VG Extend Trsy

Rivian

Financial Analysis

RIVN

VWAGY

VWAPY

EIPAF

The key inflection for volume comes in Q4 2026. GPM is set to inflect then as well.

Rivian Automotive

Eni Spa-Sponsored

Volkswagen

RIVN: Pain Now—Can R2 Drive a Turnaround?

2026 sales guidance beats expectations

RIVN: Post-subsidy era — can R2 lead a turnaround?---

Amesite

InMed Pharmaceuticals

Meiwu Tech

Phoenix Asia

Generation Income Properties

Co-Diagnostics

MetaVia

BAYVIEW ACQUISITION CORPORATION COM USD0.0001 (S/R) 17/11/2028

NextNRG

Virax Biolabs

MMKT

GOVT

The U.S. faces a fiscal crisis as inflation erases wage gains since 2024, driven by the ongoing U.S.-Israeli war against Iran. Consumer prices rose 0.6% last month, while median weekly earnings increased only 0.45%. The proposed suspension of the federal gasoline tax could add $11.5 billion to the deficit, compounding the $200 billion requested for the war. The national debt is projected to rise 20% by 2028, with interest consuming a significant portion of tax revenue. The bond market demands 5% interest for 30-year loans, leading to real losses for bondholders.

- The article discusses the impact of inflation on U.S. wages since Donald Trump's election, attributing this inflation to the war in Iran.  
- It notes that the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported a 0.6% increase in consumer prices and a decrease in real median wages, reflecting a concerning economic situation.  
- The author warns of escalating national debt and government spending, forecasting a 20% increase in U.S. debt by 2028, while highlighting the rising interest demands in the bond market.

Dow Jones

SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF

iShares barclays 20+ Yr Treasury Bd

Texas Capital Government Mny Mkt ETF

iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF

iShares Barclays Short Treasury

ISHRS Us Trsry Bd

America's day of fiscal reckoning draws closer

511090

Investor concerns over rising inflation have led to a sell-off in the global bond market, pushing U.S. long-term Treasury yields to their highest levels in nearly three years. The 30-year U.S. Treasury bond yield rose to 5.16%, while the 10-year and 2-year yields reached 4.63% and 4.10%, respectively. In Japan, the 30-year government bond yield surged to 4.2%. BNP Paribas' Guneet Dhingra advises clients to focus on a trading range of 5.25% to 5.5% for the 30-year U.S. Treasury bond.

CoinLive

Pengyang Chinabond 30-year Treasury Bond ETF

iShares Core US Aggregate Bd

Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF

iShares Barclays 1-3 Yr Treasury

BNP Paribas

Global Bond Market Faces Sell-Off Amid Inflation Concerns

The appointment of Kevin Warsh as the new Federal Reserve Chairman raises concerns about the stability of US stock valuations, which have been heavily reliant on the assumption that long-term interest rates will decrease. With the 30-year US Treasury yield surpassing 5%, the market's confidence is shaken. Factors such as persistent inflation, rising national debt, and deteriorating demand for US Treasury bonds contribute to the fragility of the stock market, making it vulnerable to high long-term interest rates.

NVIDIA

Microsoft

Meta Platforms

S&P 500

NASDAQ Composite Index

NVIDIA Corporation

The Warsh Storm is Coming

U.S. 10-year and 30-year Treasury yields have surged to multi-year highs due to rising inflation and an energy crisis. This increase in yields is raising mortgage and corporate loan rates, which could hinder economic growth and reduce investor interest in equities. Additionally, ongoing inflation and geopolitical tensions are leading to speculation that the Federal Reserve may maintain or increase interest rates instead of cutting them.

Pro Ultrshrt 20+Yrs Trsy

iShares TIPS Bd

Bond yields jump as war and energy costs fuel inflation fears

511010

SCHP

High inflation is pushing yields on 30-year Treasury bonds to 5%, driven by rising energy costs linked to the Iran war. U.S. consumers face increased living costs, with gas prices averaging $4.50 per gallon. Investors are selling Treasurys amid concerns over inflation and potential interest rate hikes. The U.S. federal debt is projected to reach $30 trillion, with significant new Treasury supply expected. Analysts suggest that while rate hikes are possible, the Federal Reserve may remain on hold due to the current economic climate.

Guotai SSE 5-Year China Treasury Note ETF

Schw Us Tips

Factset Research

Wells Fargo

Morgan Stanley

WELLS FARGO & COMPANY DP SHS REP 1/1000TH INT NCUM PFD CL A DD

WELLS FARGO & COMPANY 7.5% PERP CONV PRF CLS 'A' SERIES 'L'

WELLS FARGO & COMPANY DEP SHS REP 1/1000 INT PER PFD SER Y A

WELLS FARGO & COMPANY DP SHS REP 1/1000TH INT NCUM PFD CL A CC

WELLS FARGO & COMPANY 4.75% DEP SHS 1/1000 NCUM PFD CL A SR Z

WELLS FARGO & COMPANY DEP SHS REP 1/1000TH INT PFD SR AA (CLA)

MORGAN STANLEY DEP SHS EA REP 1/1000 SHS NON CUM PFD O

MORGAN STANLEY DEP SHS REPSTG 1/1000TH PFD SER Q

MORGAN STANLEY DEP SHS REPS 1/1000 7.125% PFD E

MORGAN STANLEY NON-CUM DEP SH REP 1/1000 PFD SER I

MORGAN STANLEY 4.875 DEP SHS REP 1/1000 NCUM PFD SR L

MORGAN STANLEY 6.5%DEP SHS REPSTG 1/1000 NON CUM SER P

MORGAN STANLEY DEP SHS REPS 1/1000 PFD SER 'A'

MORGAN STANLEY DEP SHS REPR 1/1000TH INT PFD SER 'F' FX

MORGAN STANLEY DEP SHS REP 1/1000 NON-CUM PFD STK SER K

High inflation is pushing yields to 5% on Treasury bonds

SCHQ

SPTL

Seasonal trends indicate a potential summer rally in long-term Treasuries, with historical data suggesting rising prices and falling yields from now until early August. Factors such as lower liquidity, reinvestment flows, equity rotation, and softer economic data contribute to a favorable bond market. Additionally, easing U.S.-Iran tensions and possible declines in oil prices may alleviate inflation concerns, further boosting demand for long-term bonds.

Schwab Long-Term US Treasury ETF

SPDR Port Lg Term Trsy

Seasonal trends point to summer rally in long-term treasuries

VGOV

159651

UK long-term yields reach their highest levels since 1998, with US 30-year Treasury yields exceeding 5%. This surge is driven by inflation and fiscal concerns, leading to increased borrowing costs for governments, businesses, and households, which may slow economic growth and heighten financial risks. Additionally, rising oil prices due to Middle East conflicts are intensifying inflation pressures, causing central banks to be more cautious about reducing interest rates.

- UK long-dated borrowing costs reached their highest levels since 1998, and US 30-year Treasury yields exceeded 5% due to inflation and fiscal concerns.  
- The increase in yields raises borrowing costs for governments, businesses, and households, which could slow economic growth and heighten financial risks.  
- Oil price surges from the Middle East conflict are exacerbating inflation, leading central banks to approach rate cuts with increased caution.

Vanguard UK Gilt UCITS ETF

Pingan Chinabond-0-3 Year CDB Bond ETF

Fullgoal Chinabond 7-10 Year Policy Bank Bond ETF

iShares GBP Index-Linked Gilts UCITS ETF

iShares Core UK Gilts UCITS ETF

Vanguard Total Inflation Protd Secs ETF

UK and US long-term yields hit multi-decade highs amid inflation fears

The 30-year Treasury yield has surpassed 5% for the first time since 2007, reaching 5.046% at auction. This increase is attributed to rising inflation expectations driven by recent CPI and PPI reports and higher energy costs due to Middle East tensions. The higher yields may lead to increased mortgage and loan rates, potentially delaying purchases and investments for households and businesses.

US 30-year bond tops 5% in biggest jump since 2007

VGLT

Seasonal Tailwinds Are Aligning for 30 & 10-Year Treasuries – Here's the Setup

Barchart Option

Vanguard Long Term Gov

US Treasury 30 Year Bond ETF

Seasonal Tailwinds Are Aligning for 30 & 10-Year Treasuries – Here's the Setup

The yield on the 30-year Treasury bond has approached 5%, raising questions about the reliability of this trade strategy. While past trends suggest that yields decline after breaching this level, current inflation expectations and potential Federal Reserve interest rate hikes create uncertainty. Analysts are divided; some believe the 5% level may not hold, while others see value in long positions. Concerns about U.S. fiscal sustainability persist, with former Treasury officials warning of potential borrowing cost increases. Treasury yields have recently retreated, reflecting ongoing market volatility.

Direxion 20+Yr Trsry Bull 3X

First Horizon

FIRST HORIZON CORPORATION 6.50% DEP SHS REP 1/4000 PER PFD SER E

FIRST HORIZON CORPORATION DEP SHS REP 1/400 NON CUM PER PFD SER C

FIRST HORIZON CORPORATION DEP SHS REP 1/400 NON CUM PER PFD SER B

FIRST HORIZON CORPORATION DEP SH REP 1/4000 INT NON CUM PFD H WI

FIRST HORIZON CORPORATION DEP SHS REPSTG 1/4000TH PERP PFD SER F

Betting on long Treasury bonds when yields near 5% has been a slam-dunk trade over the past few years. Is this time different?

CJ Yong

Ranks in the top 30% of account holders by rate of return
Calculated based on your Longbridge (Singapore) A/C

Rate Of Return

On September 18, the Federal Reserve will definitely cut interest rates. During the rate-cutting cycle, U.S. Treasury bonds and Treasury bond ETFs are popular choices for investors. However, the investment strategies for Treasury bonds of different maturities and their related ETFs vary. Below is a summary of some market consensus. Please correct me if I'm wrong:$iShares barclays 20+ Yr Treasury Bd(TLT.US) — relatively stable Treasury bonds of different maturities have different risk characteristics, which affect their volatility and return performance. For beginners, it's advisable to start by understanding some basic ETFs, such as TLT.TLT is a longer-term Treasury bond ETF with a volatility of about 1%. Other Treasury bond ETFs of different maturities will have amplified volatility depending on the length of the maturity. If you want to try to profit from price differences but don’t want to face excessive volatility, TLT is a good choice. It offers some volatility but is relatively stable.$Direxion 20+Yr Trsry Bull 3X(TMF.US) — higher volatility but with decayTMF is a triple-leveraged Treasury bond ETF. Although it has higher volatility, it has the characteristic of decay, meaning its value gradually decreases over time—a sunk cost.$VG Extend Trsy(EDV.US) — even higher volatilityIf you want even higher volatility but don’t want to deal with decay, consider EDV. EDV is a long-term Treasury bond ETF with higher volatility but no decay issues like leveraged ETFs.Directly buying Treasury bondsIf your goal is purely to collect interest, you can consider buying Treasury bonds directly. However, this comes with reinvestment risk—when the bonds mature, you’ll face market interest rate risks when reinvesting.

Valkyrie Bitcoin and Ether Strategy ETF