SK Hynix

SK hynix dropped 15% in one seoul session over the HBM4 slip to Q3. is this the first real crack in the memory trade or just a shakeout before earnings on the 29th? honestly cant tell anymore

$SK Hynix(SKHY.US) put buyers spotted hitting the $120P for 08/21, loading up with over $3.04M in premium. 👀

SK Hynix had its worst day ever in Seoul, down 15% in one session, and it barely made the SG news. same memory supercycle everyone loves, but the second ASP growth slowed the stock got wrecked. lesson: those locked HBM contracts cap how fast earnings can jump when demand runs hot 😮‍💨

$Sandisk(SNDK.US) / $Western Digital(WDC.US) / $Seagate Tech(STX.US)

SK Hynix ADRs down around 13% and it reports next week on the 22nd. the whole memory complex is pricing in a glut that the HBM numbers just do not show yet. i play the group through the basket $Roundhill Memory ETF (DRAM.US)$ so no single 13% session wrecks me. the SK Hynix earnings on the 22nd will either confirm the shortage or the bears win. holding into it, not chasing.

I foresaw the market would decline, but I didn't expect it to happen in July. It came so quickly, and the front-running behavior was so severe. Never try to outsmart the market; just be like Forrest Gump. If you've bought in, just hold on; it will definitely come back. If you can't hold a stock, you shouldn't hold it for even a minute.

Based on @Fattycat for this news, the borrowers are the most challenged. Though invest in AI will help, too much of it will hurt companies and the people.

Markets at new highs with leaders getting sold is a classic late-cycle signal. If enterprises pause AI spend because ROI isn’t there yet, memory orders get cut first. Cooler inflation also means less urgency for risk. This -9% could be the first crack before a deeper semi correction.

Tech is having a great discount. So many goodies on sale. It’s amazing how sentiments are. Who dares wins. Do you dare?

The buying opportunity everyone is waiting for is here at last. Selling off because ‘spending more to meet demand’. Isn’t demand a good thing? The market is quite short sighted some times but then again narratives are just constructed to explain markets which actually do its own things.

Market sell-off is not the only thing continuing into the weekend; the US-Iran war is too. South Korea's margin plays backfire for their traders and some are even forced to liquidate their accounts to stop the losses. This effect spirals into the US market as well, causing many big names and high beta stocks to drop massively. Heading into earnings season, we have also seen barely hitting analysts' expectations is not enough - investors are pricing in not just the fundamentals but also the future forward guidance.

some numbers to lift the mood:

Amundi target gold to be US$5000 by year end; Macquarie sees STI at 6000 in 1 yr (UOB's target 5400 already exceeded);

DBS expects crude oil to cap around US$80.

* TSMC's strong results reaffirm that AI demand remains resilient despite the market's negative reaction

* Chip selloff looks more like broad profit-taking after a strong rally than a deterioration in fundamentals

* Key support levels will determine whether this is a healthy pullback or a deeper correction.

* Focus on volume and price action rather than reacting to headlines alone

* Staying on the sidelines until buying momentum returns and the trend is confirmed remains the prudent approach

* The long term AI trend remains intact unless major support levels are decisively broken

* Keeping Nvidia, TSMC, SK Hynix and Broadcom on my watchlist for potential buying opportunities when the technical setup improves

I’m glad I exited my small gold position at a loss. If I had held on, I would be even worse off now. While some people believe in holding a bit of gold for diversification, I don’t think it works for me as it doesn’t pay dividend.

I see this selloff as the market reacting to expectations rather than deteriorating fundamentals. TSMC delivered an excellent quarter and raised its outlook, which tells me AI demand remains very strong. The higher capex may pressure near-term free cash flow, but it also signals management has confidence that customers will need significantly more capacity.

For me, the sharp decline in memory stocks like Micron and SK Hynix feels more like profit-taking after a huge rally than a change in the long-term AI story. If AI infrastructure spending continues to grow, demand for advanced memory and packaging should remain strong over the next few years.

I'm not rushing to buy all at once, but I'd be happy to gradually accumulate quality semiconductor names during periods of weakness. As long as the long-term investment thesis hasn't changed, volatility is something I prefer to use to my advantage rather than fear.

Giant Chips maker produced good results but also wrecked by trader. Rockets related counters are also wrecked by traders. what sector next?