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Domestic Futures Open with More Declines than Gains: Silver Drops Nearly 9%, Crude Oil Surges Over 4%

Hong Kong's CPI rose 1.7% year-on-year in March due to rising international oil prices

Crude Oil and Fuel Oil Lead Gains at Nighttime Futures Market Opening

IEA Member Countries Release 400 Million Barrels of Strategic Oil Reserves in Response to Mideast Energy Supply Risks

Sharp Fluctuations in Crude Oil Prices Lead to Surge in Synthetic Fiber Prices in Shaoxing

Shanghai crude oil down 10.24% continuously, EU container freight index futures up 6.04% continuously

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Asian markets showed mixed results as investors reacted to President Trump's postponement of a military strike on Tehran, balancing geopolitical relief against inflation concerns. Major tech stocks fell, dragging indexes down in Japan and South Korea, while Japan's economy showed growth. Gold prices dipped below $4,550, and WTI crude futures approached $102 per barrel. The KOSPI fell over 3%, while the Australian dollar weakened amid inflation worries. U.S. stock futures also declined despite the diplomatic developments.

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Newmont

SD-GOLD

Occidental Petroleum

Kinross Gold

SPDR O&G Equip

ChinaAMC CSI SH-SZ-HK Gold Industry Equity ETF

ISHRS S&P Glb Engy

iShares MSCI Global Gold Miners

GLOBAL X Gold Explorers

iShares US Oil & Gas Expl & Prod

Direxion Daily Jr Gold Miners Bull 2X

Sprott GLD Miners Etf

VanEck Oil Services ETF

ChinaAMC Gold ETF

VanEck Gold Miners ETF

EFUND GOLD MI-U

SPDR O&G Ex & Prd

Us Gbl GLD & Met

Microsectors Gold Miners 3x Leveraged ETN

Asia markets mixed after Trump delays Tehran attack for diplomatic talks

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Asian markets fell on Monday due to escalating Middle East tensions and a tech selloff ahead of Nvidia's earnings report. Oil prices surged, raising inflation concerns, while gold and Bitcoin also declined. Japan's indices dropped, and China's economic slowdown was evident with weak retail sales and factory output. The Indian and Australian markets also saw losses, reflecting investor anxiety over the ongoing conflict with Iran.

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Agnico Eagle Mines

Zijin Mining

YieldMax NVDA Option Income Strategy ETF

T-Rex 2X Long NVIDIA Daily Target ETF

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Global X Silver Miner

VanEck Junior Gold Miners ETF

Abrdn Gold ETF Trust

GraniteShares 2x Short NVDA Daily ETF

T-Rex 2X Inverse NVIDIA Daily Target ETF

United States Oil Fund LP

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YieldMax Gold Miners Opt Inc Strgy ETF

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EFUND GOLD MI-R

Direxion Daily Jr Gold Miners Bear 2X

Direxion Daily NVDA Bear 1X ETF

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SPDR S&P Mtls & Mng

Direxion Daily NVDA Bull 2X Shares

GraniteShares 2x Long NVDA Daily ETF

Us Brent Oil

Sprott JR Gold Miners ETF

iShares Gold Trust

AXS 1.5X NVDA Bear Daily ETF

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NVIDIA

Asia markets slide as Middle East tensions and pre-Nvidia caution weigh on tech

Despite record stock indices under Trump, inflation fears rise due to the Iran war and a hawkish Fed nominee. The closure of the Strait of Hormuz has disrupted 20% of global crude supply, causing the fastest gas price spike in 30 years. While rural voters support Trump despite high gas prices, national polls indicate increasing economic anxiety and low approval of his economic leadership.

Iran war fuels inflation fears despite strong Trump-era markets

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Global market sentiment has weakened due to concerns over the ongoing Middle East war, energy price shocks, inflation spikes, and rising interest rates. Wall Street Futures and European benchmarks are trading lower, with Asian markets also experiencing heavy losses. The Dollar Index has gained, while bond yields have hardened amid inflation worries. Crude oil prices have risen, but gold has slipped nearly 3%. Major stock indexes are down, reflecting the overall negative market sentiment.

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Market Sentiment Weakens As Middle East War Persists

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Yesterday's closing saw an increase in trading activity for E&P GLOBAL, with a total transaction volume of approximately HKD 7.26 million. Although this absolute value is not high, it is relatively strong compared to its own market capitalization. After stabilizing near the short-term moving averages, the stock price began to test upward. The MACD daily bullish signal has just been established, indicating that the previous period of consolidation and accumulation may be coming to an end, and a directional choice in the phase trend may be on the horizon. Buying power has initially rebounded, and short-selling pressure has eased. On the news front, Brent crude oil is currently maintaining a high level of USD 106.30 per barrel, and the geopolitical tensions in the Strait of Hormuz continue to affect energy supply. Recent news indicates that the blockade in Hormuz is impacting the global supply chain comprehensively, from energy to chemical solvents, and concerns about energy supply disruptions are intensifying. Against the backdrop of high oil prices, the earnings expectations for individual stocks in the energy sector are supported, and the valuation recovery space for related concept stocks has attracted market attention. From a technical perspective, the current stock price is attempting to break through the short-term moving average resistance. If it can stabilize above the 5-day moving average with increased volume today, the bullish pattern is likely to be further confirmed. The sustainability of trading volume is key; given the stock's usual low trading activity, a sudden influx of funds could lead to a rapid surge, while conversely, it could also quickly retreat. The short-term trend is leaning bullish, with high oil prices providing fundamental support for energy stocks. However, it is important to note that the stock has limited liquidity, and intraday price fluctuations may be significant. Additionally, if there are signs of easing in the geopolitical situation, a drop in oil prices could exert pressure on the energy sector

Technical Forecast

E&P GLOBAL

BP p.l.c.

Pre-market trend | E&P GLOBAL (1142.HK) on May 13 shows a significant increase in trading volume, will energy stocks welcome a catalyst with high oil prices?

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US equity futures, oil, and yields are rising as optimism around AI earnings potential outweighs inflation concerns. S&P futures are up 0.2% and Nasdaq futures 0.7%, driven by gains in semiconductor stocks. Trump's China trip is expected to focus on trade deals, particularly in semiconductors. In corporate news, Arteris Inc. shares rose 24% after strong revenue results, while Karman Holdings fell 5.6%. AI company Anthropic is seeking $30 billion in new capital, and SoftBank reported a surge in profits from its OpenAI investment. Higher oil prices are impacting consumer prices and bond yields.

- US equity futures have risen, reversing modest losses from yesterday as optimism over AI earnings potential continues.  
- Traders are hopeful for favorable outcomes from the Trump-Xi summit in Beijing while anticipating today's PPI data following recent inflation readings.  
- Key stocks, particularly in technology and semiconductors, have benefitted from this renewed sentiment amid geopolitical tensions and ongoing supply chain concerns.

ZeroHedge

Karman

SoftBank Group Corp.

Arteris

SoftBank

HSPC

China Merchants CSI Semiconductor Industry ETF

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Harvest CSI All Share Integrated Circuit ETF

Harvest SSE STAR Chip ETF

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China Southern CSI Semiconductor Industry Custom ETF

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ChinaAMC SSE STAR Semiconductor Material & Equipment Thematic ETF

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China Universal NASDAQ 100 ETF(QDII)

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VanEck Semiconductor ETF

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GTJA Allianz SSE STAR Chip Design Thematic ETF

Fidelity Nasdaq Composite Index ETF

ChinaAMC Guozheng Semiconductor Chip ETF

ProShares Ultra Energy

Invesco Nasdaq 100 ETF

Invesco QQQ Trust

Guotai CSI Semiconductor Material Equipment Theme ETF

Bosera S&P 500 ETF

Guotai S&P 500 ETF(QDII)

Nasdaq

Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group, Inc.

Pacer Cash COWZ 100-Nasdaq100RotatorETF

SPDR S&P 500

iShares Core S&P 500

Tesla

Alphabet

Alphabet - C

Amazon

Meta Platforms

Microsoft

Apple

Phaos Tech

Nano Labs

Nextpower

GZ6G Technologies Corp.

Daishinku Corp.,

Iczoom

祥峰控股

OneApex

iShares U.S. Power Infrastructure ETF

GO2 People Ltd.

Go-Ahead Group plc

LTC Properties

Invesco Ultra Short Duration ETF

Advanced Human Imaging Ltd.

Industrial Human Capital, Inc.

Ceribell

System1

Cirrus Logic

OpenAI

State Street

NVIDIA Corporation

SYSTEM1 INC C/WTS 27/01/2027 (TO PUR COM)

State Street® US Equity Premium Inc ETF

Futures, Yields And Oil All Rise As Trump Arrives In China

The Consumer Price Index is projected to rise by 3.8% over the past year, raising concerns about inflation's impact on the economy and household budgets. The primary driver of this inflation is increasing fuel costs, exacerbated by the Iran war, which has limited crude oil supply to global markets.

- The Consumer Price Index is projected to have increased by 3.8% over the past 12 months ending in April, raising concerns about inflation's impact on the economy and household finances.  
- The primary driver of this inflation surge is the rising fuel costs, attributed to the Iran war restricting crude oil supplies to global markets.  
- If inflation continues to rise, it could lead to significant economic consequences.

What to expect from Tuesday's inflation report

Oil prices surged due to the Iran conflict disrupting Persian Gulf shipments, leading to increased global energy costs. The April CPI rose 3.8% year-over-year, with energy contributing over 40% to the monthly increase. Consequently, market expectations have shifted, with no anticipated rate cuts in 2026 and a possibility of rate hikes if inflation persists.

Bosera CSI Oil & Gas Resources Index ETF

Guotai CSI Oil & Gas Industry ETF

ChinaAMC CSI Petrochemical Industry ETF

China Universal CSI Oil & Gas Resources ETF

Hot inflation and Iran standoff rattle markets, lift oil

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Hong Kong will halve tolls for commercial vehicles using public tunnels for two months starting Sunday, aiming to reduce business costs amid rising fuel prices due to the Middle East conflict. The 50% discount applies to buses, goods vehicles, light buses, and registered taxis, while private vehicles are excluded. The measure is designed to alleviate operating costs without requiring applications from vehicle owners. Additionally, the government has previously introduced diesel and LPG subsidies to address fuel price volatility, with Brent crude prices around US$107 per barrel.

SCMP

FI CSOP HSI

CSOP HSI ETF

TRACKER FUND

China Southern Hang Seng ETF

FI2 CSOP HSI

ISHARESHSI

ChinaAMC Hang Seng ETF

Hong Kong halves tunnel tolls for commercial vehicles amid surging fuel prices

Asia Pacific banks are expected to increase loan loss provisions due to the ongoing Iran conflict, which is impacting economic prospects in the region reliant on Middle Eastern oil. Analysts indicate that banks in Australia, Singapore, and India are flagging potential credit hits, with provisions set aside significantly lower than during the COVID-19 pandemic. The Asian Development Bank has revised its growth forecast downwards, and banks are bracing for potential credit losses amid rising oil prices and economic instability. The situation remains fluid, with banks cautiously assessing risks and preparing for possible disruptions.

Fidelity

E Fund CSI 300 Financials (ex Banks) ETF

Analysis-Asia Pacific banks face growing credit risks, raise provisions as Iran war drags on

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