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Micron
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Dolphin ResearchOct 1 at 07:31 AM

MU (Analyst huddle): SCA covers 35% of revenue; at least two nodes ahead of Chinese peers

Below is Dolphin Research's Trans of MU's FY26 Q4 post-earnings analyst call. For our earnings read-through, please see 'Micron: Without the melt-up, can long-term agreements really support a memory revival?'.

I. $Micron Tech(MU.US) Key Earnings Recap: 1) FQ1 modeling assumptions: guidance implies DRAM and NAND bit shipments up low single-digit QoQ, with unit costs showing double-digit change. 2) FY27 R&D raised: excluding incentive comp., ...

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Micron Tech

Micron Tech

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Dolphin ResearchOct 1 at 03:27 AM

MU: Without the AI melt-up, can LTAs sustain the memory supercycle?

Micron (MU) released its FY2026 Q4 results (quarter ended Aug 2026) after hours on Oct 1, 2026 Beijing time. Key points: 1) Overall performance:

$Micron Tech(MU.US) delivered revenue of $54.2bn this quarter (+31% QoQ). Growth slowed markedly vs. the 70%+ QoQ prints in the prior two quarters.

Revenue beat guidance by $8.0bn last quarter, but the beat narrowed to $4.0bn this quarter. Given that shipment volume is largely set when guidance is issued, the upside largely hinges on pricing...

Micron
Micron Technology Total Revenue (in mns/usc) DRAM NAND Others qoq% of total reve
% Sales Volume Change FQ4-26 Q/Q Increased in the mid-single digit DRAM percenta
Micron Technology Gross Profit (in mns/usd) Gross Profit Gross Profit Margin% 50+13
Micron Tech

Micron Tech

USMU

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Dolphin ResearchSep 30 at 10:47 PM

MU Trans: Supply-demand tight through 2028; bigger capital returns from Dec.

FQ4 revenue was $54.2bn and GPM reached 87%, both beating the top end of guidance.

FQ1 revenue guidance set a new high at $61.5bn.

About $1bn of incentive comp and other costs will pull FQ1 GPM back to ~86.25%, which management views as the FY27 full-year trough.

The company also expects supply-demand to be tighter in 2027–2028 vs. 2026 and has raised FY27 capex.

It will step up capital returns starting Dec 9.

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Micron Tech

Micron Tech

USMU

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Dolphin ResearchSep 29 at 05:25 AM

From HBM stack caps to a NAND ramp, NVDA vs. memory makers: who has the leverage?

In the prior piece, Dolphin Research examined the underlying tech to explain why AI's demand for memory capacity 'suddenly' surged and why HBM became the preferred memory for high-performance GPUs. It also outlined the core concepts and rationale of HBM.

As AI advances, how will memory evolve to deliver larger capacity and higher bandwidth? Two seemingly conflicting signals have surfaced recently in the industry.

On one side, the HBM roadmap keeps ramping, with stack counts moving from 12 to 16 and 20. On the other hand, per SemiAnalysis...

High Bandwidth Memory HBM
Evolution Route 1: more Layers 720um- 口 一 口口 一 一 口 口 C 口口 口 一 一 口口口 口口口 C 高品 C 一
More Complicated Cooling for more Layers Next-Generation HBM Roadmap : Thermal M
Evolution Route 2: uncoventional layout Raised interposer for taller stack heigh+18
Hudbay Minerals

Hudbay Minerals

USHBM

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Dolphin ResearchSep 17 at 09:22 AM

Storage Takes the Baton from Compute: Why HBM Stands Out?

From today's vantage point, H2'25 was a pivotal inflection for the AI hardware stack. Until then, 'compute', led by Nvidia GPUs, was center stage. After that, 'storage' — DRAM, NAND and HDD — became the biggest bottleneck across the chain.

As the chart shows, DDR5 DRAM prices surged roughly 7–9x within six months after Sep-25, with NAND up 4–5x over the same period. Correspondingly, ...

High Bandwidth Memory HBM
20 USD/GB 18 16 14 12 10 8 Fig. 5: DDR5 spot vs contract price 6 Spot price 4 2
1,000 1,100 Stock 900 800 700 600 DolphinResear 500 400 SK Hynix 300 200 100 Sam
Parameters of Qwen Flagship Models DRAM Needed to Store Model Param. 3,000 Dolph+17
NVIDIA

NVIDIA

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Dolphin ResearchJun 25 at 03:19 AM

MU: On a Tear. From Downcycle to Super Growth?

In 2026, the AI hardware hot spot has shifted from compute to memory. As AI trades in U.S. equities start to wobble, Micron’s prints have turned into the new bellwether. $Micron Tech(MU.US) reported after-market on Jun 24 (FQ3 FY26 for the quarter ended end-May), and it delivered, taking up the mantle as the AI infra standard-bearer.

Results speak for themselves: broad-based strength. Key takeaways: 1) Headline results: revenue of $41.5bn, up 74% QoQ, marking a second consecutive quarter with 70%+ QoQ growth...

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Micron Technology Total Revenue (in mns/usd) DRAM NAND Others Total Revenue qoq%
% Sales volume change FQ3-26 Q/Q Increased in the low-single DRAM digit percenta
Micron Technology Gross Profit (in mns/usd) Gross Profit Gross Profit Margin% 40+4
Micron Tech

Micron Tech

USMU

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Dolphin ResearchJun 25 at 02:39 AM

MU (Trans): Supply tightness to last through 2027

Below is Dolphin Research's compilation of Micron Technology's FY26 Q3 earnings call Trans.

I. Core takeaways from the print.

1) FQ4 guidance (record): revenue of $50 bn (±$1 bn), GPM about 86%, and OpEx around $1.65 bn.

EPS guided to a record $31 (±$1), based on approx. 1.15 bn shares. Tax rate ~15%.

The FQ4 GPM guide already factors in a clear slowdown in price increases.

For FY27, OpEx is expected to rise by about $1 bn to expand R&D.

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Micron Tech

Micron Tech

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Dolphin ResearchMar 19 at 03:29 AM

MU (Trans): Customer demand commitments unchanged; signs first 5-yr partnership agreement---

Below is Dolphin Research's Trans of the $Micron Tech(MU.US) FY26 Q2 earnings call.

For our earnings take, see 'Micron (MU): AI-fueled memory surge — can it break the cycle?'

Key management highlights: 1) Industry outlook: industry DRAM bit shipments in 2026 are expected to grow in the low-20% range (approx. 22%)...

IC r O n Q
Micron Technology(MU.O)2QFY26 Financial Performance (in US$ million) FY ends Sep
Micron Tech

Micron Tech

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Dolphin ResearchMar 19 at 02:32 AM

MU: AI-Driven Memory Boom—Can It Break the Cycle?---

Micron (MU) posted FQ2 (FY26) results (quarter ended Jan 2026) after the U.S. close in the early hours of Mar 19 Beijing time. Key takeaways: (1) overall results.

Revenue was $23.86bn (+75% QoQ), beating raised buy-side est. of $19.9bn. Growth was driven by both DRAM and NAND, each up 70%+ QoQ.

GPM reached 74.4%, above the raised buy-side est. of 69%. Supported by a sharp rise in memory pricing...

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Micron Technology(MU.O)2QFY26 Financial Performance (in US$ million) FY ends Sep
90.5 80.5 70.5 60.5 50.5 DDR price trends 40.5 30.5 20.5 DolphinResearch 10.5 0.
Rubin GPU Vera CPU CX9 BF4 NVLink Switch Spectrum CPO Grog 3LPU Vera Rubin Compu+14
Micron Tech

Micron Tech

USMU

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Dolphin ResearchJan 14 at 11:11 AM

99% compute idle? In the inference era, storage beats compute!

Jensen Huang's keynote at CES 2026 reignited market enthusiasm for memory. In the Rubin architecture, higher DDR and NAND content vs. Blackwell is fueling another rally in memory stocks.

Investor focus has broadened beyond HBM to more traditional categories such as DDR and NAND. Shifting supply-demand dynamics are driving a broad-based rise in memory pricing. Our previous article mapped the roles of each memory tier in AI servers and reviewed the HBM market...

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Supply&Demand yoy 1yoy%DRAM Demand-yoy%DRAM Supply yoy%NAND Demand-yoy%NANDSuppl
Supply&Demand Gap DRAMGap NAND Gap 10.0% arc 8.0% DolphinRese DolphinResearch Do
70.5 60.5 50.5 40.5 DDR price trends 30.5 20.5 DolphinResear 10.5 0.5 2024-01-02+20
Micron Tech

Micron Tech

USMU

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