SPDR Portfolio Treasury ETF

InMed Pharmaceuticals

AMPLITECH GROUP INC. USD0.001 S/R 20/11/26 SER B

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Series I bonds are currently the best option for cash investments, offering a 4.26% annualized return, which surpasses traditional savings accounts and Treasury bonds. Experts warn that the popularity of I-bonds may signal rising inflation, reminiscent of 2022's economic conditions. While I-bonds have restrictions, they provide tax deferral benefits and are simpler than TIPS. Financial advisors suggest that I-bonds could be a safe investment for those looking to hedge against inflation, especially if trends continue to mirror past economic patterns.

Dow Jones

Invesco Short Term Treasury ETF

Schw Us Tips

iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF

iShares TIPS Bd

iShares barclays 20+ Yr Treasury Bd

Vanguard Short Terms Inflation Protected Securities

Vanguard 0-3 Month Treasury Bill ETF

ISHRS Us Trsry Bd

I-bonds are the best place to put your cash right now - and that should worry you

VGSH

VGIT

Demand for Treasurys stumbled, pushing yields higher.

SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF

iShares Barclays Short Treasury

Vanguard Short Term Gov

Vanguard Intermediate Term Gov

Treasury yields recover from early lows

The U.S. Treasury plans to borrow $189 billion in Q2, exceeding previous estimates by $79 billion due to lower net cash flows, despite a higher cash balance at the quarter's start. The Treasury anticipates a cash balance of $900 billion by the end of June and expects to borrow $671 billion in Q3, projecting a cash balance of $950 billion by the end of September.

- The U.S. Treasury announced it expects to borrow $189 billion in the second quarter, an increase of $79 billion from earlier estimates.  
- This rise is attributed to lower than projected net cash flows, though partially offset by a higher opening cash balance.  
- For the third quarter, the Treasury forecasts borrowing $671 billion, anticipating a cash balance of $950 billion by the end of September.

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VG Extend Trsy

US Treasury to borrow $189 billion in Q2, higher than expected

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As baby boomers retire, they will transition from stock buyers to sellers, potentially impacting stock demand and valuations. This demographic shift may lead to increased liquidations of investments to fund retirements, as older individuals typically have different risk tolerances. Recent data indicates that defined-contribution plans have started to sell stocks, while aging Americans may invest more in U.S. government debt, easing capital pressure on the government. Despite these concerns, U.S. stocks have shown resilience, with major indices continuing to rise.

- As baby boomers retire, their transition from stock buyers to sellers may eventually lead to decreased demand for equities, impacting stock valuations.  
- Aging investors are shifting their portfolios, moving away from stocks towards less risky investments like Treasury bills, influenced by changing risk tolerances.  
- This trend of aging Americans as net sellers of stocks could ease pressure on U.S. government capital needs amid rising fixed-income attractiveness due to inflation and budget deficits.

NASDAQ-100

NASDAQ Composite Index

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SPDR S&P 500

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Invesco QQQ Trust

A major long-term risk for investors today is baby boomers liquidating their investments

SCHR

FLGV

U.S. President Trump announced a two-week ceasefire in the Middle East conflict, leading investors to flock to the U.S. Treasury market, causing both short-term and long-term bond yields to decline. The yield on the two-year bond fell by 4.1 basis points to 3.79%. The yield on the ten-year bond dropped by 4.8 basis points to 4.3%. The yield on the thirty-year bond decreased by 3.3 basis points to 4.88%

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Schw Interm Us Trsy

Franklin US Treasury Bd ETF

After the ceasefire in the bond market, investors flocked to U.S. Treasuries, causing both short and long-term yields to decline

GBTC

U.S. stocks declined last week due to rising oil prices and war risks, with the S&P 500 falling 1.67% and the Nasdaq 100 dropping over 2%. Oil prices surpassed $100 per barrel amid heightened tensions with Iran, prompting a cautious market tone and a shift towards energy and defensive sectors. Cryptocurrencies also fell, with Bitcoin near $66,000. Interest rates are a concern, as the 10-year Treasury yield rose to 4.42% and mortgage rates approached 6.43%, impacting housing demand.

- U.S. stocks fell as war risks and rising oil prices impacted market sentiment, with the S&P 500 down 1.67% on Friday.  
- Oil prices exceeded $100 per barrel amid ongoing tensions with Iran, prompting investors to reduce risk and shift towards energy and defensive sectors.  
- The 10-year Treasury yield rose to approximately 4.42%, while rising mortgage rates near 6.43% continue to affect housing demand.

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Grayscale Bitcoin Trust BTC - ETF

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SPDR O&G Equip

Pro Ultr Bloomberg Crude Oil

Grayscale Bitcoin Adopters ETF

SPDR O&G Ex & Prd

VG Energy

Direxion S&P 500 Bull 3X

ProShares Ultra Bitcoin ETF

VanEck Bitcoin ETF

iShares Barclays 1-3 Yr Treasury

iShares US Oil & Gas Expl & Prod

SPDR Energy Select

Proshares UltraPro QQQ

Amplify Transform Data Sharing ETF

iShares US Oil Equip & Svcs

ARK 21Shares Bitcoin ETF

ProShares Bitcoin Strategy ETF

Bitwise Bitcoin ETF

ISHRS S&P Glb Engy

United States Oil Fund LP

First Trust NASDAQ-100 Equal Weighted

VanEck Oil Refiners ETF

Franklin Bitcoin ETF

ProShares Ultra QQQ

Us Brent Oil

iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF

Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund - ETF

The Week That Was, The Week Ahead: Macro and Markets, Mar. 29

The markets reacted positively to President Trump's declaration of victory in the Iran war, despite Iran's rejection of a ceasefire proposal. The U.S. has set maximalist demands in negotiations, while Iran has countered with its own. A weak Treasury auction raised concerns, with a high yield of 3.936% and a bid-to-cover ratio of 2.44. Investors are advised to focus on money flows in major stocks and ETFs, as well as upcoming Treasury auctions. The overall sentiment remains optimistic, but caution is advised due to uncertainties in the geopolitical landscape.

- The article discusses a weak two-year Treasury auction, highlighting an unusual low performance amid typically strong demand.  
- It notes that President Trump's declaration of victory in the Iran war has influenced market behavior, although conflicting responses from Iran complicate the negotiation landscape.  
- The overall analysis suggests a potential minimalist ceasefire that could lead the markets to favor selling oil while buying stocks and precious metals, emphasizing the importance of navigating uncertainty in investment decisions.

benzinga_article

iShares Core US Aggregate Bd

Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF

Markets Trust Trump Victory Declaration – Maximalist Demands From Both Sides; Reality Check – Weak Treasury Auction

U.S. $69 billion Treasury bond demand weakens, and the yield on the two-year Treasury bond widened on Tuesday. The yield on the two-year bond rose by 7.5 basis points to 3.904%. The yield on the ten-year bond rose by 3.2 basis points to 4.368%. The yield on the thirty-year bond rose by 2.1 basis points to 4.933%

Dow Jones U.S. Index

Schwab Long-Term US Treasury ETF

SPDR Port Lg Term Trsy

"Bond Market" Weak Demand for U.S. Treasury Auctions, Two-Year Treasury Yield Increase Expands

SPDR Portfolio Treasury ETF(SPTB.US)

I-bonds are the best place to put your cash right now - and that should worry you

Treasury yields recover from early lows

US Treasury to borrow $189 billion in Q2, higher than expected

A major long-term risk for investors today is baby boomers liquidating their investments

After the ceasefire in the bond market, investors flocked to U.S. Treasuries, causing both short and long-term yields to decline