can the new CEO fix this?

Heidi O’Neill, ex-Nike veteran with 25 years’ experience, takes over September 8.

Her main mission is to speed up product innovation and rebuild global brand pull.

🔷 Her road ahead is going to be tough:

1️⃣ Core product struggle - Struggle Market share as Alo Yoga & Vuori keep stealing market share

2️⃣ Inventory mess - To clear excessive stock without killing its premium pricing power

3️⃣ Internal friction - board tensions still unresolved

4️⃣ Profit mirage - better gross margins relied heavily on a $134.5M one-time tariff refund

4 Hourly Chart picture shows that it is still on a strong downtrend from $240. The recent bounce near $129–$130 got crushed. The current RSI is 46.90, off the lows but momentum is shaky.

🔮 What’s Next?

• 📌 Base Case: Sideways between $90–$100 — waits for real proof of improvement

• 📌 Bear Case: Breaks below $100 → next stop $70–$80

• 📌 Bull Case: Reclaims $129–$130 → could signal real turnaround

The full infographic lays out all risks & scenarios.

Will you buy LULU at $100 or wait for clear turnaround signs enter? Do you think the new CEO can help to save Lululemon? Let’s discuss.

Not financial advice. Always do your own DD☺️.

📊 Jobs report beat expectations. 🤗 what does it mean for your portfolio?

The latest US labor market data shows surprising strength:

1️⃣ Nonfarm payrolls surged to 162K (vs. 55K expected)

2️⃣ Unemployment held steady at 4.1%

3️⃣ Private sector hiring led the charge with 127K jobs

Strong economy. Strong job report. What’s next for rates?

Now the markets are split ~50/50 on whether the Fed will raise or hold steady at their next meeting

🔷 Market Reaction:

Potential rate hikes typically create short-term headwinds for non-yielding assets like Gold (as bond yields rise) and risk-on assets like Crypto (as liquidity tightens).

Below is the breakdown infographic.

How do you position for portfolio now? 🙄🙄

Not financial advice. Please do your own DD 😘.

$Seagate Tech(STX.US)

🤔 Is Seagate (STX) Too Pricey to Buy Now?

I came across a post about Seagate and decided to dig deeper as I am always on the hunt for value stocks!

Here is what I found:

🔷The Turnaround Story Is Impressive

1️⃣ FY2026 revenue: US$12.2B

2️⃣ Gross margin surged from 32.9% → 52.3% in just 8 quarters 🚀

3️⃣ Free cash flow: ~US$3.1B ✅

But the Stock Has Rerated Hard and I realise that there is NO Margin of Safety ⚠️

At US$798.61, Seagate trades at 56x trailing P/E and 23.3x forward P/E.

There is effectively no margin of safety here. A margin of safety means buying at a discount to intrinsic value to protect you if things go slightly wrong, no buffer to protect you. The current share price already assumes perfect execution.

🔷 Compared to peers:

• Western Digital: 22.7x forward P/E

• Micron: 13.2x

• SanDisk: 7.1x

• Seagate: 23.3x — 🏆 the highest of the group!

On EV/Operating Income, the gap is even clearer:

Seagate at 42.8x 🏆 ,

Western Digital at 34.3x

Micron and SanDisk at just 17.9x.

So yes, Seagate is trading at a clear premium and that premium leaves no room for error.😔

🔷 The Big Question: Can Earnings Justify the Price?

The market is already pricing in a strong FY2027. The consensus EPS is around US$34.33. If EPS reaches US$38–41.50, the valuation becomes more reasonable.

But here’s the risk: because there’s no margin of safety, any earnings miss has an oversized impact.

Currently, STX is down 30% from June’s US$1,144 peak. It looks cheaper than before but it is not exactly cheap based on the valuation ratio compare to peers.

Great business momentum but expensive valuation with very high expectations already built in plus and no margin of safety to fall back on.

Would you buy STX at US$798 or wait for a better entry point that offers a real margin of safety? 👇

Not financial advice. Do your own DD.

$BYD COMPANY(01211.HK)

BYD (1211.HK): Short-Term Pain or Global Pivot in Progress?

As a BYD shareholder, I admit that I am worrying to see the share price drift lower day after day. 😟

Is BYD falling because China’s market is saturated ……or it is building a solid base before its next global leg higher?

Here’s the full 1H 2026 breakdown:

🔷 Fundamentals - Price War Pressure and its Overseas Strength

• Revenue -7.13% YoY to RMB 344.82B; Net Profit -20.54% YoY to RMB 12.33B, hit hard by fierce domestic price wars

• Overseas revenue crossed 52.57% of total for the first time! Gross margin overseas: 21.71% vs domestic 15.67%. Exports +67.8% YoY → 792,000 units 🌍

• R&D investment: RMB 28.9B, reinvesting heavily in next-gen Blade Battery and charging infrastructure 🔋

🔷 Technicals - Are Institutions Buying the Dip?

• Daily Delta Volume +11.87%, more buying than selling, signaling institutional accumulation ☺️

• Immediate support: HK$81.93

• Resistance: HK$90.11 (20-week SMA), then HK$95.00–97.50

Overseas growth is now BYD’s margin shield as China nears peak saturation.

Are you accumulating at these support levels, or waiting for a breakout above resistance? 👇

I am confident with my holding and ride the green dragon to global frontiers 🐉.

$Gold.com(GOLD.US)

🪙📉 Gold Deep Dive: Buy Now, or Wait?

Gold has tumbled from the mid-$4,600s. It is around $4,307 now.

Let’s deep dive into 4H chart and the fundamentals:

📊 Technical View (4H Chart)

• Price broke well below the 20 SMA ($4,415) and is testing the lower Bollinger Band near $4,246

• 14-period RSI = 25.83. It is in deep oversold territory. Downside is stretched, so a short-term bounce could happen anytime ✨

🏛️ What’s Moving Gold Now

• Markets price a 35%–60% chance of a Fed rate hike in September.

Higher rates weigh heavily on non-yielding gold😔

• NFP = THE big catalyst this Friday: strong jobs → USD up → gold down; weak jobs → gold could rebound sharply

💡 3 Ways to Play It

• Buy now (pre-NFP): High risk — but catches the oversold bounce early

• Wait for NFP result: Medium risk — confirm support around $4,300 first

• Wait post-Fed: Lowest risk — trade the confirmed trend, don’t catch a falling knife

What’s your move before NFP? Let me know! 👇

Not financial advice. Personal view. Please do your DD.

$Keppel DC Reit(AJBU.SG)

🚀 Keppel DC REIT Goes Big in Tokyo - What It Means for Unitholders!

Huge move in the data centre space!

Keppel DC REIT is buying an 88.62% stake in two fully-occupied hyperscale data centres in Greater Tokyo, a S$1.37 billion deal!

🔑 What You Need to Know:

1️⃣ Strategic Growth :

Japan’s rental share jumps from 9% → 23%, deepening its footprint in one of the world’s top digital hubs.

2️⃣ How It’s Funded :

S$600M+ private placement at S$2.10/unit (4.4% discount) + JPY debt = natural currency hedge!

3️⃣ DPU Accretive :

Unit base up 12.2% but pro forma DPU still rises +2.6% (from 10.381¢ → 10.649¢) ✅

4️⃣ Leverage Up :

Gearing climbs from 34.0% → 38.0%, leaving less room for future buys.

5️⃣ Track Record :

This is the 7th equity raise in 10 years.

And based on historically data, DPU has recovered and grown over time!

Full breakdown in the infographic 👇

The financials, dilution history and key watch items!

Not financial advice . Please do your own DD 😘and love you 🥰.

$JD-SW(09618.HK)

JD.com Update -In the Red and I remain Convicted! 🧭

Bought 100 shares of JD-SW (09618) at HK$110.50 on Aug 28. It is currently at HK$107.50, down roughly -2.8%.

The current P/E at ~16.9x, dividend yield ~3.7%. It is looking increasingly reasonable for a top Chinese e-commerce giant.

Short-term price wobbles do not change the long-term story. I am watching closely for it to go lower. If the fundamentals stay strong, this could be a great entry point to add more! 💪

Who is holding JD too? What is your thoughts? Let’s discuss😁

$CapLand Ascendas REIT(A17U.SG)

CapLand Ascendas REIT -Added Another 500 Shares! 🛒

Just bought another 500 units of CapLand Ascendas REIT at S$2.42! 😁

Current total holding now stands at 1,900 shares and I prepared to keep accumulating while SG REITs are under pressure.

Weak market = bargain prices 😁

My plan: Keep adding gradually over the next few months. REITs are long-term plays. Volatility is my good friend. Volatility just means better entry points for income investors! 💪

Who’s also accumulating SG REITs at these levels? 🤣

Scare don’t buy. Buy don’t scare🥹🫣😂