In today’s pre-mkt summary for Subscribers: China maintains tough stance on potential tariff deal with U.S; Polymarket still puts odds >50% that U.S. enters recession; futures show 8% chance Fed cuts rates at May 6-7 meeting; $Chipotle Mexican Grill(CMG.US) blames first negative comps since COVID on economic uncertainty and tariffs; our cautious stance on $Tesla(TSLA.US) reflects -15% decline in FY’25 earnings ests since Tues as analysts cut FY’25 deliv ests, and our skepticism that more affordable vehicles will generate incremental volume.
Chipotle Mexican Grill
CMG----
Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG)
Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, owns and operates Chipotle Mexican Grill restaurants. The company sells food and beverages, such a...
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Chipotle Mexican Grill Analyst Rating
View MoreForecast & Rating
Jul 22, 2026Price forecast
$42.9433.35%
Forecast & RatingBuy
35analysts
- Strong buy60.00%
- Buy11.43%
- Hold28.57%
- Sell0.00%
- Strong sell0.00%
Daily Events
- Jul, 22
CMG declined approximately 3% to $32.29 today, pressured primarily by ongoing cyclospora outbreak investigations as consumers reduce purchases of salads and lettuce-based items. First-quarter fundamentals reflect the strain: while operating revenue grew 7.41% year-over-year to $3.088 billion, EPS declined 17.86% to $0.23 and net profit fell 21.67% to $302.8 million, with net margin contracting from 11.09% in Q4 to 9.81%. Positionally, CMG has fallen 14.11% year-to-date and trades 39.28% below its 52-week high of $53.03, with a valuation PE of 28.45 offering limited margin of safety. However, the company's first Mexico restaurant has opened with plans to expand to Mexico City by 2027, while Bernstein maintains a buy rating, providing medium-term growth catalysts.
- Jul, 21
Chipotle inched up 0.57% to 33.32 dollars, marginally reversing recent selling tied to food safety risks. A cyclospora outbreak notification across multiple U.S. states has prompted health warnings and reduced consumer purchases of salads and lettuce products, creating near-term traffic pressure. Q1 revenue reached 30.88 billion dollars with 7.41% year-over-year growth, but Q1 EPS of 0.23 dollars fell 7.54% sequentially and 17.86% annually as net profit margin compressed from Q4's 11.09% to 9.81%, signaling cost absorption pressures. The stock is down 11.12% year-to-date and trades 38.52% below its 52-week high of 54.20 dollars, though holding just above the 60-day moving average of 32.65 dollars. Market sentiment splits between confidence in the Mexico City expansion's growth potential, targeted through 2027, and lingering caution over near-term food safety event resolution.
- Jul, 20
Chipotle shares fell 3.81% to $33.13 today, declining to an intraday low of $32.76 (a 4.89% drop), primarily pressured by food-borne parasite concerns weighing on consumer sentiment. The company's Q1 2026 earnings revealed revenue growth of 7.41% to $3.09 billion, yet earnings per share fell 17.86% year-over-year to $0.23, with net profit declining 21.67%, reflecting underlying margin compression despite top-line growth. From a price-positioning standpoint, the stock has retreated 38.98% from its 52-week high of $54.29, marking an 11.63% year-to-date decline, now trading near the 60-day moving average of $32.66 but materially below the 20-day MA of $33.86. While the company faces near-term headwinds from food safety concerns, some analysts maintain buy ratings, suggesting the recent selloff may have overshot the fundamental impact.
- Jul, 17
CMG.US gained 0.7% to $34.44, with today's advance driven by robust pre-market momentum lifting the stock from its session low of $33.99 to $34.72, a 2%+ rally buoyed by investor optimism around the company's Mexico expansion strategy. The company's inaugural Mexican restaurant in Nuevo León is now operational, with plans to penetrate Mexico City by 2027, marking a significant milestone in Chipotle's multi-geography growth trajectory. Intraday trading steadied with the stock hitting a high of $35.41. Bernstein analysts maintained their buy rating with a $45 price target. In terms of valuation positioning, the stock has declined 8.14% year-to-date and is down 36.56% from its 52-week high of $54.29, although it trades about 5% above its 60-day moving average of $32.69, with a P/E ratio of 30.43x reflecting market expectations for robust growth.
- Jul, 16
CMG fell 1.24% to $34.20 on Q1 earnings pressure despite Mexico expansion and Bernstein's buy rating. EPS declined 17.86% year-over-year to $0.23 and net profit dropped 21.67% to $302.8 million, with net margin compressing from 11.09% to 9.81%, though revenue grew 7.41% to $3,088 million. The gap between profit and revenue growth weighs on sentiment. At 30.2x PE and $43.9 billion market cap, valuation appears elevated.
News
- benzinga_article · 17 hours ago
Here's How Much $1000 Invested In Chipotle Mexican Grill 20 Years Ago Would Be Worth Today
- Dow Jones · 2 days ago, 04:44 PM
Americans are skipping lettuce and salads as investigation into cyclospora outbreak continues
- benzinga_article · 2 days ago, 02:15 PM
Chipotle Stock Is Sliding: What's Going On Today?
- Market Beat · 2 days ago, 02:01 PM
Top Restaurant Stocks To Research - July 20th
- benzinga_article · 2 days ago, 12:26 PM
QUICK SPARK: Taco Bell, Cava, Chipotle Visits Plunge on Food-Borne Parasite
- MSN · 2 days ago, 10:43 AM
I'd buy more Chipotle Mexican Grill before the market figures out what it's missing
