Guotai SSE 5-Year China Treasury Note ETF

VGOV

511010

159651

511090

511520

UK long-term yields reach their highest levels since 1998, with US 30-year Treasury yields exceeding 5%. This surge is driven by inflation and fiscal concerns, leading to increased borrowing costs for governments, businesses, and households, which may slow economic growth and heighten financial risks. Additionally, rising oil prices due to Middle East conflicts are intensifying inflation pressures, causing central banks to be more cautious about reducing interest rates.

- UK long-dated borrowing costs reached their highest levels since 1998, and US 30-year Treasury yields exceeded 5% due to inflation and fiscal concerns.  
- The increase in yields raises borrowing costs for governments, businesses, and households, which could slow economic growth and heighten financial risks.  
- Oil price surges from the Middle East conflict are exacerbating inflation, leading central banks to approach rate cuts with increased caution.

Vanguard UK Gilt UCITS ETF

Pingan Chinabond-0-3 Year CDB Bond ETF

Pengyang Chinabond 30-year Treasury Bond ETF

SPDR Port Lg Term Trsy

SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF

iShares TIPS Bd

VG Extend Trsy

iShares Barclays Short Treasury

iShares Barclays 1-3 Yr Treasury

iShares barclays 20+ Yr Treasury Bd

Fullgoal Chinabond 7-10 Year Policy Bank Bond ETF

iShares GBP Index-Linked Gilts UCITS ETF

iShares Core UK Gilts UCITS ETF

Vanguard Total Inflation Protd Secs ETF

UK and US long-term yields hit multi-decade highs amid inflation fears

GOVT

SCHP

High inflation is pushing yields on 30-year Treasury bonds to 5%, driven by rising energy costs linked to the Iran war. U.S. consumers face increased living costs, with gas prices averaging $4.50 per gallon. Investors are selling Treasurys amid concerns over inflation and potential interest rate hikes. The U.S. federal debt is projected to reach $30 trillion, with significant new Treasury supply expected. Analysts suggest that while rate hikes are possible, the Federal Reserve may remain on hold due to the current economic climate.

Dow Jones

iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF

ISHRS Us Trsry Bd

Schw Us Tips

Factset Research

S&P 500

Wells Fargo

Morgan Stanley

WELLS FARGO & COMPANY DP SHS REP 1/1000TH INT NCUM PFD CL A DD

WELLS FARGO & COMPANY 7.5% PERP CONV PRF CLS 'A' SERIES 'L'

WELLS FARGO & COMPANY DEP SHS REP 1/1000 INT PER PFD SER Y A

WELLS FARGO & COMPANY DP SHS REP 1/1000TH INT NCUM PFD CL A CC

WELLS FARGO & COMPANY 4.75% DEP SHS 1/1000 NCUM PFD CL A SR Z

WELLS FARGO & COMPANY DEP SHS REP 1/1000TH INT PFD SR AA (CLA)

MORGAN STANLEY DEP SHS EA REP 1/1000 SHS NON CUM PFD O

MORGAN STANLEY DEP SHS REPSTG 1/1000TH PFD SER Q

MORGAN STANLEY DEP SHS REPS 1/1000 7.125% PFD E

MORGAN STANLEY NON-CUM DEP SH REP 1/1000 PFD SER I

MORGAN STANLEY 4.875 DEP SHS REP 1/1000 NCUM PFD SR L

MORGAN STANLEY 6.5%DEP SHS REPSTG 1/1000 NON CUM SER P

MORGAN STANLEY DEP SHS REPS 1/1000 PFD SER 'A'

MORGAN STANLEY DEP SHS REPR 1/1000TH INT PFD SER 'F' FX

MORGAN STANLEY DEP SHS REP 1/1000 NON-CUM PFD STK SER K

High inflation is pushing yields to 5% on Treasury bonds

MMKT

VCIT

The US government is expected to borrow more than $2 trillion this fiscal year, with rising deficits and soaring interest payments fueling warnings that America’s debt trajectory is becoming increasingly unsustainable.

Texas Capital Government Mny Mkt ETF

Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF

Vanguard Intermediate Term Bd

Vanguard Short Term Bd

iShares iBoxx  Invt

iShares Core US Aggregate Bd

Vanguard Long Term Bd

SPDR Intermed Term

Vanguard Total Treasury ETF

America is borrowing $166 billion a month just to keep the government running

USDU

China's retreat from US Treasury markets has accelerated recently, particularly after the February 28 outbreak of hostilities with Iran. Analysts indicate a significant shift in strategy, although the sell-off remains largely incremental rather than chaotic, revealing underlying tensions in dollar dominance.

Wtree Bbg Usd Bull

Invesco Db Dlr Idx Bearish ETF

Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund

China’s Treasury sell-off gains pace as fault lines appear in dollar dominance

The 10-year Treasury yield traded in a range vulnerable to breakouts in either direction, as elevated crude prices suggested growth and employment concerns were beginning to offset inflation fears, Nomura said.

Us Brent Oil

iShares US Oil Equip & Svcs

Invesco Oil & Gas Services ETF

SPDR O&G Ex & Prd

VanEck Oil Refiners ETF

iShares US Oil & Gas Expl & Prod

VanEck Oil Services ETF

United States Oil Fund LP

Pro Ultr Bloomberg Crude Oil

Nomura

Nomura Holdings, Inc.

US Treasury yields seen vulnerable to break out from range trading

GOLD

Bridgewater Associates founder Ray Dalio warns of a "particularly dangerous period" over the next two years due to converging risks from debt, geopolitics, and technology. In a recent podcast, he emphasized that traditional market timing strategies will fail, advocating for an "All Weather Portfolio" with 5%-15% in gold. Dalio highlighted the severe US debt imbalance and the potential for political conflict leading up to the 2026 midterm elections. He cautioned against the concentration in AI stocks, noting the historical tendency for bubbles in revolutionary technologies.

CoinLive

Kinross Gold

Gold.com

Agnico Eagle Mines

SD-GOLD

VanEck Gold Miners ETF

Sprott GLD Miners Etf

EFUND GOLD MI ETF

YieldMax Gold Miners Opt Inc Strgy ETF

ChinaAMC Gold ETF

Roundhill Gold Miners Weeklypay ETF

EFUND GOLD MI-R

GLOBAL X Gold Explorers

Abrdn Precious Metals Basket ETF Trust

EFUND GOLD MI-U

Abrdn Gold ETF Trust

iShares MSCI Global Gold Miners

Sprott JR Gold Miners ETF

Microsectors Gold Miners 3x Leveraged ETN

Direxion Daily Jr Gold Miners Bull 2X

SPDR Gold Shares

Us Gbl GLD & Met

SPDR Gold Minishares

Invesco Db Precious Metals ETF

VanEck Junior Gold Miners ETF

Dalio: AI, US Treasury Bonds, and Geopolitical Storms: Extremely High Risks in the Next Two Years

The US 10-Year Treasury Yield remained below 4.45% after a decline, influenced by easing oil prices and new economic data that shifted interest rate expectations. Crude oil prices fell due to a technical pullback but are still set for a weekly gain amid geopolitical tensions. Rising Treasury yields have been linked to concerns over inflation from high energy prices. Recent economic data indicated a slowdown in US consumption, although AI-related investments contributed to a 2% annualized GDP growth.

Trading Economics

iShares 10-20 YR Treasury Bd Fd

US 10-Year Yield Holds Decline

603353

The ongoing Iran war is causing a bond selloff as bond yields rise due to uncertainty and increasing oil prices, now above $109 a barrel. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's final press conference is approaching, with expectations that central banks will hold interest rates steady amid inflation concerns. The bond market is reacting negatively to rising oil prices, which could hurt consumer spending and economic growth. Despite concerns, investors remain optimistic about a resolution to the conflict, but there is significant uncertainty regarding inflation and its impact on bonds.

HSPC

BP p.l.c.

Penghua CSI 0-4 Year Local Government Bond ETF

ISHRS S&P Glb Engy

SPDR Energy Select

iShares Trust iShares 1-5 Year Invest Grade Corp Bond ETF

Schwab 5-10 Year Corp Bond ETF

F GX OIL

VG Energy

iShares 0-3 Month Treasury Bond ETF

SPDR O&G Equip

NASDAQ Composite Index

Iran war is fueling a bond selloff ahead of Fed Chair Jerome Powell's final press conference

Two months after the Iran conflict began, Deutsche Bank Research analyzed market responses. Oil prices surged, with Brent 1-month contracts up 49%, while the 6-month contracts rose only 25%, indicating a temporary disruption perception. US assets outperformed due to energy export status and tech stock rebounds, while the Eurozone struggled with energy exposure. Surprisingly, precious metals fell over 10%, attributed to rising yields. Bond markets faced severe damage, with significant yield increases across developed markets, driven by inflation concerns and fiscal easing.

Occidental Petroleum

Deutsche Bank AG

Deutsche Bank AG Subscription Rights

Deutsche Postbank AG

Oil leads, bonds bleed: Deutsche Bank tracks markets two months after Iran conflict began

The Treasury's recent 5Y auction saw a high yield of 3.955%, slightly down from last month, marking the 11th consecutive tail. Despite this, foreign demand surged, with Indirects awarded 72.3%, the highest since May 2025. The bid-to-cover ratio improved to 2.330 but remained below the six-auction average. Meanwhile, 10Y yields rose above 4.34%, influenced by rising oil prices.

ZeroHedge

BondBloxx Bloomberg 5 Year Target Duration US Treasury ETF

5Y Auction Tails Despite Jump In Foreign Demand, Yields Hit Session High

Guotai SSE 5-Year China Treasury Note ETF(511010.SH)